Prediction 4375
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Ceará |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - CE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 100.5 | 16.00 | 25.00 | 34.9 | 55.75 | 154.25 | 247.4 | 310.10 | 352.93 |
| 2025-10-12 | 110.5 | 18.95 | 26.00 | 33.9 | 63.00 | 170.00 | 249.1 | 328.25 | 380.62 |
| 2025-10-19 | 93.5 | 18.00 | 26.85 | 32.0 | 54.75 | 163.00 | 243.0 | 300.05 | 374.57 |
| 2025-10-26 | 114.0 | 21.00 | 25.95 | 35.0 | 62.00 | 183.25 | 271.4 | 348.10 | 397.62 |
| 2025-11-02 | 131.5 | 20.48 | 31.95 | 42.9 | 75.00 | 213.50 | 320.3 | 399.30 | 499.68 |
| 2025-11-09 | 135.0 | 26.00 | 37.00 | 48.0 | 83.75 | 236.00 | 378.3 | 483.65 | 602.52 |
| 2025-11-16 | 140.0 | 29.48 | 38.00 | 47.0 | 83.00 | 228.00 | 354.2 | 416.10 | 502.40 |
| 2025-11-23 | 144.5 | 28.48 | 37.95 | 47.9 | 89.75 | 249.25 | 355.6 | 439.15 | 577.15 |
| 2025-11-30 | 124.0 | 16.48 | 27.00 | 40.0 | 71.00 | 212.25 | 315.1 | 380.30 | 468.35 |
| 2025-12-07 | 124.0 | 24.48 | 28.95 | 40.9 | 75.00 | 201.25 | 308.3 | 401.70 | 485.15 |
| 2025-12-14 | 121.5 | 22.48 | 31.90 | 46.0 | 72.75 | 189.25 | 290.1 | 347.05 | 407.73 |
| 2025-12-21 | 133.5 | 27.00 | 39.90 | 53.9 | 81.00 | 219.25 | 309.1 | 386.05 | 413.00 |
| 2025-12-28 | 128.0 | 30.48 | 36.95 | 49.0 | 78.00 | 191.00 | 293.1 | 373.35 | 446.82 |
| 2026-01-04 | 116.0 | 24.00 | 32.95 | 42.0 | 73.00 | 190.25 | 286.2 | 353.20 | 414.35 |
| 2026-01-11 | 146.5 | 28.95 | 37.00 | 51.0 | 89.75 | 244.00 | 373.6 | 461.05 | 524.35 |
| 2026-01-18 | 184.0 | 31.95 | 42.95 | 64.8 | 112.75 | 300.50 | 437.1 | 546.30 | 683.58 |
| 2026-01-25 | 227.5 | 49.48 | 64.90 | 87.0 | 135.75 | 354.25 | 563.3 | 708.05 | 788.98 |
| 2026-02-01 | 209.0 | 40.95 | 60.95 | 82.0 | 126.00 | 353.50 | 555.2 | 672.30 | 846.05 |
| 2026-02-08 | 224.0 | 46.00 | 62.95 | 85.9 | 139.75 | 372.50 | 564.3 | 670.10 | 848.95 |
| 2026-02-15 | 296.0 | 59.95 | 75.95 | 105.9 | 170.50 | 450.00 | 707.1 | 912.00 | 1215.42 |
| 2026-02-22 | 283.0 | 57.95 | 75.95 | 101.6 | 180.00 | 462.75 | 762.3 | 902.05 | 1225.75 |
| 2026-03-01 | 312.0 | 59.48 | 75.00 | 103.0 | 181.75 | 512.25 | 851.2 | 1122.00 | 1377.58 |
| 2026-03-08 | 320.5 | 71.47 | 81.95 | 116.8 | 191.00 | 549.25 | 859.0 | 1113.75 | 1539.20 |
| 2026-03-15 | 382.0 | 76.00 | 95.00 | 143.9 | 220.50 | 615.00 | 919.7 | 1286.05 | 1485.50 |
| 2026-03-22 | 415.0 | 70.90 | 92.00 | 138.9 | 235.50 | 695.50 | 1146.5 | 1458.05 | 1742.25 |
| 2026-03-29 | 417.0 | 80.47 | 121.95 | 169.9 | 253.00 | 728.75 | 1148.5 | 1487.85 | 1940.00 |
| 2026-04-05 | 526.5 | 75.47 | 110.95 | 164.8 | 294.00 | 899.75 | 1474.3 | 1964.60 | 2351.55 |
| 2026-04-12 | 530.0 | 95.42 | 123.90 | 188.9 | 309.25 | 921.50 | 1480.6 | 1932.90 | 2351.68 |
| 2026-04-19 | 595.0 | 121.00 | 148.85 | 222.8 | 344.25 | 925.75 | 1477.2 | 1917.75 | 2180.35 |
| 2026-04-26 | 583.0 | 96.38 | 129.95 | 220.9 | 361.25 | 1029.75 | 1673.8 | 2320.70 | 2883.57 |
| 2026-05-03 | 693.0 | 115.95 | 160.95 | 237.9 | 407.75 | 1186.25 | 1847.6 | 2356.10 | 2656.70 |
| 2026-05-10 | 744.0 | 139.43 | 184.55 | 258.9 | 457.00 | 1246.50 | 2067.3 | 2564.20 | 3378.57 |
| 2026-05-17 | 774.0 | 138.00 | 189.80 | 279.6 | 453.25 | 1247.00 | 2018.2 | 2573.90 | 3124.28 |
| 2026-05-24 | 698.0 | 133.95 | 175.00 | 275.9 | 434.75 | 1222.00 | 1888.2 | 2637.20 | 3087.75 |
| 2026-05-31 | 701.0 | 104.33 | 145.95 | 240.2 | 409.00 | 1259.00 | 1970.9 | 2569.95 | 3475.72 |
| 2026-06-07 | 648.5 | 114.42 | 143.00 | 222.8 | 370.00 | 1119.00 | 1706.0 | 2264.05 | 2908.25 |
| 2026-06-14 | 565.5 | 106.95 | 141.85 | 187.8 | 323.50 | 979.75 | 1543.0 | 1885.15 | 2285.03 |
| 2026-06-21 | 593.5 | 116.47 | 139.70 | 196.9 | 323.75 | 943.25 | 1433.2 | 1731.35 | 2088.78 |
| 2026-06-28 | 503.0 | 101.95 | 132.85 | 181.9 | 304.00 | 831.75 | 1294.2 | 1672.75 | 1992.75 |
| 2026-07-05 | 441.0 | 72.42 | 112.95 | 148.0 | 248.00 | 718.75 | 1120.2 | 1603.00 | 2017.20 |
| 2026-07-12 | 410.5 | 79.47 | 96.70 | 148.8 | 244.75 | 664.00 | 1031.4 | 1314.35 | 1664.35 |
| 2026-07-19 | 337.5 | 65.47 | 94.85 | 131.8 | 202.00 | 562.75 | 859.3 | 1034.15 | 1322.60 |
| 2026-07-26 | 340.5 | 51.48 | 80.95 | 116.0 | 196.75 | 568.00 | 907.1 | 1190.10 | 1490.15 |
| 2026-08-02 | 261.5 | 56.48 | 69.90 | 100.9 | 159.75 | 461.00 | 759.5 | 929.45 | 1166.05 |
| 2026-08-09 | 240.5 | 43.48 | 69.85 | 94.8 | 154.00 | 421.00 | 629.4 | 885.80 | 1135.88 |
| 2026-08-16 | 240.5 | 40.95 | 60.85 | 86.8 | 144.75 | 396.50 | 607.6 | 735.85 | 915.50 |
| 2026-08-23 | 186.0 | 34.42 | 50.00 | 63.9 | 111.00 | 317.25 | 476.1 | 595.00 | 757.85 |
| 2026-08-30 | 161.5 | 27.48 | 38.95 | 56.0 | 94.00 | 271.00 | 475.0 | 596.80 | 730.05 |
| 2026-09-06 | 149.0 | 25.95 | 37.90 | 49.9 | 86.00 | 250.25 | 385.3 | 509.35 | 644.52 |
| 2026-09-13 | 117.0 | 26.00 | 31.95 | 44.9 | 72.00 | 197.00 | 297.2 | 385.45 | 497.57 |
| 2026-09-20 | 113.0 | 19.00 | 25.00 | 36.0 | 65.00 | 182.25 | 273.1 | 333.05 | 391.15 |
| 2026-09-27 | 100.5 | 16.48 | 23.95 | 31.0 | 59.50 | 178.25 | 293.2 | 371.70 | 468.62 |
| 2026-10-04 | 79.5 | 18.48 | 21.95 | 28.0 | 48.00 | 131.25 | 213.0 | 262.20 | 367.35 |
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