Prediction 4379
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - MG
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 390.5 | 232.47 | 252.95 | 275.9 | 320.00 | 464.25 | 547.6 | 608.05 | 652.25 |
| 2025-10-12 | 428.0 | 262.48 | 274.95 | 317.7 | 368.00 | 511.25 | 605.0 | 656.45 | 703.15 |
| 2025-10-19 | 454.0 | 272.48 | 299.90 | 331.8 | 390.75 | 537.75 | 635.1 | 712.35 | 779.67 |
| 2025-10-26 | 505.0 | 294.00 | 326.95 | 363.9 | 430.75 | 602.25 | 714.2 | 784.20 | 852.00 |
| 2025-11-02 | 577.0 | 372.95 | 391.00 | 425.9 | 487.75 | 684.25 | 806.3 | 888.35 | 988.83 |
| 2025-11-09 | 692.5 | 419.00 | 444.70 | 479.9 | 565.75 | 805.00 | 959.1 | 1050.70 | 1132.62 |
| 2025-11-16 | 843.0 | 498.95 | 548.85 | 621.7 | 727.50 | 1037.00 | 1209.2 | 1344.10 | 1470.88 |
| 2025-11-23 | 982.0 | 600.27 | 626.95 | 687.9 | 826.00 | 1161.00 | 1328.1 | 1453.55 | 1684.17 |
| 2025-11-30 | 927.0 | 577.95 | 622.90 | 668.6 | 765.50 | 1085.00 | 1249.1 | 1373.35 | 1440.12 |
| 2025-12-07 | 964.5 | 600.42 | 661.80 | 740.0 | 823.00 | 1138.00 | 1315.1 | 1497.50 | 1613.53 |
| 2025-12-14 | 1032.0 | 651.48 | 686.75 | 761.0 | 888.25 | 1234.00 | 1422.1 | 1534.15 | 1645.05 |
| 2025-12-21 | 1309.0 | 774.42 | 847.95 | 937.9 | 1098.75 | 1551.25 | 1787.9 | 1934.35 | 2115.80 |
| 2025-12-28 | 1318.0 | 796.95 | 851.80 | 944.0 | 1113.50 | 1564.75 | 1849.2 | 2015.40 | 2212.57 |
| 2026-01-04 | 2364.0 | 1528.42 | 1628.75 | 1747.9 | 1992.25 | 2786.75 | 3187.4 | 3543.40 | 3775.47 |
| 2026-01-11 | 3361.0 | 2085.40 | 2198.70 | 2399.5 | 2833.75 | 4086.25 | 4613.0 | 5073.85 | 5524.68 |
| 2026-01-18 | 4255.0 | 2659.38 | 2827.90 | 3077.3 | 3609.25 | 5002.00 | 5962.0 | 6618.70 | 7245.75 |
| 2026-01-25 | 5062.5 | 3193.62 | 3419.95 | 3713.6 | 4336.75 | 5946.75 | 6825.1 | 7759.55 | 8747.65 |
| 2026-02-01 | 7753.5 | 4641.25 | 5153.90 | 5538.0 | 6411.00 | 8920.50 | 10307.1 | 11347.30 | 12103.70 |
| 2026-02-08 | 7578.5 | 4514.30 | 5011.90 | 5337.7 | 6357.50 | 9143.25 | 10828.4 | 12113.30 | 13282.38 |
| 2026-02-15 | 8415.0 | 5092.85 | 5537.85 | 6100.8 | 7070.25 | 9941.00 | 11872.8 | 13199.25 | 14527.83 |
| 2026-02-22 | 9821.0 | 6170.25 | 6441.65 | 7092.3 | 8166.00 | 11292.75 | 12997.8 | 14677.15 | 16322.23 |
| 2026-03-01 | 14160.5 | 9203.75 | 9653.35 | 10425.3 | 11974.75 | 17019.50 | 20180.6 | 23381.00 | 24657.55 |
| 2026-03-08 | 14432.0 | 8902.40 | 9596.50 | 10483.9 | 12185.50 | 17511.25 | 21309.0 | 23259.05 | 26271.62 |
| 2026-03-15 | 15675.0 | 9675.23 | 10483.85 | 11259.4 | 13117.25 | 19038.50 | 22232.0 | 25406.05 | 28651.08 |
| 2026-03-22 | 16130.5 | 10495.17 | 11527.90 | 12240.3 | 13626.00 | 19994.50 | 23752.2 | 25632.75 | 27019.45 |
| 2026-03-29 | 20603.0 | 12115.85 | 13258.30 | 14767.6 | 17293.00 | 24349.25 | 29710.5 | 34023.75 | 36156.12 |
| 2026-04-05 | 21220.0 | 12972.17 | 13638.95 | 14903.5 | 18100.50 | 25580.00 | 30122.4 | 33186.25 | 36861.40 |
| 2026-04-12 | 21720.0 | 14075.67 | 15019.85 | 16161.7 | 18525.00 | 26133.50 | 31145.1 | 34740.25 | 37603.12 |
| 2026-04-19 | 20139.0 | 12618.45 | 13601.10 | 14721.2 | 16588.50 | 23934.00 | 29441.2 | 33340.30 | 37290.72 |
| 2026-04-26 | 19691.5 | 11583.75 | 12533.25 | 14314.4 | 16530.75 | 23372.50 | 27835.6 | 30779.10 | 33790.28 |
| 2026-05-03 | 14968.5 | 9487.12 | 9957.25 | 11055.9 | 12524.25 | 17823.00 | 21301.4 | 23728.75 | 25644.53 |
| 2026-05-10 | 12951.0 | 8141.65 | 8657.35 | 9247.4 | 10669.50 | 15995.50 | 18879.8 | 20693.25 | 21873.67 |
| 2026-05-17 | 10341.0 | 6443.85 | 6825.85 | 7377.8 | 8580.50 | 12430.25 | 14757.5 | 16507.10 | 17604.30 |
| 2026-05-24 | 7575.0 | 4793.07 | 5113.50 | 5463.1 | 6383.50 | 8914.50 | 10872.1 | 11876.40 | 13197.20 |
| 2026-05-31 | 4276.0 | 2575.05 | 2816.80 | 3133.2 | 3631.25 | 5265.25 | 6286.6 | 6907.20 | 7455.85 |
| 2026-06-07 | 3294.5 | 2089.60 | 2317.30 | 2464.4 | 2779.25 | 3881.50 | 4591.1 | 5111.50 | 5907.45 |
| 2026-06-14 | 2462.0 | 1522.95 | 1660.90 | 1784.5 | 2081.50 | 2957.00 | 3528.1 | 3954.05 | 4394.88 |
| 2026-06-21 | 1704.0 | 1086.65 | 1158.15 | 1259.8 | 1462.50 | 2052.25 | 2476.1 | 2794.15 | 3118.22 |
| 2026-06-28 | 991.0 | 616.85 | 676.90 | 741.9 | 834.25 | 1206.75 | 1393.3 | 1556.20 | 1715.92 |
| 2026-07-05 | 804.5 | 517.85 | 544.00 | 596.5 | 694.00 | 974.75 | 1103.3 | 1262.05 | 1403.05 |
| 2026-07-12 | 642.0 | 401.48 | 438.00 | 489.8 | 551.75 | 762.50 | 898.3 | 964.65 | 1039.55 |
| 2026-07-19 | 508.0 | 315.48 | 335.00 | 364.9 | 430.00 | 609.00 | 719.5 | 786.25 | 855.52 |
| 2026-07-26 | 429.0 | 262.43 | 281.90 | 305.0 | 355.75 | 501.75 | 578.1 | 619.65 | 695.50 |
| 2026-08-02 | 324.0 | 206.43 | 218.95 | 240.0 | 279.75 | 379.50 | 446.0 | 484.10 | 530.67 |
| 2026-08-09 | 324.0 | 193.95 | 216.90 | 235.8 | 277.00 | 377.25 | 439.0 | 480.10 | 513.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | 297.0 | 178.00 | 189.00 | 210.8 | 249.00 | 352.50 | 416.1 | 457.40 | 489.05 |
| 2026-08-23 | 291.5 | 183.90 | 203.90 | 219.0 | 247.00 | 355.00 | 413.2 | 455.20 | 509.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | 241.0 | 140.00 | 155.95 | 173.9 | 199.00 | 280.00 | 324.5 | 362.05 | 405.52 |
| 2026-09-06 | 244.0 | 147.00 | 158.95 | 175.0 | 206.00 | 294.25 | 360.0 | 397.15 | 437.05 |
| 2026-09-13 | 270.0 | 165.47 | 177.95 | 197.0 | 227.00 | 320.00 | 368.0 | 398.05 | 434.15 |
| 2026-09-20 | 293.0 | 176.47 | 189.90 | 210.9 | 248.00 | 344.00 | 415.0 | 443.10 | 467.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | 286.5 | 168.00 | 178.00 | 200.0 | 236.00 | 342.00 | 404.1 | 451.05 | 478.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | 260.0 | 153.43 | 168.95 | 192.0 | 223.00 | 313.00 | 362.0 | 395.05 | 423.15 |
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