Prediction 4373
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - AP
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 14.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 27.00 | 44.0 | 57.10 | 73.05 |
| 2025-10-12 | 14.0 | 1.00 | 1.95 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 25.00 | 41.0 | 53.05 | 61.52 |
| 2025-10-19 | 14.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.9 | 8.00 | 26.00 | 43.0 | 60.05 | 78.53 |
| 2025-10-26 | 14.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 24.00 | 38.1 | 49.05 | 59.58 |
| 2025-11-02 | 12.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 24.00 | 37.0 | 47.00 | 58.05 |
| 2025-11-09 | 11.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 21.00 | 31.0 | 40.05 | 49.52 |
| 2025-11-16 | 9.0 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 18.00 | 27.0 | 39.05 | 51.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | 8.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 14.00 | 21.1 | 27.10 | 37.05 |
| 2025-11-30 | 8.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 15.00 | 25.0 | 32.05 | 41.52 |
| 2025-12-07 | 8.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 15.00 | 26.0 | 32.05 | 45.05 |
| 2025-12-14 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 15.00 | 26.0 | 38.00 | 43.52 |
| 2025-12-21 | 12.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 21.00 | 34.0 | 44.00 | 51.00 |
| 2025-12-28 | 12.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 20.00 | 35.0 | 47.00 | 58.52 |
| 2026-01-04 | 17.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 9.00 | 30.00 | 54.0 | 68.10 | 79.10 |
| 2026-01-11 | 24.5 | 1.48 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 12.75 | 44.25 | 70.0 | 91.05 | 118.00 |
| 2026-01-18 | 31.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 8.0 | 15.00 | 58.00 | 87.1 | 135.05 | 173.10 |
| 2026-01-25 | 35.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 18.00 | 58.00 | 87.1 | 120.10 | 139.53 |
| 2026-02-01 | 41.5 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 20.00 | 77.00 | 139.0 | 182.00 | 212.15 |
| 2026-02-08 | 43.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 11.0 | 23.00 | 75.25 | 131.2 | 180.10 | 225.53 |
| 2026-02-15 | 44.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 11.0 | 22.00 | 79.25 | 137.3 | 175.00 | 206.53 |
| 2026-02-22 | 42.0 | 4.00 | 7.95 | 11.0 | 22.00 | 76.00 | 130.1 | 168.15 | 200.05 |
| 2026-03-01 | 46.0 | 4.00 | 6.95 | 10.0 | 24.00 | 86.00 | 127.4 | 168.00 | 195.05 |
| 2026-03-08 | 41.0 | 3.00 | 5.95 | 9.0 | 20.00 | 76.00 | 136.3 | 171.10 | 215.53 |
| 2026-03-15 | 38.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 10.0 | 20.00 | 67.25 | 128.1 | 155.05 | 212.05 |
| 2026-03-22 | 33.5 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.9 | 17.75 | 63.25 | 102.2 | 131.00 | 152.53 |
| 2026-03-29 | 27.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 14.00 | 53.25 | 86.1 | 113.10 | 147.00 |
| 2026-04-05 | 27.0 | 2.48 | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13.00 | 52.25 | 87.0 | 111.00 | 132.05 |
| 2026-04-12 | 24.0 | 2.00 | 3.95 | 5.0 | 12.00 | 51.25 | 82.0 | 107.15 | 120.00 |
| 2026-04-19 | 25.0 | 1.48 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 11.00 | 47.00 | 78.1 | 104.00 | 129.53 |
| 2026-04-26 | 23.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 44.00 | 66.1 | 90.15 | 115.10 |
| 2026-05-03 | 19.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9.00 | 35.25 | 57.0 | 75.10 | 93.58 |
| 2026-05-10 | 18.0 | 2.00 | 2.95 | 4.0 | 9.00 | 36.00 | 56.1 | 73.10 | 89.53 |
| 2026-05-17 | 18.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 9.75 | 33.00 | 57.1 | 78.05 | 94.00 |
| 2026-05-24 | 18.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 9.00 | 31.00 | 52.0 | 67.00 | 76.53 |
| 2026-05-31 | 13.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 26.00 | 40.1 | 54.00 | 71.53 |
| 2026-06-07 | 13.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 24.00 | 38.1 | 48.00 | 56.52 |
| 2026-06-14 | 11.0 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 5.00 | 20.00 | 31.0 | 41.05 | 49.52 |
| 2026-06-21 | 11.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 19.00 | 31.0 | 41.05 | 50.05 |
| 2026-06-28 | 9.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 16.00 | 28.1 | 35.10 | 41.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | 8.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 17.00 | 29.0 | 38.00 | 43.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 17.00 | 26.0 | 32.00 | 41.52 |
| 2026-07-19 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 18.00 | 30.0 | 35.05 | 42.52 |
| 2026-07-26 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 5.00 | 18.00 | 27.1 | 38.05 | 48.52 |
| 2026-08-02 | 13.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 21.00 | 37.0 | 47.10 | 58.05 |
| 2026-08-09 | 14.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 25.00 | 42.0 | 53.10 | 62.52 |
| 2026-08-16 | 13.0 | 1.00 | 1.95 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 25.25 | 39.0 | 50.05 | 63.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | 12.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 26.00 | 39.0 | 50.00 | 64.58 |
| 2026-08-30 | 13.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7.00 | 25.25 | 43.1 | 55.05 | 65.53 |
| 2026-09-06 | 12.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 22.00 | 36.0 | 44.00 | 57.62 |
| 2026-09-13 | 13.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 22.00 | 35.0 | 48.10 | 62.52 |
| 2026-09-20 | 12.5 | 1.00 | 1.95 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 23.00 | 36.0 | 45.05 | 53.05 |
| 2026-09-27 | 12.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 22.00 | 36.0 | 51.15 | 72.53 |
| 2026-10-04 | 14.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 27.00 | 45.0 | 58.05 | 68.00 |
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