Prediction 4369

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model GHR Model 2025
Author Chloe Fletcher
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Sprint Rules, using June forecasts) - TO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 36.5 9.00 11.00 14.0 22.75 65.00 101.1 124.20 149.72
2025-10-12 45.5 10.00 14.00 17.0 27.00 73.00 129.1 162.15 194.40
2025-10-19 53.0 12.00 16.95 21.9 33.00 88.00 146.6 196.00 244.10
2025-10-26 74.5 16.48 20.00 27.9 45.00 125.00 187.1 256.05 299.25
2025-11-02 74.0 18.48 22.95 31.0 47.00 114.25 177.1 230.15 299.00
2025-11-09 102.0 22.48 30.95 40.0 62.00 167.00 277.3 354.20 425.68
2025-11-16 144.0 33.48 41.00 55.0 86.75 234.00 327.1 406.05 484.77
2025-11-23 172.0 35.48 44.00 66.0 98.00 272.00 395.1 551.35 625.00
2025-11-30 142.0 39.00 49.95 60.0 92.50 224.25 361.0 468.20 521.15
2025-12-07 125.5 32.48 39.00 50.0 78.75 213.00 333.8 451.70 573.67
2025-12-14 124.5 34.95 41.00 52.8 77.00 192.25 310.0 379.05 488.68
2025-12-21 118.5 32.00 40.00 50.0 73.75 210.00 312.0 391.05 518.52
2025-12-28 130.5 31.00 40.00 51.0 80.75 214.00 324.4 428.15 528.10
2026-01-04 132.0 28.00 38.95 50.9 79.00 205.00 325.1 407.40 470.93
2026-01-11 155.5 40.95 51.95 67.8 95.00 246.25 365.6 459.65 542.35
2026-01-18 185.0 43.00 55.00 75.0 118.75 315.50 525.0 692.50 826.12
2026-01-25 201.0 54.48 66.95 82.9 130.50 353.50 531.3 660.70 796.00
2026-02-01 218.5 51.95 66.00 86.9 135.00 341.00 527.9 656.70 789.35
2026-02-08 218.0 43.42 66.95 86.9 125.75 350.75 547.1 692.60 789.52
2026-02-15 197.5 58.48 69.00 88.8 128.00 338.25 518.3 691.10 918.25
2026-02-22 210.0 50.48 60.00 86.0 131.00 337.75 521.2 683.10 841.20
2026-03-01 225.5 63.95 72.90 90.9 146.75 379.00 607.5 735.40 953.67
2026-03-08 243.5 59.95 78.95 101.0 154.00 393.25 603.1 715.20 957.58
2026-03-15 241.5 59.48 81.95 102.0 149.75 425.00 632.2 815.05 922.30
2026-03-22 252.5 62.48 82.95 107.0 156.00 398.00 656.3 930.30 1072.35
2026-03-29 307.0 70.00 88.95 113.9 193.75 470.50 744.1 974.60 1204.75
2026-04-05 300.5 90.47 100.90 123.0 186.75 514.00 757.9 967.10 1089.88
2026-04-12 294.0 89.00 105.90 139.6 193.00 490.25 712.5 931.60 1099.08
2026-04-19 287.0 82.80 101.95 118.0 179.75 450.50 727.1 920.10 1148.08
2026-04-26 294.5 74.95 95.00 126.0 175.00 480.50 754.1 958.95 1134.10
2026-05-03 234.5 60.90 78.85 98.0 153.00 401.50 604.4 751.75 890.83
2026-05-10 216.5 52.00 68.95 92.9 139.75 343.25 581.1 723.45 891.00
2026-05-17 192.0 47.95 61.95 83.0 123.00 297.75 465.1 589.20 738.73
2026-05-24 168.0 40.48 51.90 68.0 105.75 275.75 398.0 500.30 579.25
2026-05-31 156.0 36.00 47.00 59.0 93.00 245.00 396.8 492.20 574.62
2026-06-07 119.0 26.48 35.95 49.9 71.00 196.00 292.4 353.40 479.35
2026-06-14 96.5 20.00 30.00 40.9 62.00 152.50 243.2 307.40 413.15
2026-06-21 79.5 18.00 24.00 33.0 50.00 125.25 183.1 255.20 309.40
2026-06-28 61.5 14.00 17.95 26.0 36.00 96.00 154.8 216.10 265.62
2026-07-05 48.0 10.00 14.00 18.0 29.00 76.00 117.3 161.20 203.68
2026-07-12 42.0 7.00 11.00 16.0 25.00 66.00 112.0 145.05 173.05
2026-07-19 34.0 7.00 10.00 13.0 21.00 53.00 85.1 110.00 131.00
2026-07-26 33.0 7.00 10.00 12.0 21.00 50.00 79.0 106.00 120.67
2026-08-02 30.0 6.00 7.95 11.0 18.00 51.00 73.0 96.10 115.58
2026-08-09 29.5 5.47 9.00 11.9 18.00 47.00 71.1 89.30 110.05
2026-08-16 27.0 5.47 8.00 11.0 16.00 42.00 65.1 81.00 101.05
2026-08-23 24.0 5.00 7.00 9.0 14.00 39.25 60.0 70.05 90.00
2026-08-30 20.0 6.00 7.00 9.0 13.00 34.00 58.0 72.05 86.05
2026-09-06 19.5 4.00 6.00 8.0 13.00 35.00 52.0 71.00 89.53
2026-09-13 18.0 4.00 5.00 7.0 11.00 29.00 43.0 62.00 74.10
2026-09-20 19.0 3.00 4.00 6.0 10.00 29.00 43.0 55.05 72.53
2026-09-27 18.0 3.00 4.00 6.0 10.00 31.00 46.0 59.10 75.00
2026-10-04 20.0 4.00 5.00 8.0 13.00 31.00 44.1 55.00 66.00
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