Prediction 4371
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - AL
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 92.0 | 24.00 | 29.95 | 39.0 | 58.00 | 138.00 | 203.0 | 260.55 | 350.20 |
| 2025-10-12 | 94.0 | 23.00 | 32.95 | 40.0 | 63.00 | 135.25 | 206.3 | 251.05 | 297.10 |
| 2025-10-19 | 91.0 | 24.48 | 29.00 | 39.9 | 58.00 | 151.25 | 214.0 | 269.00 | 320.68 |
| 2025-10-26 | 96.5 | 23.00 | 30.95 | 41.0 | 60.00 | 155.00 | 219.1 | 271.35 | 349.00 |
| 2025-11-02 | 88.0 | 25.48 | 33.00 | 40.0 | 56.00 | 151.00 | 213.1 | 270.05 | 310.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | 86.0 | 25.48 | 32.90 | 40.0 | 53.00 | 133.00 | 196.1 | 234.25 | 281.05 |
| 2025-11-16 | 74.0 | 24.48 | 27.00 | 36.0 | 48.00 | 120.25 | 181.1 | 220.15 | 253.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | 68.5 | 18.00 | 23.90 | 28.9 | 44.00 | 101.25 | 154.1 | 184.05 | 215.10 |
| 2025-11-30 | 59.0 | 15.00 | 17.95 | 24.0 | 37.00 | 95.25 | 129.0 | 151.15 | 176.05 |
| 2025-12-07 | 50.0 | 13.00 | 16.00 | 21.0 | 33.00 | 78.00 | 112.1 | 141.00 | 162.53 |
| 2025-12-14 | 47.0 | 14.00 | 16.00 | 21.0 | 31.00 | 77.25 | 110.0 | 131.05 | 162.57 |
| 2025-12-21 | 49.5 | 10.00 | 16.90 | 22.0 | 34.00 | 75.00 | 116.1 | 141.00 | 175.57 |
| 2025-12-28 | 47.0 | 10.47 | 16.00 | 20.0 | 30.00 | 73.00 | 110.1 | 126.05 | 144.53 |
| 2026-01-04 | 58.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 23.0 | 36.00 | 91.00 | 131.1 | 159.05 | 188.05 |
| 2026-01-11 | 66.5 | 15.00 | 18.95 | 25.0 | 42.00 | 97.25 | 139.1 | 178.00 | 220.05 |
| 2026-01-18 | 69.0 | 17.00 | 21.95 | 29.9 | 45.00 | 110.25 | 160.1 | 200.85 | 276.57 |
| 2026-01-25 | 78.0 | 19.48 | 26.95 | 33.9 | 50.00 | 128.00 | 180.1 | 227.05 | 272.52 |
| 2026-02-01 | 83.0 | 22.00 | 25.95 | 33.9 | 52.00 | 131.00 | 196.1 | 259.10 | 312.50 |
| 2026-02-08 | 98.0 | 22.00 | 30.00 | 38.0 | 60.75 | 152.25 | 234.1 | 291.10 | 358.52 |
| 2026-02-15 | 97.5 | 25.00 | 30.95 | 41.0 | 63.00 | 156.50 | 227.2 | 282.10 | 344.15 |
| 2026-02-22 | 120.0 | 33.00 | 37.00 | 47.9 | 76.00 | 198.00 | 279.0 | 334.00 | 396.57 |
| 2026-03-01 | 143.0 | 39.00 | 44.95 | 58.9 | 89.75 | 223.00 | 326.4 | 377.30 | 438.55 |
| 2026-03-08 | 169.5 | 45.48 | 55.00 | 65.0 | 102.00 | 279.50 | 428.0 | 530.00 | 660.30 |
| 2026-03-15 | 204.5 | 51.48 | 63.00 | 81.9 | 121.75 | 343.50 | 452.6 | 603.30 | 716.20 |
| 2026-03-22 | 218.0 | 57.95 | 64.95 | 89.9 | 135.75 | 358.25 | 566.0 | 694.05 | 819.58 |
| 2026-03-29 | 251.0 | 57.95 | 68.90 | 101.9 | 156.75 | 413.50 | 654.0 | 810.30 | 999.88 |
| 2026-04-05 | 276.5 | 71.42 | 85.85 | 110.0 | 167.75 | 443.25 | 685.6 | 881.55 | 947.20 |
| 2026-04-12 | 280.5 | 80.00 | 104.95 | 126.0 | 176.00 | 464.25 | 687.5 | 929.55 | 1122.05 |
| 2026-04-19 | 290.5 | 77.47 | 94.00 | 120.9 | 178.50 | 488.00 | 766.8 | 910.15 | 1103.20 |
| 2026-04-26 | 288.0 | 81.33 | 104.00 | 127.9 | 195.00 | 486.50 | 836.2 | 1030.05 | 1284.58 |
| 2026-05-03 | 316.0 | 70.42 | 97.00 | 126.0 | 201.50 | 529.25 | 827.2 | 1055.65 | 1392.25 |
| 2026-05-10 | 353.5 | 90.95 | 108.90 | 134.0 | 221.75 | 580.00 | 900.8 | 1148.60 | 1379.00 |
| 2026-05-17 | 374.0 | 98.47 | 119.00 | 139.9 | 214.00 | 625.25 | 909.1 | 1114.20 | 1305.20 |
| 2026-05-24 | 332.0 | 94.47 | 114.00 | 147.0 | 214.75 | 536.25 | 834.7 | 1167.20 | 1487.55 |
| 2026-05-31 | 355.5 | 83.00 | 98.90 | 134.7 | 197.75 | 557.75 | 859.4 | 1064.20 | 1258.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | 328.5 | 88.47 | 103.00 | 143.9 | 211.00 | 532.25 | 811.3 | 1013.10 | 1178.40 |
| 2026-06-14 | 315.5 | 79.47 | 94.95 | 128.9 | 200.00 | 485.25 | 751.0 | 934.85 | 1250.15 |
| 2026-06-21 | 290.5 | 70.90 | 87.00 | 116.9 | 179.50 | 488.00 | 719.0 | 933.75 | 1110.62 |
| 2026-06-28 | 255.0 | 58.95 | 69.00 | 101.0 | 154.00 | 394.50 | 573.1 | 734.90 | 902.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | 239.0 | 61.48 | 75.95 | 94.9 | 148.00 | 375.75 | 600.4 | 728.15 | 851.15 |
| 2026-07-12 | 243.5 | 62.95 | 76.90 | 97.0 | 144.50 | 374.75 | 568.4 | 661.10 | 830.45 |
| 2026-07-19 | 210.5 | 45.95 | 60.00 | 81.9 | 130.75 | 327.00 | 458.3 | 564.70 | 672.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | 185.5 | 53.90 | 64.95 | 77.0 | 117.00 | 308.00 | 457.2 | 569.30 | 686.67 |
| 2026-08-02 | 174.5 | 45.95 | 62.95 | 81.9 | 113.00 | 268.25 | 380.1 | 512.10 | 603.73 |
| 2026-08-09 | 154.5 | 42.42 | 51.00 | 62.0 | 91.00 | 246.50 | 371.0 | 474.20 | 549.25 |
| 2026-08-16 | 134.0 | 34.95 | 43.00 | 57.0 | 84.75 | 209.25 | 320.2 | 378.00 | 436.25 |
| 2026-08-23 | 121.0 | 30.00 | 36.00 | 47.0 | 75.75 | 197.00 | 302.1 | 374.05 | 406.62 |
| 2026-08-30 | 109.5 | 29.95 | 38.00 | 47.0 | 71.00 | 171.25 | 245.3 | 302.20 | 426.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | 122.0 | 29.00 | 37.95 | 50.0 | 76.00 | 203.00 | 283.2 | 327.55 | 422.65 |
| 2026-09-13 | 104.0 | 26.00 | 33.95 | 42.0 | 69.00 | 167.00 | 231.1 | 294.05 | 337.52 |
| 2026-09-20 | 106.0 | 26.00 | 32.00 | 41.9 | 64.00 | 161.00 | 233.3 | 282.10 | 331.62 |
| 2026-09-27 | 92.0 | 27.00 | 33.00 | 40.0 | 59.00 | 145.25 | 206.0 | 236.00 | 288.93 |
| 2026-10-04 | 86.0 | 22.48 | 26.00 | 37.0 | 55.00 | 127.00 | 182.1 | 219.05 | 259.25 |
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