Prediction 4316

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

Prediction of Season 25-26 for DF using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 356.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 101.92 790.53 1992.10 2496.93 2749.35
2025-10-12 267.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.66 815.40 2309.98 2940.14 3255.22
2025-10-19 197.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.95 958.00 2695.27 3423.89 3788.19
2025-10-26 305.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.83 1268.37 3319.79 4166.52 4589.88
2025-11-02 362.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.20 1516.12 3958.92 4977.20 5486.34
2025-11-09 381.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1788.13 4582.63 5742.33 6322.18
2025-11-16 420.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1917.22 5030.80 6320.03 6964.65
2025-11-23 414.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1926.54 5352.32 6783.61 7499.25
2025-11-30 501.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.20 2080.01 5816.93 7389.13 8175.23
2025-12-07 573.78 0.00 0.00 0.81 143.48 2252.74 6311.15 8028.91 8887.79
2025-12-14 611.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 109.29 2375.38 6887.46 8805.47 9764.48
2025-12-21 720.80 0.00 0.00 3.65 129.01 2739.67 7706.58 9799.24 10845.57
2025-12-28 929.43 36.52 65.90 124.68 302.22 3218.30 8580.32 10826.20 11949.14
2026-01-04 1086.14 130.11 150.76 192.05 366.09 3720.54 9535.62 11923.63 13117.64
2026-01-11 1288.35 201.15 220.04 257.82 445.30 4207.49 10491.26 13074.63 14366.31
2026-01-18 1502.15 200.13 230.94 292.55 538.14 4629.22 11254.38 13978.19 15340.10
2026-01-25 1972.95 308.89 346.91 422.97 723.26 5433.55 12352.73 15172.88 16582.95
2026-02-01 2600.82 196.96 272.34 423.09 973.15 6375.50 13693.53 16665.38 18151.30
2026-02-08 3005.93 0.00 50.03 310.80 1135.67 7144.19 14749.85 17813.68 19345.59
2026-02-15 3193.89 0.00 0.00 198.15 1109.12 7657.32 15644.41 18863.43 20472.94
2026-02-22 3743.40 0.00 0.00 286.87 1403.78 8516.41 16817.61 20167.36 21842.24
2026-03-01 4500.03 0.00 0.00 437.92 1798.81 9482.40 18038.14 21467.06 23181.52
2026-03-08 4970.23 0.00 33.92 538.04 2071.15 10169.19 18790.67 22233.15 23954.39
2026-03-15 5792.21 0.00 140.71 801.52 2690.18 11085.33 19903.94 23436.83 25203.27
2026-03-22 6162.53 20.70 351.59 1013.36 2908.62 11725.02 20681.72 24256.35 26043.67
2026-03-29 6485.26 176.12 499.66 1146.73 3044.11 12278.65 21462.77 25124.52 26955.40
2026-04-05 6837.87 124.33 477.52 1183.89 3254.26 12695.58 21865.17 25517.19 27343.20
2026-04-12 7142.19 344.48 707.79 1434.41 3564.60 13209.53 22373.60 25997.17 27808.96
2026-04-19 6736.93 450.58 757.76 1372.12 3211.83 12859.78 21713.79 25193.48 26933.33
2026-04-26 6475.95 178.01 489.00 1110.98 2965.29 12547.20 21228.54 24614.98 26308.20
2026-05-03 5941.18 0.00 182.40 777.34 2559.24 11737.41 20013.36 23251.95 24871.24
2026-05-10 5105.35 0.00 195.59 647.47 2079.47 10415.80 18205.88 21270.09 22802.19
2026-05-17 4662.63 82.37 288.81 701.69 1986.08 9416.25 16666.16 19527.82 20958.65
2026-05-24 3587.11 121.60 264.26 549.58 1461.23 7941.80 14570.56 17181.29 18486.66
2026-05-31 2662.87 203.12 278.30 428.66 957.11 6557.06 12518.56 14869.09 16044.35
2026-06-07 2223.58 261.36 314.59 421.05 791.16 5812.02 11315.55 13478.71 14560.30
2026-06-14 2024.23 373.38 419.25 510.98 786.65 5337.39 10490.13 12513.44 13525.09
2026-06-21 1610.96 391.32 413.47 457.79 630.20 4714.68 9578.77 11505.13 12468.31
2026-06-28 1263.24 343.48 345.28 348.87 413.16 4125.89 8691.39 10496.71 11399.37
2026-07-05 1076.03 313.92 314.66 316.15 341.35 3716.87 8075.14 9815.68 10685.95
2026-07-12 981.86 272.80 274.28 277.24 302.34 3413.30 7616.97 9298.57 10139.37
2026-07-19 1001.63 214.32 227.93 255.15 342.11 3443.07 7540.84 9178.37 9997.14
2026-07-26 915.57 85.96 102.27 134.88 259.26 3273.53 7373.77 9015.25 9835.98
2026-08-02 812.39 0.00 2.89 39.49 150.66 3080.86 7054.16 8646.01 9441.94
2026-08-09 868.81 0.00 0.00 5.02 163.96 3095.78 6921.91 8452.73 9218.14
2026-08-16 813.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 114.85 3010.92 6831.84 8347.94 9105.99
2026-08-23 735.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.34 2785.74 6661.31 8237.82 9026.08
2026-08-30 817.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 121.22 2869.50 6738.25 8320.17 9111.13
2026-09-06 897.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 204.58 3001.29 6928.37 8519.65 9315.29
2026-09-13 1006.66 0.00 0.00 24.66 316.53 2660.36 5571.75 6736.11 7318.29
2026-09-20 930.99 0.00 0.00 82.28 340.44 2368.83 4731.18 5643.96 6100.35
2026-09-27 924.40 0.00 0.00 86.96 359.44 2115.62 4665.19 5686.12 6196.58
2026-10-04 950.07 0.00 0.00 86.18 380.53 2033.83 4362.43 5312.44 5787.45
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