Prediction 4313

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

Prediction of Season 25-26 for RJ using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 193.65 0.00 0.00 16.99 121.59 240.77 363.91 416.88 443.37
2025-10-12 191.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 116.72 236.86 380.74 445.08 477.25
2025-10-19 198.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 112.85 235.55 403.01 476.93 513.89
2025-10-26 196.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 111.88 242.95 460.25 556.86 605.17
2025-11-02 219.65 0.00 0.00 21.08 134.20 283.02 571.55 700.53 765.02
2025-11-09 204.41 0.00 0.00 23.38 124.88 299.80 688.56 859.45 944.90
2025-11-16 189.98 0.00 0.00 25.79 116.20 325.03 778.70 974.01 1071.67
2025-11-23 201.07 0.00 13.93 47.22 130.25 357.92 899.74 1134.87 1252.43
2025-11-30 193.57 20.55 33.80 60.31 129.20 401.52 1066.99 1353.23 1496.35
2025-12-07 176.91 9.10 20.21 42.42 102.99 415.52 1202.42 1543.57 1714.15
2025-12-14 141.04 0.00 0.00 14.76 62.51 417.81 1301.50 1678.98 1867.72
2025-12-21 182.36 0.00 0.00 25.29 94.36 538.87 1569.77 2007.15 2225.83
2025-12-28 247.25 37.34 50.54 76.94 147.59 670.23 1807.62 2286.72 2526.26
2026-01-04 266.86 50.17 62.30 86.54 155.46 767.59 2009.16 2524.23 2781.77
2026-01-11 297.54 67.13 77.56 98.42 163.02 892.18 2286.85 2861.76 3149.21
2026-01-18 345.90 75.43 88.45 114.51 189.19 1021.04 2527.50 3147.12 3456.93
2026-01-25 412.19 86.25 97.98 121.43 198.42 1185.94 2804.47 3461.75 3790.40
2026-02-01 451.42 47.85 61.44 88.62 184.24 1294.23 3049.83 3762.68 4119.10
2026-02-08 523.30 0.00 16.14 59.82 198.59 1484.49 3360.33 4115.23 4492.68
2026-02-15 655.47 0.00 18.81 72.58 238.25 1733.76 3704.14 4497.32 4893.91
2026-02-22 827.17 25.95 60.87 130.72 339.61 2008.61 4058.90 4881.04 5292.11
2026-03-01 968.23 41.91 81.07 159.40 399.91 2198.47 4335.21 5188.53 5615.20
2026-03-08 948.11 13.16 50.70 125.79 370.81 2220.90 4397.16 5264.39 5698.00
2026-03-15 926.20 0.00 23.07 102.18 351.26 2206.25 4394.70 5268.53 5705.44
2026-03-22 986.91 8.82 50.40 133.55 392.72 2286.05 4492.98 5375.82 5817.24
2026-03-29 1092.06 21.61 67.86 160.38 451.21 2372.36 4541.31 5405.60 5837.75
2026-04-05 1117.21 55.51 99.84 188.51 479.45 2362.83 4507.93 5365.55 5794.36
2026-04-12 1083.09 50.87 94.58 182.01 467.15 2295.66 4366.05 5191.98 5604.95
2026-04-19 1062.81 45.35 89.22 176.95 456.91 2250.53 4241.73 5037.09 5434.77
2026-04-26 1005.91 39.62 83.20 170.35 438.26 2172.30 4087.69 4842.79 5220.34
2026-05-03 1005.47 66.48 109.72 196.20 464.54 2117.53 3950.92 4677.33 5040.54
2026-05-10 1006.34 100.33 144.37 232.46 499.44 2064.85 3780.92 4461.93 4802.44
2026-05-17 938.07 121.16 157.38 229.81 461.99 1892.15 3512.32 4158.80 4482.03
2026-05-24 804.25 106.85 137.08 197.54 393.73 1711.69 3218.25 3813.46 4111.07
2026-05-31 691.82 45.79 78.41 143.67 334.31 1513.36 2848.10 3373.44 3636.11
2026-06-07 655.68 76.06 104.53 161.48 327.64 1407.65 2604.51 3076.42 3312.37
2026-06-14 631.37 117.00 143.01 195.01 346.71 1288.25 2367.08 2791.67 3003.97
2026-06-21 549.78 123.06 147.00 194.90 328.43 1110.99 2087.90 2480.94 2677.46
2026-06-28 474.17 118.43 138.27 177.96 295.25 975.46 1869.15 2227.18 2406.20
2026-07-05 428.98 91.23 113.60 158.36 273.53 850.34 1666.07 1997.85 2163.73
2026-07-12 375.50 66.93 87.42 128.39 238.59 746.03 1483.76 1783.17 1932.87
2026-07-19 313.92 14.18 38.78 88.00 209.52 657.84 1363.40 1653.13 1798.00
2026-07-26 312.91 9.27 31.17 74.95 194.07 639.70 1308.65 1581.74 1718.29
2026-08-02 310.27 0.00 0.00 48.27 179.65 612.74 1236.52 1489.77 1616.39
2026-08-09 284.68 0.00 6.48 47.97 163.94 562.30 1165.73 1415.02 1539.66
2026-08-16 268.55 0.00 0.00 36.75 153.14 535.64 1148.47 1401.62 1528.19
2026-08-23 255.85 0.00 0.00 28.18 152.35 487.55 1093.74 1348.90 1476.48
2026-08-30 260.15 0.00 0.00 20.19 148.12 481.54 1066.47 1317.51 1443.02
2026-09-06 251.79 0.00 0.00 30.43 148.76 469.71 1057.59 1305.87 1430.02
2026-09-13 267.84 54.22 66.00 89.54 162.08 433.18 732.62 853.64 914.15
2026-09-20 268.26 72.84 82.40 101.51 152.94 415.83 704.20 821.85 880.68
2026-09-27 256.29 54.47 65.14 86.48 150.82 414.84 688.19 799.01 854.41
2026-10-04 258.96 39.15 51.17 75.19 145.90 397.12 696.47 822.56 885.60
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