Prediction 4366

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model GHR Model 2025
Author Chloe Fletcher
ADM 1 Santa Catarina

Description:

GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Sprint Rules, using June forecasts) - SC


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 44.0 9.00 11.00 18.0 27.00 66.00 101.2 129.25 162.15
2025-10-12 47.0 8.47 13.00 18.0 28.00 75.25 110.1 133.00 173.05
2025-10-19 51.0 11.00 13.95 19.0 31.00 81.25 118.0 139.15 176.35
2025-10-26 53.0 10.00 14.95 21.0 32.00 83.00 114.0 142.05 165.53
2025-11-02 54.5 12.47 15.00 20.9 35.00 90.00 131.0 159.05 189.10
2025-11-09 70.0 16.48 21.95 27.0 40.00 107.00 153.2 193.05 224.53
2025-11-16 84.0 20.00 24.00 32.0 49.00 130.00 184.1 211.00 235.05
2025-11-23 90.0 18.00 27.00 36.8 58.00 142.25 185.0 224.30 246.05
2025-11-30 108.0 29.48 35.95 44.0 66.00 158.25 247.5 331.05 372.75
2025-12-07 115.0 25.00 30.90 38.0 70.00 181.00 244.1 296.15 346.10
2025-12-14 130.0 29.00 37.90 51.0 79.00 178.50 245.2 321.05 357.57
2025-12-21 135.0 31.00 40.95 52.0 83.00 213.00 305.1 361.05 421.05
2025-12-28 131.0 29.48 43.00 54.0 84.00 197.25 280.3 328.05 396.15
2026-01-04 218.5 53.48 64.95 91.9 139.00 323.25 451.1 534.35 655.52
2026-01-11 255.0 57.48 79.95 103.0 169.00 387.00 535.4 634.10 760.20
2026-01-18 291.5 67.00 94.95 121.9 181.00 451.00 628.3 755.10 897.10
2026-01-25 346.0 92.42 124.90 148.9 216.75 515.25 771.5 918.15 1066.72
2026-02-01 593.5 147.85 217.60 267.7 398.75 883.00 1312.5 1745.55 2020.92
2026-02-08 666.0 159.12 199.90 270.6 427.00 1038.25 1539.7 1738.30 1958.35
2026-02-15 803.0 230.80 264.95 327.9 504.50 1228.50 1818.8 2051.30 2329.78
2026-02-22 1000.0 242.47 311.95 405.8 573.75 1531.50 2074.5 2529.30 2945.40
2026-03-01 1557.0 434.50 509.50 677.0 1054.75 2474.75 3344.7 4038.95 4957.30
2026-03-08 1689.0 439.80 554.80 755.7 1160.00 2639.50 3777.1 4538.45 5307.68
2026-03-15 2173.0 402.93 642.90 828.3 1307.50 3192.50 4276.1 5289.30 6311.52
2026-03-22 2358.0 709.27 824.85 1164.3 1608.75 3667.75 5130.4 6188.45 7249.70
2026-03-29 3529.5 899.50 1096.75 1450.3 2305.25 5447.25 7769.3 9823.40 11429.20
2026-04-05 4093.5 1131.22 1447.80 1770.6 2537.75 6063.50 8225.6 9950.20 12179.35
2026-04-12 3918.5 1086.90 1296.85 1709.3 2481.00 6333.25 9181.3 10607.95 12416.00
2026-04-19 4194.0 1138.40 1357.95 1842.0 2768.50 6156.75 8821.0 10476.35 12054.73
2026-04-26 3794.0 910.25 1229.10 1582.1 2483.25 6055.75 8611.2 10708.35 12426.58
2026-05-03 2922.0 760.00 879.60 1216.0 1888.75 4479.00 6404.1 7667.65 9175.85
2026-05-10 2455.0 686.27 829.45 1127.0 1580.00 3885.75 5367.5 6515.25 7529.90
2026-05-17 2019.5 511.40 644.75 809.6 1254.75 2999.75 4110.8 4704.55 5379.30
2026-05-24 1364.5 356.60 465.95 583.2 882.00 2149.25 3162.5 3805.00 4381.40
2026-05-31 735.0 171.47 237.00 300.9 487.75 1162.25 1599.3 1983.35 2250.60
2026-06-07 595.5 143.47 183.85 240.7 361.75 901.00 1294.2 1613.25 1892.78
2026-06-14 440.0 113.47 132.00 173.0 280.75 698.50 957.4 1189.20 1513.65
2026-06-21 345.0 77.42 100.90 130.0 205.50 521.25 770.7 881.05 1057.00
2026-06-28 161.0 40.00 50.90 65.9 98.00 249.50 332.9 419.20 562.73
2026-07-05 134.0 32.48 39.00 54.0 82.00 202.00 294.1 361.05 422.52
2026-07-12 102.0 26.48 31.95 44.8 64.75 153.25 227.1 284.05 330.10
2026-07-19 89.5 21.48 28.95 34.9 55.75 138.00 201.1 236.10 259.73
2026-07-26 84.0 16.48 24.00 35.0 53.00 132.00 180.0 210.15 256.52
2026-08-02 51.0 11.00 14.00 18.0 31.00 80.00 108.0 124.05 136.53
2026-08-09 49.0 10.47 14.95 18.9 28.75 76.00 105.0 139.05 156.20
2026-08-16 47.0 11.00 14.00 19.0 30.00 73.00 100.0 119.00 142.05
2026-08-23 45.0 10.47 14.00 17.0 29.00 67.00 92.0 113.10 126.05
2026-08-30 30.0 6.00 8.00 11.0 18.00 49.00 74.1 90.05 106.05
2026-09-06 31.5 7.00 8.00 11.0 19.00 48.00 70.1 86.20 104.53
2026-09-13 34.5 6.47 10.00 14.0 22.00 52.00 75.1 90.05 104.53
2026-09-20 35.0 8.47 11.00 14.0 22.00 54.00 76.0 92.00 116.58
2026-09-27 38.0 7.47 11.00 13.9 23.00 60.00 91.1 111.00 128.57
2026-10-04 31.0 6.47 9.95 12.9 21.00 47.00 67.0 80.00 96.00
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