Prediction 4374
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - BA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 223.5 | 113.95 | 126.00 | 142.0 | 180.75 | 278.50 | 333.1 | 364.15 | 395.68 |
| 2025-10-12 | 219.0 | 103.47 | 118.85 | 137.0 | 177.00 | 273.50 | 334.2 | 368.45 | 404.00 |
| 2025-10-19 | 216.0 | 114.00 | 124.00 | 141.9 | 173.75 | 271.00 | 332.1 | 364.05 | 388.00 |
| 2025-10-26 | 237.0 | 112.47 | 128.00 | 147.9 | 184.75 | 290.00 | 357.0 | 396.15 | 434.57 |
| 2025-11-02 | 252.0 | 123.42 | 140.95 | 161.9 | 201.75 | 314.50 | 376.3 | 426.10 | 463.10 |
| 2025-11-09 | 277.5 | 142.43 | 161.95 | 181.0 | 220.75 | 345.00 | 417.2 | 475.05 | 508.30 |
| 2025-11-16 | 311.0 | 161.95 | 176.95 | 201.0 | 246.00 | 383.50 | 462.0 | 523.00 | 578.58 |
| 2025-11-23 | 329.0 | 168.00 | 192.00 | 222.0 | 272.75 | 409.00 | 484.1 | 530.10 | 568.62 |
| 2025-11-30 | 286.0 | 146.95 | 164.95 | 181.9 | 220.00 | 360.25 | 453.2 | 527.05 | 577.52 |
| 2025-12-07 | 262.0 | 131.90 | 144.90 | 167.0 | 207.00 | 327.25 | 413.1 | 462.10 | 517.52 |
| 2025-12-14 | 252.0 | 136.38 | 147.00 | 168.8 | 207.00 | 312.00 | 376.1 | 414.15 | 462.20 |
| 2025-12-21 | 297.5 | 146.38 | 169.95 | 189.9 | 234.00 | 387.00 | 472.9 | 534.10 | 617.67 |
| 2025-12-28 | 300.5 | 153.85 | 172.90 | 196.9 | 239.00 | 383.25 | 471.0 | 515.30 | 564.52 |
| 2026-01-04 | 407.0 | 213.95 | 229.95 | 256.9 | 321.75 | 512.25 | 611.9 | 674.15 | 753.58 |
| 2026-01-11 | 546.5 | 277.48 | 315.95 | 358.7 | 449.75 | 705.00 | 859.1 | 990.95 | 1084.67 |
| 2026-01-18 | 699.0 | 377.43 | 417.95 | 471.9 | 563.00 | 881.00 | 1069.4 | 1181.05 | 1304.25 |
| 2026-01-25 | 844.0 | 435.43 | 473.85 | 542.4 | 665.00 | 1057.50 | 1290.5 | 1449.45 | 1582.20 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1011.5 | 516.95 | 602.00 | 680.3 | 815.75 | 1276.75 | 1583.1 | 1874.95 | 2083.93 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1125.0 | 546.70 | 639.95 | 740.8 | 923.50 | 1448.50 | 1740.0 | 2087.30 | 2281.75 |
| 2026-02-15 | 1298.5 | 731.95 | 770.90 | 850.9 | 1045.25 | 1695.00 | 2072.3 | 2404.25 | 2628.68 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1586.5 | 837.08 | 920.90 | 1005.6 | 1233.00 | 2015.50 | 2478.1 | 2735.85 | 3259.53 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1861.5 | 998.50 | 1141.80 | 1249.8 | 1481.00 | 2324.00 | 2780.3 | 3279.75 | 3655.25 |
| 2026-03-08 | 2162.5 | 1147.38 | 1239.95 | 1373.7 | 1731.50 | 2700.50 | 3249.2 | 3663.90 | 3979.93 |
| 2026-03-15 | 2246.0 | 1085.38 | 1194.90 | 1389.5 | 1796.50 | 2667.25 | 3347.4 | 3803.00 | 4362.55 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2334.5 | 1188.55 | 1320.90 | 1491.9 | 1799.75 | 2909.50 | 3612.0 | 4045.10 | 4455.55 |
| 2026-03-29 | 2531.5 | 1211.22 | 1357.75 | 1657.0 | 1993.75 | 3170.25 | 3798.2 | 4230.00 | 4468.77 |
| 2026-04-05 | 2471.0 | 1301.97 | 1447.75 | 1685.2 | 2032.00 | 3061.50 | 3719.9 | 4245.20 | 4607.90 |
| 2026-04-12 | 2477.5 | 1311.00 | 1435.15 | 1609.7 | 1986.75 | 3134.25 | 3842.3 | 4222.95 | 4592.68 |
| 2026-04-19 | 2469.5 | 1317.60 | 1448.95 | 1617.0 | 2044.00 | 3124.50 | 3792.1 | 4238.15 | 4598.05 |
| 2026-04-26 | 2498.5 | 1288.80 | 1434.75 | 1616.9 | 1984.00 | 3126.00 | 3850.7 | 4333.05 | 4842.27 |
| 2026-05-03 | 2244.0 | 1137.97 | 1273.75 | 1491.3 | 1781.00 | 2847.00 | 3546.5 | 4006.00 | 4631.30 |
| 2026-05-10 | 2230.0 | 1132.03 | 1241.80 | 1403.7 | 1746.00 | 2816.75 | 3405.3 | 3773.00 | 4290.73 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1991.0 | 1001.80 | 1113.70 | 1275.5 | 1557.50 | 2488.50 | 2990.3 | 3369.55 | 3980.38 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1754.0 | 812.95 | 950.10 | 1088.0 | 1370.75 | 2117.50 | 2663.8 | 3126.05 | 3528.80 |
| 2026-05-31 | 1372.5 | 711.95 | 756.95 | 852.0 | 1098.00 | 1702.25 | 2089.7 | 2435.40 | 2772.40 |
| 2026-06-07 | 1185.5 | 621.75 | 671.85 | 745.2 | 935.75 | 1464.75 | 1764.6 | 1904.05 | 2136.10 |
| 2026-06-14 | 924.5 | 482.75 | 541.70 | 601.0 | 738.00 | 1144.75 | 1353.5 | 1516.15 | 1657.53 |
| 2026-06-21 | 732.0 | 377.48 | 406.85 | 463.7 | 598.75 | 924.00 | 1117.5 | 1278.60 | 1398.78 |
| 2026-06-28 | 659.0 | 320.95 | 363.00 | 433.0 | 526.00 | 816.25 | 975.1 | 1123.15 | 1230.58 |
| 2026-07-05 | 608.0 | 320.48 | 340.95 | 391.9 | 474.50 | 751.50 | 891.2 | 1012.50 | 1180.08 |
| 2026-07-12 | 572.5 | 276.48 | 317.00 | 360.7 | 447.75 | 708.00 | 866.2 | 967.00 | 1080.85 |
| 2026-07-19 | 498.5 | 260.90 | 295.95 | 326.8 | 401.75 | 614.50 | 720.0 | 845.50 | 949.73 |
| 2026-07-26 | 426.0 | 196.70 | 240.00 | 282.0 | 342.75 | 535.25 | 657.3 | 735.15 | 816.88 |
| 2026-08-02 | 416.5 | 199.43 | 230.95 | 249.9 | 320.00 | 531.00 | 642.2 | 716.15 | 767.67 |
| 2026-08-09 | 362.5 | 183.28 | 220.00 | 240.9 | 292.50 | 450.25 | 552.1 | 643.05 | 689.52 |
| 2026-08-16 | 314.0 | 167.47 | 180.90 | 202.9 | 248.75 | 405.00 | 499.3 | 552.10 | 620.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | 295.5 | 145.43 | 164.95 | 185.8 | 233.00 | 354.25 | 460.1 | 508.15 | 596.58 |
| 2026-08-30 | 272.5 | 146.43 | 163.90 | 185.0 | 220.00 | 336.00 | 398.5 | 451.00 | 473.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | 248.0 | 129.00 | 136.00 | 153.0 | 198.75 | 307.25 | 380.1 | 431.10 | 487.52 |
| 2026-09-13 | 238.0 | 118.00 | 131.95 | 150.0 | 185.00 | 299.50 | 358.0 | 398.15 | 432.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | 223.0 | 107.47 | 127.95 | 144.0 | 171.00 | 282.25 | 351.2 | 396.55 | 463.25 |
| 2026-09-27 | 201.0 | 98.42 | 115.95 | 130.0 | 160.00 | 261.00 | 315.0 | 356.15 | 387.05 |
| 2026-10-04 | 182.0 | 91.95 | 99.00 | 115.0 | 143.00 | 232.00 | 277.1 | 308.00 | 326.05 |
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