Prediction 4382
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - PA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 56.0 | 18.48 | 23.00 | 27.9 | 38.00 | 75.00 | 98.1 | 113.05 | 121.53 |
| 2025-10-12 | 55.0 | 18.00 | 21.95 | 26.0 | 41.00 | 75.00 | 96.1 | 114.00 | 124.05 |
| 2025-10-19 | 52.0 | 17.48 | 23.95 | 27.0 | 38.00 | 72.00 | 97.1 | 109.00 | 120.53 |
| 2025-10-26 | 61.0 | 22.00 | 26.90 | 31.0 | 45.00 | 81.00 | 107.0 | 119.05 | 138.57 |
| 2025-11-02 | 79.0 | 25.48 | 33.85 | 39.9 | 56.00 | 104.00 | 134.0 | 156.05 | 172.57 |
| 2025-11-09 | 91.0 | 30.00 | 38.00 | 47.9 | 67.00 | 121.00 | 159.1 | 193.05 | 230.10 |
| 2025-11-16 | 104.5 | 34.48 | 43.95 | 53.0 | 75.75 | 143.25 | 187.1 | 220.05 | 252.05 |
| 2025-11-23 | 110.0 | 39.00 | 46.00 | 55.0 | 77.00 | 150.00 | 191.2 | 222.00 | 254.10 |
| 2025-11-30 | 100.0 | 35.48 | 42.00 | 50.0 | 72.75 | 140.00 | 174.0 | 207.05 | 234.05 |
| 2025-12-07 | 95.0 | 31.00 | 36.95 | 47.9 | 68.00 | 125.25 | 161.0 | 182.00 | 206.57 |
| 2025-12-14 | 92.0 | 30.48 | 38.95 | 46.0 | 68.00 | 124.00 | 164.1 | 197.20 | 226.00 |
| 2025-12-21 | 94.0 | 35.48 | 41.00 | 52.0 | 70.00 | 134.50 | 182.1 | 212.00 | 243.00 |
| 2025-12-28 | 101.0 | 38.00 | 42.00 | 52.0 | 73.00 | 135.00 | 176.0 | 199.05 | 237.72 |
| 2026-01-04 | 111.5 | 40.48 | 46.95 | 61.0 | 82.00 | 148.25 | 183.2 | 211.10 | 252.15 |
| 2026-01-11 | 145.5 | 49.95 | 57.95 | 73.0 | 104.00 | 204.00 | 273.0 | 297.05 | 359.50 |
| 2026-01-18 | 186.0 | 64.95 | 85.95 | 103.0 | 138.00 | 251.00 | 333.0 | 388.05 | 431.68 |
| 2026-01-25 | 214.0 | 88.00 | 102.90 | 118.9 | 160.75 | 291.00 | 384.3 | 447.00 | 511.10 |
| 2026-02-01 | 213.0 | 78.47 | 95.00 | 119.8 | 160.25 | 286.25 | 381.7 | 456.00 | 504.73 |
| 2026-02-08 | 211.5 | 92.47 | 101.00 | 115.9 | 150.00 | 285.25 | 362.0 | 392.05 | 437.15 |
| 2026-02-15 | 209.0 | 80.95 | 87.90 | 112.0 | 146.00 | 282.00 | 375.2 | 428.10 | 462.62 |
| 2026-02-22 | 218.0 | 80.47 | 97.95 | 113.8 | 155.75 | 301.00 | 392.4 | 441.00 | 479.52 |
| 2026-03-01 | 210.0 | 83.95 | 99.95 | 118.9 | 155.75 | 284.00 | 362.1 | 402.00 | 428.05 |
| 2026-03-08 | 221.0 | 81.95 | 92.90 | 120.9 | 161.00 | 299.25 | 378.6 | 447.25 | 523.05 |
| 2026-03-15 | 235.0 | 89.47 | 101.95 | 123.9 | 171.00 | 306.25 | 402.3 | 444.05 | 520.77 |
| 2026-03-22 | 213.0 | 80.42 | 95.90 | 118.9 | 156.00 | 286.00 | 365.7 | 402.10 | 448.20 |
| 2026-03-29 | 182.5 | 68.42 | 80.00 | 99.9 | 135.00 | 247.25 | 311.6 | 363.00 | 406.52 |
| 2026-04-05 | 159.5 | 63.48 | 72.00 | 88.9 | 116.75 | 217.00 | 288.0 | 319.20 | 364.10 |
| 2026-04-12 | 151.0 | 56.90 | 66.00 | 81.0 | 111.00 | 198.00 | 251.1 | 282.10 | 331.62 |
| 2026-04-19 | 132.0 | 47.95 | 55.00 | 70.8 | 95.00 | 180.25 | 224.3 | 255.20 | 287.52 |
| 2026-04-26 | 128.5 | 45.95 | 56.00 | 67.9 | 92.00 | 176.00 | 221.1 | 252.10 | 288.05 |
| 2026-05-03 | 117.5 | 41.48 | 52.95 | 66.0 | 91.00 | 153.00 | 198.0 | 223.00 | 261.68 |
| 2026-05-10 | 117.0 | 38.95 | 47.00 | 56.0 | 83.00 | 155.00 | 207.0 | 237.05 | 250.53 |
| 2026-05-17 | 105.0 | 38.00 | 48.00 | 54.0 | 77.00 | 140.25 | 183.0 | 217.05 | 233.53 |
| 2026-05-24 | 89.0 | 35.48 | 40.95 | 49.0 | 67.00 | 116.00 | 147.0 | 173.00 | 190.05 |
| 2026-05-31 | 85.0 | 28.48 | 36.00 | 44.9 | 63.00 | 110.25 | 147.0 | 171.05 | 192.53 |
| 2026-06-07 | 73.0 | 30.00 | 33.00 | 40.9 | 53.00 | 96.00 | 124.0 | 144.10 | 179.00 |
| 2026-06-14 | 71.0 | 23.48 | 29.00 | 36.9 | 52.00 | 95.25 | 121.2 | 136.25 | 154.00 |
| 2026-06-21 | 60.0 | 21.48 | 26.00 | 32.9 | 44.00 | 82.00 | 113.1 | 129.10 | 152.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | 58.0 | 19.00 | 25.00 | 30.0 | 41.00 | 74.00 | 97.0 | 107.10 | 125.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | 50.5 | 18.48 | 21.00 | 25.0 | 36.00 | 69.00 | 87.1 | 98.05 | 110.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | 46.0 | 15.47 | 19.95 | 25.9 | 34.00 | 62.25 | 88.1 | 101.05 | 110.58 |
| 2026-07-19 | 47.0 | 17.00 | 19.00 | 23.0 | 34.00 | 64.00 | 83.0 | 98.00 | 111.53 |
| 2026-07-26 | 51.0 | 19.00 | 22.00 | 27.0 | 37.00 | 67.25 | 89.0 | 103.00 | 115.58 |
| 2026-08-02 | 54.0 | 22.00 | 25.00 | 29.0 | 39.00 | 72.00 | 97.0 | 113.05 | 121.53 |
| 2026-08-09 | 57.0 | 22.00 | 25.00 | 28.9 | 41.00 | 78.25 | 101.0 | 116.00 | 128.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | 57.0 | 21.00 | 26.00 | 30.0 | 40.75 | 77.25 | 99.0 | 107.05 | 117.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | 52.0 | 16.00 | 21.00 | 29.0 | 38.00 | 69.00 | 92.1 | 106.00 | 120.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | 50.0 | 20.00 | 22.00 | 27.0 | 36.00 | 66.00 | 87.0 | 101.05 | 115.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | 46.0 | 12.95 | 17.95 | 23.0 | 32.00 | 64.00 | 78.0 | 88.05 | 100.05 |
| 2026-09-13 | 41.0 | 14.00 | 19.95 | 24.0 | 30.00 | 55.25 | 72.1 | 88.00 | 94.53 |
| 2026-09-20 | 40.5 | 13.00 | 15.00 | 20.0 | 29.00 | 54.00 | 68.0 | 78.05 | 89.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | 41.0 | 15.47 | 18.00 | 21.0 | 29.00 | 56.00 | 73.0 | 81.00 | 88.05 |
| 2026-10-04 | 40.0 | 15.00 | 16.95 | 20.0 | 29.00 | 56.00 | 71.0 | 84.00 | 92.05 |
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