Prediction 4370
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - AC
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 111.0 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 22.0 | 54.00 | 196.00 | 321.1 | 411.00 | 498.55 |
| 2025-10-12 | 125.5 | 10.00 | 19.95 | 30.0 | 58.00 | 222.00 | 329.2 | 403.05 | 513.83 |
| 2025-10-19 | 124.5 | 12.47 | 18.00 | 28.0 | 53.75 | 229.00 | 374.4 | 469.20 | 568.05 |
| 2025-10-26 | 135.5 | 16.48 | 20.00 | 36.0 | 70.75 | 256.50 | 371.8 | 471.20 | 608.85 |
| 2025-11-02 | 155.0 | 14.00 | 26.00 | 39.8 | 76.75 | 295.00 | 437.5 | 588.60 | 711.75 |
| 2025-11-09 | 189.0 | 19.48 | 29.90 | 44.0 | 89.75 | 331.00 | 515.2 | 777.30 | 905.55 |
| 2025-11-16 | 210.5 | 18.43 | 29.00 | 50.7 | 109.00 | 383.00 | 690.1 | 832.15 | 981.23 |
| 2025-11-23 | 219.0 | 15.95 | 29.85 | 47.9 | 110.00 | 398.25 | 654.1 | 859.65 | 1015.55 |
| 2025-11-30 | 208.0 | 18.95 | 26.95 | 43.0 | 88.75 | 372.25 | 557.1 | 779.35 | 893.98 |
| 2025-12-07 | 190.5 | 16.00 | 27.00 | 48.0 | 100.00 | 366.00 | 614.4 | 835.25 | 1127.08 |
| 2025-12-14 | 229.0 | 19.95 | 28.95 | 49.0 | 122.00 | 423.50 | 643.3 | 801.35 | 1019.73 |
| 2025-12-21 | 253.0 | 17.48 | 33.95 | 57.0 | 119.00 | 443.00 | 750.7 | 896.25 | 1034.58 |
| 2025-12-28 | 234.5 | 27.48 | 40.95 | 55.9 | 125.00 | 413.00 | 654.3 | 823.65 | 974.02 |
| 2026-01-04 | 253.0 | 26.48 | 34.00 | 53.7 | 116.75 | 463.00 | 731.4 | 958.25 | 1134.50 |
| 2026-01-11 | 214.5 | 20.48 | 32.00 | 52.0 | 111.00 | 435.25 | 702.9 | 967.10 | 1167.25 |
| 2026-01-18 | 270.5 | 26.00 | 40.00 | 64.8 | 135.25 | 488.25 | 744.8 | 980.90 | 1128.67 |
| 2026-01-25 | 260.0 | 20.95 | 28.95 | 54.0 | 122.00 | 463.25 | 687.3 | 890.25 | 1197.50 |
| 2026-02-01 | 278.0 | 27.00 | 43.00 | 69.9 | 125.00 | 471.25 | 808.7 | 1043.55 | 1242.15 |
| 2026-02-08 | 270.5 | 27.48 | 41.90 | 67.9 | 132.00 | 488.75 | 776.2 | 951.45 | 1131.58 |
| 2026-02-15 | 231.0 | 15.47 | 30.00 | 56.9 | 99.00 | 412.00 | 648.6 | 840.30 | 1006.02 |
| 2026-02-22 | 213.0 | 21.00 | 33.95 | 52.9 | 110.00 | 388.75 | 629.1 | 789.20 | 894.27 |
| 2026-03-01 | 178.5 | 16.43 | 24.00 | 43.9 | 92.00 | 342.25 | 522.1 | 744.30 | 853.15 |
| 2026-03-08 | 156.5 | 15.00 | 25.90 | 36.9 | 76.75 | 273.25 | 491.6 | 634.15 | 757.35 |
| 2026-03-15 | 149.5 | 14.00 | 19.95 | 35.0 | 70.00 | 266.50 | 423.2 | 550.70 | 657.58 |
| 2026-03-22 | 116.0 | 14.00 | 20.00 | 27.9 | 58.00 | 231.25 | 377.1 | 443.35 | 590.40 |
| 2026-03-29 | 102.5 | 11.00 | 14.95 | 24.9 | 47.00 | 187.00 | 303.1 | 403.15 | 480.73 |
| 2026-04-05 | 94.5 | 9.00 | 12.90 | 20.9 | 43.00 | 183.25 | 282.3 | 356.50 | 466.30 |
| 2026-04-12 | 75.0 | 8.00 | 10.00 | 17.0 | 37.00 | 135.00 | 227.6 | 290.10 | 336.35 |
| 2026-04-19 | 64.0 | 3.95 | 8.00 | 14.0 | 28.75 | 122.00 | 191.6 | 273.20 | 343.62 |
| 2026-04-26 | 58.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 28.00 | 107.00 | 156.2 | 214.05 | 253.15 |
| 2026-05-03 | 54.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 13.0 | 26.75 | 105.00 | 169.0 | 203.00 | 246.53 |
| 2026-05-10 | 48.0 | 4.47 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 23.00 | 88.00 | 133.1 | 163.35 | 203.10 |
| 2026-05-17 | 46.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 21.00 | 84.25 | 134.0 | 173.00 | 207.15 |
| 2026-05-24 | 38.0 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 20.00 | 67.25 | 108.1 | 131.05 | 167.57 |
| 2026-05-31 | 33.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 16.00 | 61.25 | 100.0 | 135.10 | 155.53 |
| 2026-06-07 | 30.0 | 2.00 | 3.95 | 7.0 | 15.00 | 54.25 | 87.1 | 107.15 | 124.53 |
| 2026-06-14 | 27.5 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 13.00 | 48.00 | 82.0 | 111.10 | 132.53 |
| 2026-06-21 | 26.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 13.00 | 49.00 | 76.2 | 99.20 | 115.05 |
| 2026-06-28 | 25.0 | 2.00 | 3.95 | 6.9 | 12.00 | 48.00 | 80.1 | 97.05 | 112.10 |
| 2026-07-05 | 25.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 11.00 | 46.00 | 71.1 | 97.00 | 113.05 |
| 2026-07-12 | 22.5 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 42.25 | 64.1 | 86.05 | 111.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | 22.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 10.00 | 39.25 | 66.1 | 80.00 | 88.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | 24.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 43.25 | 71.0 | 92.20 | 121.05 |
| 2026-08-02 | 25.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 12.75 | 43.25 | 71.0 | 90.10 | 103.53 |
| 2026-08-09 | 25.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 13.75 | 48.00 | 81.0 | 110.05 | 123.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | 29.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 14.75 | 54.00 | 88.0 | 116.00 | 135.53 |
| 2026-08-23 | 35.5 | 3.00 | 4.95 | 7.0 | 17.75 | 71.25 | 104.1 | 135.10 | 166.05 |
| 2026-08-30 | 46.0 | 3.48 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 20.75 | 83.25 | 130.0 | 167.10 | 213.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | 49.0 | 4.47 | 8.00 | 13.0 | 24.00 | 101.25 | 152.3 | 196.05 | 231.57 |
| 2026-09-13 | 61.5 | 6.47 | 9.95 | 17.0 | 32.00 | 120.25 | 189.1 | 244.10 | 303.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | 73.5 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 17.0 | 36.00 | 134.25 | 214.0 | 259.15 | 332.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | 75.0 | 6.47 | 11.00 | 17.9 | 35.75 | 149.00 | 235.1 | 306.05 | 420.88 |
| 2026-10-04 | 85.0 | 6.47 | 13.95 | 22.9 | 43.75 | 162.00 | 281.0 | 365.05 | 403.15 |
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