Prediction 4383
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - PB
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 52.0 | 15.47 | 19.95 | 24.9 | 35.00 | 86.00 | 131.0 | 170.25 | 222.40 |
| 2025-10-12 | 52.0 | 14.00 | 17.00 | 21.9 | 33.00 | 79.25 | 126.3 | 170.05 | 217.72 |
| 2025-10-19 | 51.0 | 17.00 | 20.00 | 24.0 | 33.00 | 81.25 | 133.1 | 171.10 | 221.10 |
| 2025-10-26 | 50.0 | 15.00 | 17.95 | 22.0 | 32.00 | 87.25 | 135.1 | 164.00 | 192.00 |
| 2025-11-02 | 52.0 | 18.00 | 21.00 | 25.0 | 36.00 | 82.25 | 123.2 | 149.10 | 189.57 |
| 2025-11-09 | 59.0 | 18.48 | 22.00 | 28.0 | 39.00 | 89.50 | 137.0 | 169.10 | 185.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | 65.0 | 19.48 | 22.95 | 28.9 | 43.00 | 99.50 | 161.0 | 223.45 | 283.52 |
| 2025-11-23 | 70.0 | 26.00 | 30.95 | 37.0 | 50.00 | 103.50 | 161.1 | 212.20 | 259.73 |
| 2025-11-30 | 74.0 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 35.9 | 49.75 | 109.00 | 151.2 | 192.15 | 261.00 |
| 2025-12-07 | 71.5 | 25.00 | 29.95 | 35.0 | 49.75 | 101.00 | 162.0 | 210.00 | 249.00 |
| 2025-12-14 | 68.0 | 22.48 | 26.00 | 33.0 | 46.00 | 105.00 | 157.2 | 203.05 | 244.62 |
| 2025-12-21 | 66.0 | 23.48 | 27.00 | 33.0 | 45.00 | 95.25 | 141.1 | 181.10 | 215.10 |
| 2025-12-28 | 64.0 | 21.48 | 27.95 | 33.0 | 45.00 | 99.00 | 147.1 | 197.05 | 242.45 |
| 2026-01-04 | 69.0 | 21.00 | 26.00 | 33.9 | 46.00 | 99.25 | 162.6 | 212.25 | 236.15 |
| 2026-01-11 | 83.0 | 30.48 | 34.95 | 42.0 | 56.75 | 131.00 | 183.0 | 222.00 | 271.62 |
| 2026-01-18 | 104.0 | 35.48 | 44.95 | 53.9 | 74.00 | 163.25 | 256.0 | 339.00 | 381.15 |
| 2026-01-25 | 127.5 | 48.48 | 55.95 | 65.0 | 89.00 | 200.50 | 304.1 | 390.25 | 475.40 |
| 2026-02-01 | 127.5 | 43.95 | 55.00 | 65.0 | 89.00 | 200.25 | 315.1 | 394.15 | 509.35 |
| 2026-02-08 | 164.5 | 55.00 | 65.95 | 85.0 | 116.75 | 253.25 | 381.4 | 481.35 | 598.10 |
| 2026-02-15 | 186.5 | 72.95 | 81.00 | 97.9 | 133.00 | 278.00 | 434.0 | 593.00 | 802.58 |
| 2026-02-22 | 232.5 | 81.00 | 92.00 | 113.0 | 157.50 | 369.00 | 594.3 | 738.10 | 956.38 |
| 2026-03-01 | 244.0 | 81.95 | 95.00 | 115.9 | 162.75 | 387.00 | 627.1 | 775.30 | 955.08 |
| 2026-03-08 | 309.0 | 106.42 | 123.95 | 145.9 | 205.75 | 492.25 | 841.0 | 1148.20 | 1315.83 |
| 2026-03-15 | 315.5 | 115.47 | 135.90 | 158.0 | 209.75 | 468.50 | 759.3 | 1138.05 | 1259.00 |
| 2026-03-22 | 350.0 | 128.00 | 149.00 | 177.9 | 249.00 | 577.50 | 915.3 | 1195.85 | 1545.33 |
| 2026-03-29 | 412.0 | 132.38 | 152.95 | 181.8 | 274.25 | 618.00 | 962.4 | 1325.10 | 1621.40 |
| 2026-04-05 | 393.0 | 137.00 | 170.85 | 198.9 | 265.75 | 646.25 | 1055.1 | 1436.60 | 1766.35 |
| 2026-04-12 | 395.0 | 149.43 | 172.00 | 208.4 | 275.00 | 617.25 | 967.5 | 1220.45 | 1457.78 |
| 2026-04-19 | 441.0 | 148.00 | 171.80 | 208.0 | 281.75 | 707.00 | 1070.7 | 1279.45 | 1635.45 |
| 2026-04-26 | 455.0 | 131.00 | 163.90 | 196.0 | 276.75 | 737.00 | 1179.9 | 1455.15 | 1737.92 |
| 2026-05-03 | 475.0 | 158.95 | 181.75 | 226.0 | 322.75 | 824.75 | 1208.5 | 1569.65 | 1863.53 |
| 2026-05-10 | 457.5 | 161.90 | 178.00 | 236.8 | 318.00 | 732.75 | 1192.1 | 1498.50 | 1791.80 |
| 2026-05-17 | 475.5 | 173.00 | 197.95 | 236.9 | 323.25 | 715.50 | 1156.5 | 1558.10 | 2004.72 |
| 2026-05-24 | 398.0 | 135.80 | 164.00 | 201.9 | 271.00 | 639.50 | 1005.2 | 1323.45 | 1536.05 |
| 2026-05-31 | 346.0 | 131.90 | 152.85 | 180.8 | 238.50 | 580.75 | 879.5 | 1152.05 | 1549.72 |
| 2026-06-07 | 314.0 | 100.95 | 119.90 | 146.8 | 206.00 | 522.75 | 833.2 | 1045.90 | 1381.22 |
| 2026-06-14 | 276.5 | 101.47 | 112.00 | 127.0 | 191.00 | 433.25 | 703.2 | 948.65 | 1299.62 |
| 2026-06-21 | 242.5 | 88.90 | 99.95 | 114.9 | 165.75 | 381.50 | 628.2 | 792.50 | 951.67 |
| 2026-06-28 | 232.5 | 85.95 | 99.85 | 115.0 | 161.00 | 365.00 | 561.3 | 819.15 | 938.10 |
| 2026-07-05 | 219.0 | 73.47 | 86.00 | 105.8 | 150.00 | 355.00 | 582.1 | 767.15 | 927.52 |
| 2026-07-12 | 193.5 | 70.47 | 81.00 | 95.0 | 127.00 | 277.25 | 444.6 | 561.15 | 625.58 |
| 2026-07-19 | 165.0 | 60.48 | 71.00 | 87.9 | 115.75 | 254.25 | 431.7 | 536.05 | 617.20 |
| 2026-07-26 | 145.0 | 52.00 | 58.95 | 69.9 | 95.00 | 226.00 | 343.2 | 426.10 | 536.92 |
| 2026-08-02 | 133.0 | 46.00 | 51.95 | 69.0 | 93.00 | 207.00 | 301.4 | 412.35 | 498.05 |
| 2026-08-09 | 118.5 | 42.00 | 49.00 | 57.9 | 80.00 | 200.00 | 303.8 | 386.55 | 453.93 |
| 2026-08-16 | 104.5 | 37.00 | 44.00 | 50.0 | 74.00 | 163.00 | 256.1 | 319.10 | 383.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | 91.0 | 31.95 | 36.95 | 45.0 | 61.00 | 146.00 | 230.0 | 293.00 | 349.05 |
| 2026-08-30 | 79.5 | 26.00 | 31.00 | 39.0 | 53.00 | 119.25 | 182.2 | 233.05 | 339.07 |
| 2026-09-06 | 70.5 | 24.43 | 31.00 | 35.0 | 51.00 | 106.00 | 157.1 | 201.05 | 258.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | 64.0 | 20.48 | 25.00 | 31.0 | 43.00 | 100.00 | 152.0 | 182.15 | 216.62 |
| 2026-09-20 | 57.0 | 19.00 | 23.95 | 28.0 | 38.00 | 88.50 | 139.0 | 185.00 | 222.35 |
| 2026-09-27 | 50.5 | 17.00 | 20.00 | 24.0 | 33.75 | 74.25 | 117.2 | 144.10 | 173.57 |
| 2026-10-04 | 45.0 | 15.00 | 18.00 | 22.0 | 33.00 | 72.25 | 110.0 | 153.35 | 203.10 |
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