Prediction 4372
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - AM
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 77.0 | 14.00 | 19.95 | 26.9 | 44.00 | 140.50 | 248.2 | 373.10 | 440.88 |
| 2025-10-12 | 81.5 | 18.00 | 22.00 | 26.0 | 44.00 | 158.25 | 260.4 | 345.05 | 423.00 |
| 2025-10-19 | 77.0 | 18.00 | 22.00 | 29.0 | 45.75 | 147.25 | 253.0 | 353.20 | 419.07 |
| 2025-10-26 | 93.5 | 21.00 | 25.95 | 32.0 | 51.00 | 180.25 | 324.1 | 395.55 | 488.45 |
| 2025-11-02 | 119.5 | 28.48 | 34.00 | 43.9 | 65.00 | 218.25 | 372.0 | 457.60 | 542.58 |
| 2025-11-09 | 123.0 | 27.95 | 33.00 | 47.0 | 72.75 | 215.25 | 369.2 | 536.25 | 741.65 |
| 2025-11-16 | 149.0 | 31.95 | 44.00 | 57.9 | 90.00 | 286.00 | 483.1 | 573.70 | 701.52 |
| 2025-11-23 | 149.5 | 37.00 | 48.00 | 61.9 | 93.00 | 289.00 | 480.5 | 671.60 | 862.75 |
| 2025-11-30 | 140.0 | 35.42 | 47.90 | 59.0 | 84.75 | 250.00 | 399.0 | 506.05 | 665.73 |
| 2025-12-07 | 140.0 | 39.00 | 47.95 | 58.0 | 86.00 | 245.25 | 421.5 | 616.25 | 743.73 |
| 2025-12-14 | 147.0 | 34.48 | 38.95 | 53.0 | 86.75 | 271.00 | 455.2 | 622.35 | 828.02 |
| 2025-12-21 | 175.0 | 44.00 | 51.90 | 65.0 | 100.00 | 301.25 | 533.1 | 658.25 | 796.52 |
| 2025-12-28 | 172.5 | 43.00 | 52.90 | 66.9 | 99.00 | 322.75 | 501.6 | 658.20 | 775.58 |
| 2026-01-04 | 154.5 | 36.00 | 45.00 | 60.0 | 92.00 | 287.25 | 476.4 | 627.30 | 842.52 |
| 2026-01-11 | 185.0 | 44.48 | 56.95 | 75.9 | 112.75 | 313.75 | 532.0 | 732.15 | 941.08 |
| 2026-01-18 | 237.0 | 44.48 | 59.00 | 79.9 | 138.00 | 424.25 | 744.3 | 1126.00 | 1349.10 |
| 2026-01-25 | 225.0 | 54.00 | 67.00 | 85.0 | 132.00 | 428.25 | 724.1 | 1008.90 | 1339.22 |
| 2026-02-01 | 230.5 | 45.00 | 57.00 | 82.7 | 126.75 | 418.50 | 661.5 | 945.20 | 1242.92 |
| 2026-02-08 | 210.5 | 51.00 | 63.00 | 81.0 | 125.00 | 372.25 | 615.8 | 787.05 | 1024.92 |
| 2026-02-15 | 215.5 | 49.48 | 64.95 | 80.9 | 127.00 | 384.50 | 641.4 | 819.95 | 1089.20 |
| 2026-02-22 | 241.0 | 61.48 | 76.75 | 92.9 | 136.50 | 455.00 | 735.0 | 961.05 | 1146.00 |
| 2026-03-01 | 227.0 | 59.00 | 71.95 | 93.0 | 141.00 | 380.50 | 600.2 | 763.30 | 1009.23 |
| 2026-03-08 | 233.5 | 54.48 | 75.95 | 89.0 | 147.75 | 414.50 | 676.2 | 934.05 | 1155.42 |
| 2026-03-15 | 214.5 | 54.48 | 63.90 | 82.0 | 129.75 | 397.50 | 642.1 | 839.90 | 1155.15 |
| 2026-03-22 | 183.0 | 42.90 | 49.95 | 71.9 | 110.75 | 335.25 | 574.4 | 792.45 | 910.77 |
| 2026-03-29 | 167.5 | 40.00 | 49.95 | 67.0 | 104.00 | 294.50 | 484.1 | 645.45 | 857.42 |
| 2026-04-05 | 143.5 | 32.48 | 41.95 | 55.0 | 88.00 | 239.50 | 385.5 | 559.60 | 687.58 |
| 2026-04-12 | 131.0 | 29.00 | 35.00 | 47.0 | 76.75 | 219.00 | 373.3 | 492.25 | 619.52 |
| 2026-04-19 | 110.0 | 25.00 | 31.00 | 39.9 | 62.75 | 190.25 | 311.0 | 413.00 | 522.52 |
| 2026-04-26 | 91.0 | 16.95 | 24.00 | 31.0 | 51.00 | 164.25 | 285.1 | 364.30 | 521.40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 86.0 | 16.48 | 20.95 | 29.0 | 50.00 | 149.50 | 228.4 | 289.10 | 356.52 |
| 2026-05-10 | 72.5 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 27.0 | 43.75 | 138.00 | 217.0 | 277.15 | 334.25 |
| 2026-05-17 | 69.5 | 15.47 | 19.00 | 26.9 | 41.75 | 122.00 | 190.1 | 257.30 | 306.68 |
| 2026-05-24 | 59.0 | 15.00 | 18.95 | 22.0 | 35.00 | 104.00 | 179.2 | 256.15 | 318.15 |
| 2026-05-31 | 56.0 | 13.47 | 18.00 | 22.0 | 34.00 | 99.25 | 170.7 | 223.05 | 268.50 |
| 2026-06-07 | 55.0 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 20.0 | 32.00 | 104.00 | 163.3 | 232.50 | 278.10 |
| 2026-06-14 | 50.0 | 11.47 | 14.00 | 18.9 | 29.00 | 93.00 | 148.1 | 193.00 | 238.00 |
| 2026-06-21 | 45.0 | 11.00 | 13.00 | 18.9 | 28.00 | 86.25 | 132.1 | 178.00 | 232.62 |
| 2026-06-28 | 43.0 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 17.0 | 26.00 | 77.00 | 130.1 | 173.05 | 219.15 |
| 2026-07-05 | 46.0 | 11.00 | 13.00 | 17.0 | 27.00 | 79.00 | 140.2 | 184.05 | 216.68 |
| 2026-07-12 | 43.0 | 10.47 | 12.00 | 15.0 | 24.00 | 76.00 | 125.1 | 174.25 | 231.57 |
| 2026-07-19 | 46.0 | 10.47 | 13.00 | 18.0 | 27.00 | 79.25 | 139.1 | 183.10 | 209.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | 38.0 | 9.00 | 11.00 | 14.0 | 24.00 | 65.00 | 109.0 | 144.10 | 188.25 |
| 2026-08-02 | 39.0 | 6.47 | 9.00 | 13.9 | 23.00 | 69.25 | 117.2 | 159.30 | 205.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | 36.0 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 14.0 | 22.00 | 64.00 | 106.2 | 140.05 | 157.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | 34.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 20.00 | 57.00 | 99.1 | 136.10 | 164.72 |
| 2026-08-23 | 33.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 12.0 | 19.00 | 61.00 | 100.1 | 138.00 | 194.68 |
| 2026-08-30 | 32.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 12.0 | 18.00 | 58.00 | 95.1 | 130.15 | 157.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | 36.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 13.0 | 20.75 | 62.00 | 102.2 | 133.05 | 172.62 |
| 2026-09-13 | 34.0 | 7.47 | 10.00 | 14.0 | 22.00 | 64.25 | 105.2 | 160.00 | 192.53 |
| 2026-09-20 | 37.0 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 15.0 | 23.00 | 63.25 | 104.0 | 129.15 | 177.15 |
| 2026-09-27 | 42.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 16.9 | 25.00 | 76.25 | 142.2 | 169.20 | 199.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | 47.0 | 11.00 | 13.00 | 17.0 | 27.00 | 86.00 | 137.2 | 168.00 | 207.20 |
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