Prediction 4376
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - DF
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 110.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 28.75 | 316.25 | 616.2 | 839.15 | 1110.92 |
| 2025-10-12 | 104.5 | 0.00 | 2.95 | 7.0 | 28.00 | 285.75 | 644.8 | 885.95 | 1234.67 |
| 2025-10-19 | 138.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 32.00 | 329.00 | 664.0 | 917.35 | 1230.35 |
| 2025-10-26 | 126.0 | 0.00 | 1.95 | 5.0 | 30.75 | 323.25 | 635.0 | 871.25 | 1026.97 |
| 2025-11-02 | 114.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.9 | 30.75 | 310.50 | 643.0 | 901.65 | 1154.53 |
| 2025-11-09 | 145.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 33.75 | 354.25 | 774.6 | 983.90 | 1380.15 |
| 2025-11-16 | 132.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 35.00 | 337.25 | 639.7 | 852.30 | 1102.30 |
| 2025-11-23 | 128.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 10.0 | 36.00 | 392.75 | 896.8 | 1390.45 | 1680.38 |
| 2025-11-30 | 138.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 31.00 | 354.75 | 694.2 | 957.05 | 1119.78 |
| 2025-12-07 | 171.5 | 1.00 | 2.95 | 6.0 | 41.00 | 426.25 | 865.8 | 1185.85 | 1729.00 |
| 2025-12-14 | 187.0 | 0.47 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 47.00 | 564.50 | 1162.0 | 1574.40 | 1892.15 |
| 2025-12-21 | 292.5 | 0.47 | 3.00 | 10.9 | 63.75 | 814.50 | 1556.3 | 2233.35 | 3117.82 |
| 2025-12-28 | 269.5 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 19.0 | 78.75 | 810.00 | 1561.9 | 2052.10 | 2392.62 |
| 2026-01-04 | 308.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 11.0 | 75.50 | 864.00 | 1452.2 | 2071.50 | 2604.62 |
| 2026-01-11 | 409.5 | 2.00 | 6.90 | 25.0 | 109.50 | 1093.25 | 1982.7 | 2707.00 | 3154.57 |
| 2026-01-18 | 427.5 | 1.48 | 7.00 | 19.9 | 118.00 | 1341.00 | 2519.5 | 3126.55 | 4175.27 |
| 2026-01-25 | 605.5 | 2.48 | 7.95 | 19.9 | 150.75 | 1559.75 | 3132.3 | 4406.10 | 5848.88 |
| 2026-02-01 | 632.0 | 3.48 | 12.95 | 36.0 | 174.00 | 1711.50 | 3462.2 | 4917.05 | 6291.77 |
| 2026-02-08 | 633.5 | 3.00 | 9.95 | 22.9 | 155.25 | 1774.25 | 3366.7 | 4845.05 | 7079.90 |
| 2026-02-15 | 796.5 | 5.00 | 13.95 | 57.3 | 217.75 | 2249.00 | 4559.5 | 6273.80 | 8463.95 |
| 2026-02-22 | 691.5 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 22.0 | 178.75 | 2044.50 | 4037.1 | 5870.45 | 7444.77 |
| 2026-03-01 | 962.0 | 1.48 | 8.00 | 21.9 | 238.75 | 2388.00 | 4752.4 | 5808.05 | 8119.73 |
| 2026-03-08 | 898.0 | 3.48 | 12.90 | 39.0 | 211.75 | 2504.00 | 4657.2 | 6211.45 | 8803.55 |
| 2026-03-15 | 868.5 | 1.48 | 11.85 | 35.0 | 247.25 | 2259.25 | 4636.7 | 7055.30 | 10390.00 |
| 2026-03-22 | 972.5 | 3.00 | 8.95 | 47.0 | 269.75 | 2515.00 | 5199.5 | 7874.70 | 9804.35 |
| 2026-03-29 | 1074.5 | 1.00 | 9.95 | 54.0 | 317.50 | 2761.75 | 5828.0 | 7690.45 | 9778.00 |
| 2026-04-05 | 1145.5 | 1.48 | 11.95 | 57.7 | 367.25 | 3199.75 | 5892.0 | 8408.50 | 10621.98 |
| 2026-04-12 | 1268.5 | 6.47 | 19.95 | 79.6 | 368.00 | 2942.75 | 5987.5 | 7845.35 | 11470.92 |
| 2026-04-19 | 1350.0 | 3.48 | 11.00 | 46.0 | 333.50 | 3256.75 | 6440.6 | 9167.50 | 12477.95 |
| 2026-04-26 | 1260.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 48.0 | 228.50 | 2974.25 | 6168.4 | 7991.40 | 10499.95 |
| 2026-05-03 | 939.5 | 4.00 | 13.00 | 46.9 | 253.50 | 2929.25 | 5838.4 | 7936.70 | 9728.62 |
| 2026-05-10 | 819.0 | 1.00 | 7.95 | 37.8 | 239.75 | 2728.00 | 5569.8 | 7339.30 | 9471.77 |
| 2026-05-17 | 989.5 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 41.9 | 259.25 | 2530.00 | 4670.0 | 6655.30 | 8660.42 |
| 2026-05-24 | 788.0 | 4.47 | 13.95 | 37.6 | 212.75 | 2132.25 | 4220.7 | 6509.05 | 8030.10 |
| 2026-05-31 | 656.5 | 1.00 | 8.00 | 32.0 | 132.75 | 1822.50 | 3878.0 | 5493.40 | 6740.85 |
| 2026-06-07 | 477.5 | 1.48 | 6.00 | 21.9 | 106.75 | 1220.00 | 2573.7 | 3448.10 | 4635.18 |
| 2026-06-14 | 429.5 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 16.9 | 108.25 | 1071.75 | 2644.0 | 3715.75 | 4131.15 |
| 2026-06-21 | 354.5 | 1.48 | 3.95 | 14.0 | 89.75 | 952.00 | 2051.1 | 2757.45 | 3316.20 |
| 2026-06-28 | 315.0 | 1.00 | 5.95 | 13.0 | 72.25 | 921.00 | 1783.5 | 2715.20 | 3728.78 |
| 2026-07-05 | 237.0 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 17.0 | 71.00 | 697.50 | 1288.0 | 1767.60 | 2520.72 |
| 2026-07-12 | 226.5 | 1.00 | 2.95 | 10.0 | 62.75 | 609.00 | 1259.7 | 1805.10 | 2257.68 |
| 2026-07-19 | 189.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 49.00 | 496.00 | 1008.5 | 1329.45 | 1709.03 |
| 2026-07-26 | 157.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 37.75 | 417.25 | 834.6 | 1076.10 | 1375.90 |
| 2026-08-02 | 128.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 37.50 | 366.50 | 696.2 | 912.15 | 1150.35 |
| 2026-08-09 | 122.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.9 | 34.00 | 326.25 | 654.4 | 934.05 | 1224.28 |
| 2026-08-16 | 91.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 23.75 | 235.50 | 496.1 | 699.00 | 911.95 |
| 2026-08-23 | 77.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 20.75 | 208.75 | 420.3 | 559.15 | 723.83 |
| 2026-08-30 | 79.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 21.00 | 204.25 | 389.1 | 544.60 | 660.88 |
| 2026-09-06 | 77.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.9 | 16.00 | 237.25 | 437.1 | 598.50 | 772.45 |
| 2026-09-13 | 73.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 15.00 | 225.25 | 436.4 | 595.05 | 830.50 |
| 2026-09-20 | 65.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 17.00 | 178.25 | 364.4 | 516.75 | 681.62 |
| 2026-09-27 | 66.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 15.00 | 188.50 | 347.4 | 476.15 | 659.62 |
| 2026-10-04 | 70.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 19.00 | 180.00 | 340.1 | 534.00 | 645.83 |
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