Prediction 4380
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - MS
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 73.5 | 19.48 | 23.95 | 32.9 | 47.00 | 114.00 | 163.1 | 208.00 | 249.72 |
| 2025-10-12 | 81.5 | 25.48 | 30.00 | 37.0 | 54.00 | 125.00 | 188.2 | 230.70 | 282.00 |
| 2025-10-19 | 91.0 | 22.43 | 30.00 | 42.9 | 64.00 | 142.25 | 208.4 | 268.00 | 297.52 |
| 2025-10-26 | 119.0 | 30.48 | 39.00 | 49.9 | 80.00 | 175.25 | 255.3 | 288.10 | 344.35 |
| 2025-11-02 | 149.5 | 49.95 | 58.00 | 74.9 | 102.00 | 228.25 | 313.1 | 456.10 | 564.75 |
| 2025-11-09 | 188.5 | 52.95 | 62.00 | 85.0 | 125.75 | 279.00 | 401.3 | 495.30 | 582.58 |
| 2025-11-16 | 223.5 | 69.47 | 84.95 | 102.0 | 144.00 | 338.25 | 462.0 | 573.25 | 738.67 |
| 2025-11-23 | 243.0 | 70.47 | 86.95 | 106.0 | 154.75 | 343.25 | 491.0 | 587.15 | 711.10 |
| 2025-11-30 | 233.5 | 63.85 | 83.95 | 103.9 | 152.75 | 346.00 | 463.1 | 564.15 | 652.83 |
| 2025-12-07 | 249.5 | 73.00 | 88.90 | 105.7 | 152.75 | 374.50 | 529.0 | 652.55 | 851.62 |
| 2025-12-14 | 276.5 | 68.47 | 85.85 | 111.0 | 172.50 | 395.25 | 567.7 | 713.10 | 798.10 |
| 2025-12-21 | 330.5 | 107.42 | 121.95 | 155.9 | 222.50 | 491.50 | 714.1 | 857.25 | 1042.75 |
| 2025-12-28 | 330.5 | 86.42 | 106.95 | 143.8 | 223.00 | 487.00 | 696.1 | 894.40 | 1082.62 |
| 2026-01-04 | 489.5 | 172.85 | 194.90 | 243.0 | 341.50 | 728.50 | 1123.4 | 1475.85 | 1754.05 |
| 2026-01-11 | 752.5 | 229.00 | 269.85 | 337.9 | 509.00 | 1146.25 | 1540.0 | 1966.65 | 2416.22 |
| 2026-01-18 | 1015.0 | 292.95 | 341.95 | 468.9 | 678.50 | 1576.25 | 2233.2 | 2882.15 | 3762.80 |
| 2026-01-25 | 1268.5 | 314.85 | 451.55 | 562.9 | 836.25 | 2068.00 | 3099.0 | 3943.75 | 4630.35 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1473.5 | 444.38 | 574.75 | 668.4 | 984.75 | 2189.25 | 3555.4 | 4398.15 | 5191.55 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1525.0 | 453.43 | 594.75 | 721.7 | 1013.00 | 2432.75 | 3518.9 | 4633.55 | 5171.20 |
| 2026-02-15 | 1554.5 | 458.43 | 564.85 | 702.6 | 987.00 | 2281.25 | 3392.6 | 4265.75 | 4885.12 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1525.5 | 472.80 | 580.25 | 712.6 | 995.50 | 2445.75 | 3306.1 | 4248.65 | 4959.25 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1686.5 | 480.40 | 610.85 | 769.7 | 1134.75 | 2584.00 | 4085.7 | 5095.65 | 5806.95 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1481.0 | 485.23 | 551.95 | 719.4 | 1012.50 | 2129.50 | 3355.2 | 4345.25 | 5058.23 |
| 2026-03-15 | 1636.5 | 502.43 | 571.90 | 757.9 | 1116.25 | 2442.25 | 3525.3 | 4458.35 | 5744.95 |
| 2026-03-22 | 1506.0 | 474.18 | 573.55 | 682.6 | 1019.50 | 2434.50 | 3527.1 | 4772.55 | 5762.12 |
| 2026-03-29 | 1596.5 | 458.68 | 554.70 | 701.0 | 1059.50 | 2406.75 | 3920.8 | 4793.40 | 5853.43 |
| 2026-04-05 | 1507.0 | 401.65 | 518.45 | 668.7 | 953.75 | 2333.25 | 3514.8 | 4844.65 | 5960.40 |
| 2026-04-12 | 1457.0 | 371.07 | 472.95 | 624.7 | 941.00 | 2169.00 | 3362.2 | 4217.70 | 4581.98 |
| 2026-04-19 | 1289.0 | 359.18 | 439.60 | 558.3 | 825.75 | 1988.75 | 2887.9 | 3686.40 | 4557.68 |
| 2026-04-26 | 1144.5 | 338.18 | 415.45 | 519.8 | 740.50 | 1727.00 | 2665.2 | 3312.25 | 4539.35 |
| 2026-05-03 | 998.5 | 297.48 | 362.55 | 424.0 | 641.75 | 1495.25 | 2123.4 | 2724.05 | 3562.03 |
| 2026-05-10 | 785.0 | 214.47 | 297.00 | 379.3 | 515.50 | 1210.50 | 1805.6 | 2109.65 | 2654.75 |
| 2026-05-17 | 660.5 | 188.38 | 227.00 | 298.9 | 429.75 | 1021.25 | 1425.5 | 1774.55 | 2077.07 |
| 2026-05-24 | 494.5 | 145.38 | 179.95 | 219.0 | 322.75 | 741.00 | 1026.2 | 1320.20 | 1576.78 |
| 2026-05-31 | 355.5 | 94.47 | 117.90 | 148.0 | 244.00 | 540.50 | 764.0 | 981.15 | 1200.95 |
| 2026-06-07 | 289.0 | 86.00 | 98.95 | 140.0 | 190.75 | 444.50 | 679.0 | 838.75 | 1031.10 |
| 2026-06-14 | 229.5 | 69.00 | 84.00 | 108.0 | 148.00 | 342.75 | 523.1 | 649.00 | 745.58 |
| 2026-06-21 | 191.0 | 51.48 | 64.85 | 81.9 | 122.75 | 295.00 | 431.5 | 556.00 | 653.10 |
| 2026-06-28 | 131.5 | 37.48 | 42.95 | 55.0 | 89.00 | 205.75 | 314.0 | 416.05 | 479.35 |
| 2026-07-05 | 104.0 | 34.00 | 39.00 | 48.0 | 70.00 | 165.00 | 239.2 | 295.90 | 362.20 |
| 2026-07-12 | 82.5 | 23.48 | 30.95 | 38.0 | 55.00 | 123.00 | 196.1 | 244.30 | 303.52 |
| 2026-07-19 | 80.0 | 26.00 | 29.00 | 36.0 | 51.00 | 121.00 | 175.3 | 218.00 | 282.57 |
| 2026-07-26 | 67.0 | 19.00 | 27.00 | 32.0 | 47.00 | 104.25 | 147.0 | 184.00 | 218.05 |
| 2026-08-02 | 57.0 | 17.00 | 20.00 | 25.0 | 37.75 | 81.00 | 122.0 | 144.05 | 162.53 |
| 2026-08-09 | 55.0 | 16.00 | 20.00 | 24.0 | 36.00 | 83.00 | 124.1 | 155.15 | 198.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | 54.0 | 15.47 | 18.95 | 23.0 | 35.00 | 83.00 | 114.0 | 140.05 | 177.53 |
| 2026-08-23 | 56.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 23.0 | 35.75 | 81.00 | 113.0 | 135.10 | 191.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | 47.0 | 14.00 | 17.00 | 22.0 | 31.00 | 75.00 | 108.0 | 140.45 | 171.53 |
| 2026-09-06 | 49.0 | 13.00 | 16.00 | 22.0 | 32.00 | 73.00 | 105.1 | 134.00 | 155.57 |
| 2026-09-13 | 50.0 | 12.47 | 17.95 | 22.0 | 34.00 | 77.00 | 111.1 | 148.00 | 178.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | 52.0 | 12.95 | 17.00 | 23.0 | 34.75 | 77.00 | 111.1 | 134.10 | 170.53 |
| 2026-09-27 | 54.5 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 23.9 | 36.00 | 81.00 | 122.2 | 159.10 | 182.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | 56.5 | 13.00 | 20.00 | 26.0 | 37.00 | 85.00 | 127.3 | 167.05 | 201.00 |
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