Prediction 4309

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

Prediction of Season 25-26 for PA using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 86.68 47.21 50.29 56.43 73.01 100.99 132.35 145.76 152.46
2025-10-12 80.04 40.07 43.47 50.25 67.32 93.15 130.06 145.93 153.87
2025-10-19 81.18 39.86 43.27 50.09 67.40 96.27 140.24 159.18 168.65
2025-10-26 80.60 42.80 45.82 51.86 67.68 97.92 146.48 167.45 177.93
2025-11-02 84.80 43.05 46.40 53.09 70.38 105.31 161.69 186.01 198.17
2025-11-09 90.23 41.02 44.73 52.16 71.31 116.12 185.47 215.33 230.26
2025-11-16 94.92 39.91 43.64 51.09 70.84 128.87 211.17 245.96 263.35
2025-11-23 94.42 37.29 40.92 48.19 67.81 138.97 235.70 276.36 296.69
2025-11-30 105.30 39.65 43.61 51.52 73.45 161.60 274.49 321.43 344.91
2025-12-07 119.83 44.90 49.02 57.24 81.08 186.47 313.46 366.32 392.75
2025-12-14 133.79 50.20 54.39 62.75 87.92 210.42 354.69 414.47 444.36
2025-12-21 146.58 51.34 56.18 65.86 94.55 236.78 399.62 466.41 499.81
2025-12-28 172.73 56.59 62.98 75.75 112.71 275.02 455.13 528.55 565.26
2026-01-04 196.85 66.43 73.34 87.15 128.18 311.69 508.40 587.54 627.11
2026-01-11 226.43 84.58 91.97 106.76 151.27 354.55 571.32 658.63 702.28
2026-01-18 256.82 94.33 103.21 120.97 172.76 399.95 630.90 723.18 769.32
2026-01-25 311.04 105.37 116.54 138.88 205.24 474.70 720.49 818.10 866.91
2026-02-01 359.67 114.25 127.51 154.05 233.52 539.15 802.49 906.59 958.63
2026-02-08 393.71 126.34 141.92 173.08 262.78 581.59 852.05 958.71 1012.04
2026-02-15 407.78 142.52 157.80 188.37 276.55 599.30 872.36 980.08 1033.94
2026-02-22 419.71 157.79 172.80 202.83 289.95 613.28 886.72 994.45 1048.31
2026-03-01 428.81 168.93 183.83 213.64 298.92 615.84 886.47 992.90 1046.12
2026-03-08 417.70 176.04 189.42 216.19 294.78 598.36 856.44 957.32 1007.76
2026-03-15 398.71 172.19 184.86 210.19 283.33 566.90 817.43 916.50 966.03
2026-03-22 392.94 170.73 183.23 208.24 280.11 557.89 800.25 895.98 943.85
2026-03-29 385.53 163.92 176.31 201.09 273.08 542.37 778.63 872.30 919.13
2026-04-05 381.60 162.39 174.70 199.32 272.33 531.73 757.39 846.83 891.55
2026-04-12 340.40 151.70 161.96 182.46 244.09 477.51 685.81 768.33 809.60
2026-04-19 312.63 143.43 152.70 171.24 225.95 437.63 630.75 707.49 745.86
2026-04-26 290.19 133.92 142.66 160.14 211.38 403.36 582.73 653.80 689.33
2026-05-03 265.57 119.11 127.26 143.57 191.29 368.09 534.45 600.81 633.98
2026-05-10 233.16 101.33 108.62 123.19 166.34 327.87 478.80 539.35 569.63
2026-05-17 210.03 88.00 94.70 108.11 148.05 294.83 432.15 487.52 515.21
2026-05-24 187.46 81.76 87.48 98.94 133.27 263.88 389.27 439.38 464.44
2026-05-31 164.21 72.59 77.80 88.22 118.25 232.81 341.84 385.41 407.20
2026-06-07 146.51 66.83 71.47 80.75 106.84 206.95 306.50 346.32 366.23
2026-06-14 131.91 61.44 65.53 73.69 97.30 184.57 276.26 313.07 331.48
2026-06-21 112.59 50.73 54.46 61.92 83.17 156.93 240.44 274.66 291.77
2026-06-28 104.74 52.05 55.24 61.61 80.06 143.17 215.81 245.56 260.44
2026-07-05 101.14 56.18 59.19 65.23 81.69 132.28 199.58 227.93 242.10
2026-07-12 95.97 48.48 51.97 58.95 77.53 122.68 185.45 211.92 225.15
2026-07-19 91.76 42.62 46.10 53.07 72.17 115.89 176.41 202.30 215.25
2026-07-26 96.58 46.87 50.19 56.84 75.85 117.04 174.60 199.03 211.24
2026-08-02 92.40 44.01 47.70 55.07 74.73 110.49 162.95 185.31 196.49
2026-08-09 90.15 43.65 47.08 53.93 72.43 107.84 157.83 179.47 190.30
2026-08-16 83.86 38.50 41.93 48.79 67.06 101.19 152.48 174.41 185.38
2026-08-23 83.78 35.77 39.22 46.13 65.14 99.24 148.34 169.63 180.27
2026-08-30 81.86 32.79 36.47 43.84 64.04 95.72 142.91 163.65 174.02
2026-09-06 83.32 34.19 37.78 44.94 65.04 97.09 144.83 165.52 175.86
2026-09-13 80.24 44.05 46.68 51.92 65.20 95.13 111.94 117.98 121.01
2026-09-20 77.90 45.11 47.35 51.83 63.82 94.56 112.68 119.34 122.67
2026-09-27 74.69 42.18 44.49 49.11 61.03 91.38 110.27 117.42 121.00
2026-10-04 74.74 42.51 44.71 49.12 61.33 89.90 108.20 115.51 119.16
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