Prediction 4307

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

Prediction of Season 25-26 for SP using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 2320.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 1393.75 2656.14 4957.67 6003.11 6525.83
2025-10-12 1734.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 936.14 2025.16 5158.25 6599.78 7320.55
2025-10-19 1504.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 771.73 1960.31 5762.05 7505.22 8376.80
2025-10-26 2167.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 1586.01 2655.02 7061.91 9078.37 10086.60
2025-11-02 3024.95 0.00 299.59 939.42 2516.52 3536.28 8547.70 10850.56 12002.00
2025-11-09 2456.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 1552.25 3409.64 9735.78 12614.15 14053.34
2025-11-16 1741.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 672.44 2811.13 10010.92 13251.02 14871.07
2025-11-23 1800.55 0.00 0.00 15.35 1146.07 2666.34 10566.59 14147.05 15937.28
2025-11-30 1814.64 15.77 184.27 521.27 1418.15 2939.35 12215.77 16391.67 18479.62
2025-12-07 1575.04 282.92 382.19 580.74 1155.80 3177.10 13851.38 18674.14 21085.52
2025-12-14 1443.75 9.99 100.28 280.88 746.24 3821.19 16344.32 21926.29 24717.28
2025-12-21 1842.29 485.58 530.16 619.33 955.31 5133.91 19560.02 25909.57 29084.35
2025-12-28 2618.98 935.80 1043.62 1259.25 1762.83 6726.62 22714.11 29683.57 33168.31
2026-01-04 3197.91 1422.35 1480.88 1597.94 2003.69 8390.03 25982.31 33483.58 37234.22
2026-01-11 4087.48 1955.87 1980.10 2028.55 2409.04 10482.16 30368.46 38800.75 43016.89
2026-01-18 5054.97 2300.97 2358.13 2472.44 3020.26 12669.72 34052.84 43056.09 47557.71
2026-01-25 6985.24 2952.37 3018.04 3149.39 3881.35 16290.77 39048.02 48496.39 53220.58
2026-02-01 8890.53 2551.15 2736.40 3106.92 4586.94 19615.17 44278.43 54466.29 59560.22
2026-02-08 9922.15 1468.73 1805.49 2479.01 4736.24 22324.49 48641.16 59385.32 64757.41
2026-02-15 11087.79 1063.88 1474.56 2295.91 4858.93 25148.05 53165.58 64589.46 70301.39
2026-02-22 14740.90 1806.49 2383.72 3538.17 7139.42 30702.80 60215.50 72172.15 78150.47
2026-03-01 19549.30 2473.73 3301.61 4957.37 9931.20 36769.18 68075.80 80690.68 86998.11
2026-03-08 22450.75 3139.81 4092.77 5998.70 11833.12 40986.22 72916.62 85715.61 92115.11
2026-03-15 25367.65 3612.19 4782.33 7122.59 13979.24 44336.05 77281.20 90531.89 97157.24
2026-03-22 27957.47 4404.77 5694.37 8273.57 15697.87 48364.88 82197.70 95744.76 102518.30
2026-03-29 31387.39 4977.16 6426.33 9324.69 17743.84 52954.95 87939.16 101914.89 108902.75
2026-04-05 34729.05 5470.87 7137.17 10469.76 20166.89 56540.71 91717.44 105784.23 112817.63
2026-04-12 34188.48 6373.80 7936.51 11061.93 20246.27 55627.85 89855.56 103493.61 110312.63
2026-04-19 30400.61 6356.40 7589.82 10056.65 17461.69 51369.79 84162.67 97212.23 103737.02
2026-04-26 32619.97 5235.33 6732.37 9726.44 18481.13 53897.12 86129.42 98829.15 105179.01
2026-05-03 30947.09 2832.41 4401.40 7539.38 16690.50 51295.04 82146.41 94351.75 100454.42
2026-05-10 23835.95 1815.91 2927.80 5151.57 11976.67 41985.89 70451.65 81799.53 87473.47
2026-05-17 19051.61 1567.70 2416.12 4112.95 9408.82 34616.37 60453.58 70806.18 75982.48
2026-05-24 13530.40 1188.99 1716.16 2770.49 6212.70 27341.42 50631.41 59940.67 64595.30
2026-05-31 10264.29 1138.38 1474.29 2146.13 4360.17 22112.22 42313.92 50418.26 54470.43
2026-06-07 8735.49 1872.06 2108.31 2580.83 4119.09 18921.50 36956.67 44221.43 47853.81
2026-06-14 7845.59 2895.45 3059.27 3386.93 4398.93 16510.48 32782.77 39331.82 42606.34
2026-06-21 5999.14 2763.75 2865.75 3069.74 3771.72 13126.59 27570.70 33491.71 36452.22
2026-06-28 4638.08 2554.14 2567.61 2594.56 2871.89 10564.52 23473.36 28765.38 31411.40
2026-07-05 3571.01 2255.33 2277.75 2322.58 2458.77 8487.22 20387.88 25372.98 27865.53
2026-07-12 3362.60 2259.67 2305.17 2396.18 2613.88 7359.21 18280.86 22870.26 25164.96
2026-07-19 2933.67 1624.48 1727.56 1933.74 2396.35 6705.30 17223.23 21672.72 23897.47
2026-07-26 2832.12 1217.62 1331.92 1560.50 2199.81 6326.54 16600.51 20942.80 23113.95
2026-08-02 2652.06 831.31 974.99 1262.34 1970.78 5870.96 15695.04 19836.48 21907.20
2026-08-09 2510.67 383.22 532.57 831.28 1678.50 5372.29 14406.79 18220.64 20127.56
2026-08-16 2222.41 0.00 0.00 160.76 1326.77 4861.61 14035.15 17912.32 19850.90
2026-08-23 1863.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 997.12 3995.87 13137.91 17088.21 19063.36
2026-08-30 2004.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 1288.79 4119.83 13125.24 17069.08 19041.01
2026-09-06 2353.67 0.00 0.00 337.92 1638.19 4553.13 13585.94 17478.43 19424.68
2026-09-13 1391.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 428.97 3275.81 7777.19 9642.18 10574.68
2026-09-20 1701.19 0.00 0.00 202.88 886.31 3230.69 8058.20 10160.71 11211.96
2026-09-27 2125.21 116.77 234.55 470.09 1144.42 3744.86 8448.51 10549.92 11600.62
2026-10-04 2155.38 188.11 308.77 550.10 1276.33 3775.53 8227.39 10192.89 11175.65
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