Prediction 4346

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model GHR Model 2025
Author Chloe Fletcher
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Sprint Rules, using June forecasts) - AM


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 87.0 18.48 22.00 27.0 47.00 152.25 280.2 356.20 451.00
2025-10-12 90.5 16.00 22.00 31.0 49.00 169.00 325.2 423.10 524.88
2025-10-19 85.5 19.48 24.95 32.0 50.00 168.00 263.3 344.30 448.88
2025-10-26 98.0 21.48 26.00 34.9 57.00 193.25 353.2 490.10 641.77
2025-11-02 110.0 21.48 28.95 39.8 61.00 207.25 352.2 440.70 545.05
2025-11-09 123.5 26.48 32.00 42.0 65.00 248.50 404.4 573.15 658.40
2025-11-16 116.0 24.48 29.95 42.0 66.00 242.75 449.0 597.05 728.98
2025-11-23 159.0 30.00 37.95 47.0 84.00 311.75 557.8 783.10 917.20
2025-11-30 126.5 25.00 31.00 44.9 74.00 236.00 408.0 545.25 753.88
2025-12-07 128.0 25.48 34.95 44.9 76.00 241.25 431.6 586.20 728.05
2025-12-14 119.0 21.48 30.00 42.0 66.75 244.50 450.7 593.65 811.67
2025-12-21 140.5 30.00 40.95 53.9 83.00 256.00 426.2 589.05 690.88
2025-12-28 154.5 32.48 40.00 50.0 83.75 293.25 484.1 640.15 865.62
2026-01-04 182.0 42.48 53.00 71.0 103.75 323.50 538.3 687.50 812.73
2026-01-11 205.0 49.95 58.95 77.0 119.75 386.25 661.2 859.00 1095.00
2026-01-18 239.0 59.38 73.00 85.0 144.00 458.00 780.3 967.60 1213.78
2026-01-25 262.0 62.85 77.95 96.0 141.75 466.25 785.9 1162.65 1436.12
2026-02-01 245.5 61.00 71.95 90.9 138.00 454.25 785.4 1049.80 1188.15
2026-02-08 228.0 53.95 68.00 89.0 137.00 450.00 731.4 963.55 1223.00
2026-02-15 226.5 55.38 64.00 89.0 139.00 427.75 795.8 953.85 1303.70
2026-02-22 248.5 52.00 70.95 95.9 147.00 465.75 836.7 1092.00 1216.55
2026-03-01 243.5 58.95 76.95 99.7 153.75 418.50 754.5 1026.35 1327.53
2026-03-08 263.0 60.42 73.95 105.8 158.00 510.25 798.6 1003.10 1280.15
2026-03-15 231.5 44.48 62.95 79.0 141.00 402.25 678.8 927.25 1065.05
2026-03-22 195.5 43.00 51.95 76.8 116.00 373.25 615.0 904.00 1154.17
2026-03-29 179.0 38.48 51.95 69.9 110.75 339.25 645.5 838.00 1001.58
2026-04-05 169.0 35.48 45.95 60.9 98.00 309.00 499.0 686.50 814.77
2026-04-12 147.0 34.00 42.95 54.0 83.00 274.25 434.1 659.35 787.62
2026-04-19 115.0 28.00 32.00 42.0 67.00 212.75 351.4 480.05 598.45
2026-04-26 100.5 22.48 25.95 33.9 56.00 176.00 280.0 362.00 569.58
2026-05-03 83.0 19.48 24.95 32.9 52.00 143.25 250.7 331.25 437.32
2026-05-10 85.0 18.43 23.95 30.9 49.00 153.00 250.2 362.05 428.05
2026-05-17 80.0 16.00 19.95 29.0 44.75 139.00 223.2 305.00 383.57
2026-05-24 71.5 19.00 23.00 28.0 43.00 123.25 225.3 272.30 349.00
2026-05-31 59.0 14.47 17.00 22.0 36.00 110.25 198.3 247.00 295.10
2026-06-07 55.0 12.00 15.00 20.0 33.00 93.00 155.1 210.20 253.05
2026-06-14 53.0 14.00 16.00 20.0 31.00 95.25 162.1 214.05 249.68
2026-06-21 51.0 10.47 13.95 18.0 29.00 86.00 151.1 193.00 238.53
2026-06-28 45.0 9.00 11.00 16.0 28.00 84.25 135.1 183.05 237.10
2026-07-05 45.0 10.00 12.95 16.0 26.00 77.00 126.3 182.00 219.10
2026-07-12 44.0 10.00 11.00 15.0 26.00 75.00 124.0 179.05 228.88
2026-07-19 42.0 9.00 13.00 16.0 26.00 71.00 108.2 145.00 191.53
2026-07-26 38.0 7.00 10.00 14.0 24.00 69.00 121.0 157.15 203.62
2026-08-02 40.0 8.47 11.00 15.0 24.00 70.00 110.1 149.00 189.62
2026-08-09 37.0 7.00 9.00 12.0 21.00 66.00 99.1 121.05 153.05
2026-08-16 34.5 6.47 10.00 14.0 22.00 60.00 103.0 130.00 177.57
2026-08-23 32.0 8.00 9.95 13.0 20.00 60.00 96.2 133.00 150.53
2026-08-30 33.0 6.00 9.00 12.0 19.00 59.25 101.2 142.20 188.53
2026-09-06 32.0 5.00 8.00 11.0 18.75 63.00 112.0 144.05 177.15
2026-09-13 36.0 8.00 10.00 13.0 21.00 65.00 105.1 134.05 165.53
2026-09-20 37.0 9.00 10.00 13.0 21.00 70.00 116.1 171.00 214.05
2026-09-27 46.0 8.47 12.00 17.0 27.00 80.00 137.0 191.05 230.05
2026-10-04 47.0 11.47 15.00 19.9 29.75 82.25 144.1 195.35 255.78
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