Prediction 4381
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - MT
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 147.0 | 60.48 | 72.00 | 86.9 | 109.00 | 210.25 | 277.6 | 334.05 | 373.15 |
| 2025-10-12 | 168.5 | 61.00 | 73.00 | 90.0 | 117.75 | 237.00 | 336.1 | 410.10 | 454.62 |
| 2025-10-19 | 191.0 | 69.47 | 80.85 | 102.0 | 136.00 | 273.25 | 362.3 | 421.25 | 475.88 |
| 2025-10-26 | 244.5 | 94.95 | 113.95 | 131.0 | 178.00 | 332.00 | 429.1 | 509.35 | 598.92 |
| 2025-11-02 | 296.5 | 116.47 | 132.00 | 163.0 | 214.00 | 412.50 | 565.2 | 638.05 | 718.25 |
| 2025-11-09 | 371.0 | 138.47 | 159.00 | 200.0 | 269.75 | 523.50 | 698.7 | 899.95 | 1016.20 |
| 2025-11-16 | 456.0 | 178.38 | 205.90 | 254.0 | 337.50 | 630.25 | 836.0 | 1003.15 | 1221.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | 556.0 | 198.95 | 234.90 | 291.8 | 406.00 | 742.75 | 1018.1 | 1242.85 | 1538.97 |
| 2025-11-30 | 495.0 | 188.47 | 207.00 | 255.7 | 346.75 | 657.25 | 947.3 | 1073.55 | 1235.83 |
| 2025-12-07 | 510.0 | 180.47 | 218.95 | 263.8 | 358.00 | 732.00 | 946.1 | 1138.15 | 1286.53 |
| 2025-12-14 | 512.0 | 193.38 | 222.85 | 257.9 | 357.75 | 727.50 | 1016.3 | 1215.80 | 1396.17 |
| 2025-12-21 | 597.0 | 209.18 | 272.80 | 329.9 | 447.00 | 861.25 | 1196.0 | 1454.30 | 1734.80 |
| 2025-12-28 | 627.0 | 232.90 | 272.85 | 311.7 | 429.00 | 916.25 | 1223.4 | 1455.50 | 1601.78 |
| 2026-01-04 | 724.0 | 285.95 | 331.95 | 394.0 | 517.75 | 1058.00 | 1412.4 | 1720.10 | 1912.15 |
| 2026-01-11 | 1030.0 | 364.98 | 467.85 | 544.8 | 727.00 | 1475.00 | 1938.5 | 2383.05 | 2701.05 |
| 2026-01-18 | 1169.0 | 460.55 | 500.90 | 629.5 | 860.00 | 1629.00 | 2119.6 | 2559.95 | 2855.80 |
| 2026-01-25 | 1167.5 | 438.70 | 540.80 | 619.7 | 817.00 | 1660.50 | 2219.7 | 2627.80 | 3394.90 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1036.5 | 406.38 | 449.60 | 525.9 | 738.50 | 1512.50 | 2062.0 | 2620.75 | 2836.57 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1023.0 | 403.75 | 460.70 | 554.8 | 728.00 | 1503.75 | 1953.0 | 2339.55 | 2667.72 |
| 2026-02-15 | 965.0 | 399.80 | 476.60 | 537.0 | 694.50 | 1379.00 | 1890.1 | 2126.10 | 2473.28 |
| 2026-02-22 | 942.0 | 375.90 | 435.85 | 521.5 | 702.50 | 1312.50 | 1883.2 | 2222.60 | 2648.97 |
| 2026-03-01 | 886.0 | 365.90 | 406.75 | 477.9 | 640.25 | 1274.25 | 1766.5 | 2016.65 | 2250.00 |
| 2026-03-08 | 905.5 | 336.43 | 383.00 | 472.7 | 649.75 | 1278.75 | 1774.5 | 2101.00 | 2276.12 |
| 2026-03-15 | 860.0 | 322.00 | 386.25 | 464.6 | 630.50 | 1232.00 | 1740.7 | 1991.25 | 2256.55 |
| 2026-03-22 | 779.0 | 299.38 | 349.85 | 412.5 | 573.75 | 1106.25 | 1522.0 | 1692.35 | 2048.03 |
| 2026-03-29 | 801.0 | 317.65 | 378.75 | 438.8 | 572.25 | 1141.25 | 1577.0 | 1834.20 | 2070.10 |
| 2026-04-05 | 779.5 | 294.43 | 356.50 | 425.7 | 562.75 | 1093.00 | 1440.5 | 1653.35 | 1824.38 |
| 2026-04-12 | 738.0 | 322.90 | 346.85 | 428.0 | 552.75 | 1036.00 | 1429.7 | 1621.60 | 1892.58 |
| 2026-04-19 | 761.0 | 307.38 | 333.95 | 404.8 | 524.00 | 1069.00 | 1419.3 | 1708.05 | 1986.53 |
| 2026-04-26 | 730.5 | 282.95 | 315.85 | 377.9 | 542.75 | 980.25 | 1368.2 | 1628.25 | 1883.83 |
| 2026-05-03 | 652.0 | 247.38 | 288.85 | 350.0 | 468.75 | 893.75 | 1236.0 | 1423.40 | 1783.78 |
| 2026-05-10 | 629.5 | 251.75 | 298.80 | 344.8 | 453.50 | 886.25 | 1178.3 | 1385.80 | 1606.65 |
| 2026-05-17 | 574.5 | 229.32 | 265.95 | 315.9 | 408.75 | 793.25 | 1078.1 | 1256.00 | 1448.47 |
| 2026-05-24 | 524.5 | 175.00 | 236.65 | 284.8 | 383.00 | 723.50 | 948.3 | 1151.05 | 1295.62 |
| 2026-05-31 | 428.5 | 174.47 | 203.95 | 227.8 | 304.75 | 608.25 | 802.2 | 967.20 | 1133.70 |
| 2026-06-07 | 378.0 | 153.47 | 166.85 | 203.4 | 282.75 | 504.25 | 674.6 | 788.15 | 936.80 |
| 2026-06-14 | 318.5 | 118.38 | 134.95 | 170.9 | 236.00 | 445.50 | 641.5 | 764.15 | 881.17 |
| 2026-06-21 | 277.5 | 110.42 | 126.90 | 151.5 | 200.00 | 361.00 | 467.4 | 563.30 | 685.10 |
| 2026-06-28 | 239.0 | 88.47 | 103.90 | 126.0 | 168.75 | 329.75 | 416.4 | 487.05 | 545.58 |
| 2026-07-05 | 189.0 | 69.42 | 79.00 | 96.0 | 131.00 | 268.25 | 352.0 | 435.45 | 506.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | 155.0 | 62.48 | 76.00 | 86.0 | 111.00 | 219.25 | 299.0 | 356.05 | 397.35 |
| 2026-07-19 | 138.0 | 49.48 | 59.00 | 72.8 | 99.00 | 191.25 | 253.0 | 300.15 | 363.40 |
| 2026-07-26 | 119.5 | 47.48 | 54.95 | 62.0 | 83.75 | 167.25 | 227.1 | 283.00 | 330.62 |
| 2026-08-02 | 119.0 | 48.48 | 59.95 | 67.9 | 89.00 | 168.00 | 231.0 | 263.15 | 305.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | 112.0 | 45.00 | 48.95 | 63.9 | 84.00 | 157.00 | 210.1 | 259.15 | 284.10 |
| 2026-08-16 | 110.0 | 37.95 | 45.00 | 55.9 | 78.00 | 148.00 | 194.0 | 229.15 | 270.68 |
| 2026-08-23 | 96.5 | 37.48 | 40.00 | 48.0 | 65.00 | 137.00 | 172.2 | 208.05 | 249.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | 90.0 | 33.48 | 40.00 | 48.0 | 66.00 | 123.25 | 162.0 | 199.30 | 234.53 |
| 2026-09-06 | 81.0 | 32.48 | 38.00 | 45.0 | 57.00 | 113.00 | 153.2 | 187.00 | 213.57 |
| 2026-09-13 | 85.0 | 33.00 | 41.00 | 46.9 | 62.00 | 114.00 | 151.1 | 184.25 | 207.53 |
| 2026-09-20 | 88.0 | 31.00 | 38.00 | 47.9 | 64.00 | 120.00 | 162.0 | 187.05 | 211.05 |
| 2026-09-27 | 85.0 | 29.00 | 35.90 | 45.0 | 62.00 | 116.00 | 159.1 | 186.05 | 217.10 |
| 2026-10-04 | 92.0 | 31.48 | 40.00 | 46.9 | 65.00 | 129.25 | 177.1 | 215.15 | 233.10 |
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