Prediction 4354

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model GHR Model 2025
Author Chloe Fletcher
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Sprint Rules, using June forecasts) - MS


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 80.5 24.00 28.95 36.0 55.75 122.00 176.1 214.05 259.93
2025-10-12 98.0 25.00 33.00 44.9 66.00 139.50 189.2 236.00 305.00
2025-10-19 108.0 32.95 42.90 51.0 72.75 174.00 249.0 304.10 338.15
2025-10-26 136.0 38.48 53.00 63.0 91.75 193.00 279.3 369.15 436.10
2025-11-02 154.0 40.00 49.90 63.0 99.75 221.25 307.2 373.00 441.68
2025-11-09 178.0 51.48 63.00 79.9 120.00 271.25 409.4 520.10 598.98
2025-11-16 198.0 61.00 72.90 94.8 136.00 288.50 411.2 493.05 604.25
2025-11-23 217.0 68.47 80.90 99.8 143.00 334.25 479.5 572.25 681.58
2025-11-30 211.0 61.00 74.95 92.0 132.75 331.50 468.0 592.25 704.15
2025-12-07 214.0 62.85 77.90 102.0 148.75 317.00 484.0 601.20 775.62
2025-12-14 231.5 60.00 73.00 96.8 159.75 377.50 528.7 657.35 909.17
2025-12-21 301.5 97.95 113.00 141.9 205.75 453.00 688.0 893.95 1068.62
2025-12-28 292.0 83.47 98.00 130.0 207.50 473.00 664.5 832.40 974.98
2026-01-04 461.0 121.90 171.00 218.0 313.75 745.50 1125.1 1323.30 1812.38
2026-01-11 667.5 232.00 270.00 326.7 450.75 1073.25 1552.9 1963.30 2603.07
2026-01-18 934.0 292.38 350.90 441.7 626.00 1466.25 2258.1 2862.55 3507.18
2026-01-25 1203.5 322.90 399.00 495.1 739.25 1768.25 2574.6 3654.80 4396.98
2026-02-01 1620.5 471.60 575.45 735.0 1081.25 2367.25 3758.4 4601.45 5159.18
2026-02-08 1635.0 426.43 572.25 709.5 1021.75 2498.25 3663.4 4449.90 5523.85
2026-02-15 1476.0 445.00 520.80 675.7 988.75 2348.50 3734.2 4546.45 5310.02
2026-02-22 1639.5 490.43 609.80 725.2 1016.00 2438.50 3372.9 4457.15 5639.30
2026-03-01 1781.0 487.75 641.45 779.8 1098.50 2694.50 4135.6 5587.55 6857.48
2026-03-08 1720.0 519.23 613.55 749.8 1153.75 2549.75 3982.7 4754.35 5846.50
2026-03-15 1699.5 466.95 624.70 783.0 1083.25 2792.50 4272.2 5458.40 6638.15
2026-03-22 1724.5 518.48 664.95 795.7 1161.25 2668.25 4021.1 5283.75 6523.10
2026-03-29 1745.0 518.60 584.90 801.0 1161.25 2679.00 3834.9 4788.50 5702.38
2026-04-05 1613.0 429.43 559.85 711.8 1081.25 2424.25 3398.7 4214.75 5097.95
2026-04-12 1608.5 452.38 565.00 700.8 1054.50 2477.25 3534.5 4302.20 4976.93
2026-04-19 1387.0 355.38 460.85 613.7 979.00 2040.75 2787.7 3616.00 4867.88
2026-04-26 1219.0 394.80 468.55 581.9 838.50 1745.75 2657.2 3355.35 4305.70
2026-05-03 1005.5 321.90 370.90 484.0 653.50 1519.00 2366.3 2868.25 3360.88
2026-05-10 817.5 250.47 302.70 390.7 547.00 1229.00 1794.8 2252.10 2528.53
2026-05-17 629.0 180.38 215.95 272.6 415.75 958.50 1441.6 1739.00 2086.78
2026-05-24 490.0 134.47 166.95 230.9 328.00 753.50 1125.6 1393.05 1711.30
2026-05-31 335.5 89.00 112.95 141.9 216.00 504.25 740.3 934.10 1172.53
2026-06-07 260.5 70.85 94.95 116.9 170.00 399.25 613.4 752.15 944.02
2026-06-14 226.5 61.00 76.90 99.9 148.00 341.25 460.0 581.30 726.45
2026-06-21 176.5 53.48 69.00 88.0 116.75 270.25 390.3 501.55 631.67
2026-06-28 125.5 41.42 51.00 59.9 82.00 187.00 269.1 334.20 385.57
2026-07-05 99.0 30.00 36.00 47.0 65.00 159.25 233.3 293.10 317.00
2026-07-12 84.0 25.00 32.00 37.0 55.00 129.00 200.3 241.05 281.52
2026-07-19 70.0 23.48 26.00 33.0 48.00 107.25 159.1 189.05 237.57
2026-07-26 64.0 17.00 22.00 28.0 42.75 101.00 140.1 175.05 218.05
2026-08-02 54.0 13.95 18.00 23.9 35.00 86.00 129.3 174.00 199.57
2026-08-09 52.0 14.47 18.00 23.9 34.75 77.00 115.1 155.10 186.57
2026-08-16 51.0 14.00 18.00 22.0 34.00 76.00 108.0 134.00 158.53
2026-08-23 47.0 14.00 17.00 21.0 32.00 68.00 103.0 125.20 143.05
2026-08-30 47.0 11.47 15.95 21.9 32.00 70.00 106.0 129.05 145.53
2026-09-06 46.0 13.00 17.00 21.0 31.00 71.00 111.3 133.00 163.10
2026-09-13 48.0 13.00 16.95 21.9 34.00 78.00 119.0 146.05 180.05
2026-09-20 54.0 14.00 18.00 23.0 36.00 81.00 114.1 139.00 171.53
2026-09-27 55.0 15.47 18.00 25.0 36.75 86.00 127.1 163.10 195.00
2026-10-04 55.0 16.00 20.00 25.0 35.00 91.00 129.0 164.20 203.10
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