Prediction 4358

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model GHR Model 2025
Author Chloe Fletcher
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Sprint Rules, using June forecasts) - PE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 135.5 32.48 39.00 48.0 81.00 247.50 430.3 572.20 710.62
2025-10-12 139.5 30.48 40.00 50.0 82.00 279.25 461.7 643.30 782.62
2025-10-19 159.0 46.00 55.00 68.0 97.75 304.25 507.2 712.45 952.33
2025-10-26 183.5 45.00 61.95 77.9 118.00 346.25 586.4 759.50 928.62
2025-11-02 280.5 62.90 76.95 101.9 160.00 530.50 879.6 1184.40 1498.83
2025-11-09 260.0 66.47 86.00 101.9 143.75 503.75 1014.6 1330.20 1525.03
2025-11-16 268.5 60.85 73.95 103.0 147.00 511.50 876.7 1282.50 1787.85
2025-11-23 266.5 63.00 76.00 103.8 159.00 512.50 862.5 1202.20 1495.53
2025-11-30 230.0 49.00 66.95 89.0 132.75 446.00 792.2 978.80 1201.55
2025-12-07 192.5 49.00 57.95 73.9 120.00 379.25 649.2 806.85 1001.62
2025-12-14 175.5 38.48 52.00 67.9 106.75 310.25 529.8 736.50 934.88
2025-12-21 197.5 40.48 53.90 68.0 107.00 369.75 615.9 792.00 939.52
2025-12-28 191.5 46.00 54.95 66.9 106.75 380.25 618.3 849.30 1099.40
2026-01-04 179.0 46.95 55.95 67.0 107.00 321.50 528.1 725.25 926.15
2026-01-11 210.0 48.48 62.00 83.0 132.75 375.25 669.6 834.20 1174.12
2026-01-18 269.0 59.48 73.00 100.8 153.75 474.25 805.1 1076.15 1252.20
2026-01-25 313.0 66.47 88.95 111.9 185.75 526.25 901.6 1197.35 1492.53
2026-02-01 297.5 69.47 93.00 120.9 182.00 491.00 790.1 1107.95 1402.58
2026-02-08 360.5 92.00 117.75 140.0 217.75 656.25 1099.0 1442.50 1682.85
2026-02-15 399.5 103.47 123.95 161.9 241.75 670.25 1256.1 1667.40 2080.85
2026-02-22 457.0 119.90 146.85 188.0 280.75 821.00 1412.1 1821.60 2325.15
2026-03-01 510.5 121.38 156.95 214.0 324.75 905.25 1494.1 1899.45 2282.93
2026-03-08 556.5 158.47 181.95 226.9 357.00 973.75 1619.4 2308.65 2862.00
2026-03-15 628.5 161.00 197.95 269.5 389.25 1070.25 1746.2 2371.50 3018.53
2026-03-22 648.5 208.00 232.60 273.7 407.75 1078.75 1884.7 2538.00 2879.22
2026-03-29 725.0 194.47 222.90 292.0 463.25 1189.50 1803.0 2181.60 2793.53
2026-04-05 661.0 213.32 246.80 304.9 444.00 1105.25 1786.9 2455.05 3224.75
2026-04-12 801.0 214.00 254.70 362.0 495.75 1407.50 2284.2 2889.25 3255.15
2026-04-19 885.0 257.43 313.00 376.9 539.00 1471.25 2429.1 3184.75 3817.95
2026-04-26 838.0 237.47 317.55 393.8 545.25 1421.50 2432.3 3137.00 4090.62
2026-05-03 825.0 236.65 309.95 372.7 525.00 1375.25 2261.2 2799.10 3407.07
2026-05-10 835.5 254.00 292.50 356.0 522.50 1446.25 2326.5 2926.00 4182.15
2026-05-17 793.5 258.95 293.95 334.0 469.50 1345.00 2244.3 2728.35 3443.88
2026-05-24 733.5 204.80 259.90 330.4 468.25 1262.25 1980.6 2485.50 3050.80
2026-05-31 673.5 183.43 205.90 268.9 408.25 1094.50 1774.4 2519.25 3021.30
2026-06-07 560.5 156.47 181.85 236.9 344.50 928.00 1516.1 1891.55 2535.30
2026-06-14 424.0 130.47 157.00 197.9 263.50 702.50 1187.5 1492.75 1878.05
2026-06-21 384.0 104.00 125.90 158.0 237.00 667.00 1046.2 1396.75 1662.45
2026-06-28 297.0 72.47 102.90 125.9 185.75 495.75 837.3 1092.15 1296.92
2026-07-05 254.0 76.47 87.00 109.0 158.00 444.75 713.6 925.40 1115.05
2026-07-12 231.5 61.42 75.95 94.0 140.00 389.75 611.1 740.05 878.52
2026-07-19 192.0 60.48 69.95 85.9 115.00 328.25 538.2 695.15 885.45
2026-07-26 173.0 48.00 58.00 73.9 108.75 302.25 442.2 573.20 707.62
2026-08-02 169.5 49.95 62.95 78.0 109.75 277.25 423.4 573.60 746.77
2026-08-09 158.0 44.48 56.00 65.0 101.75 241.75 411.1 573.25 769.15
2026-08-16 143.0 43.00 51.95 64.0 88.00 240.25 380.0 445.00 564.73
2026-08-23 134.0 39.00 44.90 56.0 82.75 228.75 373.3 483.60 555.67
2026-08-30 128.5 35.00 41.95 55.9 81.00 222.00 375.0 503.00 593.15
2026-09-06 136.5 33.48 42.95 51.0 79.00 218.50 314.6 427.10 532.20
2026-09-13 113.5 31.00 36.95 49.0 73.75 183.00 294.4 385.05 471.57
2026-09-20 110.0 36.00 40.00 50.0 71.00 177.00 280.3 412.50 516.52
2026-09-27 97.5 25.00 33.95 42.0 64.00 167.00 265.0 330.05 426.07
2026-10-04 88.5 24.48 31.00 38.0 56.75 154.25 246.3 334.25 399.57
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