Prediction 4345

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model GHR Model 2025
Author Chloe Fletcher
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Sprint Rules, using June forecasts) - AL


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 90.0 23.00 28.95 38.0 59.00 135.00 186.1 230.05 269.57
2025-10-12 87.0 25.00 30.95 38.0 60.00 126.25 180.0 223.10 267.62
2025-10-19 81.0 23.48 33.95 40.0 55.00 133.00 186.1 230.10 281.52
2025-10-26 87.0 27.00 32.00 41.0 58.75 129.25 187.1 250.00 293.77
2025-11-02 114.0 27.48 36.00 45.0 69.75 176.00 243.3 303.15 352.38
2025-11-09 112.0 31.00 37.95 46.0 68.75 168.25 224.1 254.10 312.62
2025-11-16 90.0 26.48 32.95 43.0 58.75 133.25 198.1 252.10 288.05
2025-11-23 81.0 22.48 29.00 35.0 50.00 121.00 175.0 211.15 243.10
2025-11-30 90.0 21.48 30.95 39.9 54.75 144.25 204.0 241.05 286.57
2025-12-07 79.0 21.95 29.00 36.9 53.00 126.00 192.1 226.20 270.57
2025-12-14 74.0 20.48 25.00 32.0 49.00 110.25 159.0 206.00 240.62
2025-12-21 78.0 20.48 25.00 32.0 47.00 130.25 188.0 240.25 299.57
2025-12-28 81.5 18.48 22.95 30.0 50.00 130.00 173.1 207.10 245.15
2026-01-04 77.0 17.48 24.95 32.9 51.00 129.00 193.0 229.00 277.05
2026-01-11 98.0 23.48 29.95 41.0 61.00 152.00 225.0 268.50 332.77
2026-01-18 114.5 25.48 28.95 42.0 67.00 181.25 250.4 307.20 351.05
2026-01-25 118.0 29.48 36.95 48.0 74.00 191.25 270.2 343.05 435.10
2026-02-01 121.0 25.00 32.00 46.0 73.00 189.00 303.5 405.15 450.62
2026-02-08 113.0 31.48 42.00 52.9 76.00 185.00 261.1 348.05 418.98
2026-02-15 130.5 34.48 47.95 60.0 87.75 216.50 314.0 371.30 442.52
2026-02-22 148.5 41.95 48.95 62.7 93.75 242.00 337.1 417.55 491.57
2026-03-01 173.5 44.48 56.90 69.9 104.75 289.25 416.3 534.05 602.05
2026-03-08 206.5 54.00 68.90 82.9 130.75 321.00 482.3 615.10 710.62
2026-03-15 241.0 57.48 76.95 93.8 142.00 379.00 550.4 680.25 819.67
2026-03-22 254.5 63.48 86.90 105.9 169.50 419.25 622.7 801.45 962.20
2026-03-29 265.5 71.33 86.00 112.0 174.75 422.50 667.0 954.00 1163.72
2026-04-05 307.5 74.42 88.95 121.0 189.00 496.25 750.2 988.65 1239.20
2026-04-12 341.0 84.95 110.85 135.9 203.00 537.25 786.8 1022.20 1264.67
2026-04-19 345.0 105.47 117.00 140.9 222.75 552.25 851.0 1109.05 1288.62
2026-04-26 395.0 114.95 134.95 158.6 249.50 631.50 958.9 1276.05 1455.40
2026-05-03 359.0 87.90 108.95 153.0 235.00 656.00 980.3 1194.00 1468.92
2026-05-10 406.0 103.47 128.70 164.9 244.00 668.00 967.9 1234.10 1509.40
2026-05-17 408.0 103.38 130.95 160.0 251.00 673.50 997.7 1201.70 1539.05
2026-05-24 394.0 100.42 128.85 165.7 240.00 632.50 1010.1 1208.05 1462.28
2026-05-31 355.5 104.00 118.90 145.8 228.00 562.75 834.6 1078.55 1256.33
2026-06-07 340.5 79.90 99.95 142.0 209.50 566.50 830.2 1083.25 1229.58
2026-06-14 348.0 87.00 103.95 141.0 202.00 527.00 824.0 1091.20 1297.90
2026-06-21 326.0 73.95 97.90 129.9 192.00 528.00 818.0 1035.60 1284.83
2026-06-28 273.0 74.95 90.00 111.0 173.25 442.25 657.1 921.05 1049.05
2026-07-05 259.5 59.85 74.95 99.8 157.75 408.00 639.4 799.15 893.30
2026-07-12 245.0 56.00 85.00 102.9 156.75 403.25 633.1 779.55 952.92
2026-07-19 232.0 57.42 72.95 90.9 136.75 373.50 569.4 705.40 860.67
2026-07-26 197.0 47.95 64.95 78.9 126.00 332.25 497.1 626.35 756.05
2026-08-02 187.0 47.95 58.95 78.0 116.00 277.25 415.0 494.20 579.75
2026-08-09 163.0 35.00 49.95 64.9 99.75 264.25 375.2 454.05 492.82
2026-08-16 139.0 37.48 48.00 59.0 89.75 234.00 328.0 396.75 441.52
2026-08-23 142.0 36.00 46.00 57.0 86.75 223.00 335.1 438.30 541.67
2026-08-30 115.5 27.00 36.00 48.9 75.00 171.25 282.2 335.00 428.88
2026-09-06 108.0 27.00 34.95 48.9 70.75 164.00 247.1 306.00 371.30
2026-09-13 99.0 27.48 35.00 46.0 67.00 157.00 237.3 279.05 346.25
2026-09-20 102.0 28.00 36.85 46.0 64.00 151.00 218.3 294.25 375.07
2026-09-27 86.0 24.00 30.95 41.0 58.00 137.25 202.1 253.05 306.10
2026-10-04 78.0 19.00 25.00 32.0 50.00 117.00 181.1 215.10 256.52
Chat
chatbot