Prediction 4384
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - PE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 119.5 | 35.95 | 44.95 | 55.0 | 79.00 | 199.50 | 329.2 | 449.30 | 585.40 |
| 2025-10-12 | 140.5 | 39.48 | 50.00 | 62.0 | 90.75 | 234.00 | 364.2 | 473.50 | 557.05 |
| 2025-10-19 | 165.5 | 49.00 | 55.95 | 69.0 | 103.00 | 277.50 | 458.2 | 585.55 | 698.42 |
| 2025-10-26 | 216.0 | 56.48 | 76.95 | 93.8 | 133.75 | 355.75 | 616.4 | 819.80 | 1055.00 |
| 2025-11-02 | 232.5 | 62.00 | 74.95 | 98.0 | 150.00 | 370.25 | 597.9 | 767.25 | 902.25 |
| 2025-11-09 | 240.0 | 65.00 | 81.00 | 114.0 | 159.75 | 383.00 | 596.6 | 765.05 | 976.73 |
| 2025-11-16 | 230.0 | 65.00 | 73.95 | 95.9 | 152.00 | 381.25 | 589.6 | 731.30 | 911.10 |
| 2025-11-23 | 220.5 | 72.42 | 84.00 | 99.9 | 142.00 | 369.75 | 595.1 | 758.70 | 975.98 |
| 2025-11-30 | 195.0 | 51.00 | 63.95 | 74.9 | 112.75 | 325.25 | 531.1 | 690.15 | 935.67 |
| 2025-12-07 | 157.0 | 48.95 | 57.95 | 72.9 | 103.75 | 256.50 | 390.1 | 502.10 | 636.90 |
| 2025-12-14 | 136.5 | 44.00 | 51.90 | 64.9 | 90.00 | 229.25 | 374.0 | 510.40 | 668.52 |
| 2025-12-21 | 137.0 | 38.48 | 45.00 | 59.9 | 91.00 | 227.00 | 344.0 | 436.00 | 529.25 |
| 2025-12-28 | 135.5 | 36.48 | 44.00 | 58.0 | 87.00 | 228.00 | 339.2 | 427.95 | 544.65 |
| 2026-01-04 | 136.0 | 44.00 | 48.95 | 60.8 | 88.00 | 232.50 | 354.3 | 494.10 | 606.92 |
| 2026-01-11 | 181.0 | 51.48 | 60.95 | 76.0 | 114.75 | 295.00 | 474.1 | 606.05 | 734.05 |
| 2026-01-18 | 193.5 | 58.48 | 65.00 | 87.0 | 121.75 | 310.75 | 464.2 | 600.25 | 656.00 |
| 2026-01-25 | 239.5 | 69.00 | 82.95 | 100.0 | 149.00 | 383.00 | 587.3 | 785.85 | 983.10 |
| 2026-02-01 | 231.0 | 65.95 | 83.85 | 107.9 | 149.00 | 400.25 | 637.0 | 844.40 | 968.58 |
| 2026-02-08 | 293.5 | 89.47 | 103.90 | 125.9 | 184.75 | 484.00 | 781.1 | 1143.55 | 1449.28 |
| 2026-02-15 | 325.0 | 93.00 | 110.95 | 137.0 | 194.75 | 530.75 | 890.9 | 1129.25 | 1345.67 |
| 2026-02-22 | 354.5 | 96.90 | 117.95 | 162.8 | 228.25 | 640.50 | 1026.1 | 1235.25 | 1649.10 |
| 2026-03-01 | 399.0 | 125.00 | 140.90 | 175.0 | 251.75 | 670.00 | 1204.1 | 1483.50 | 1765.00 |
| 2026-03-08 | 445.5 | 141.00 | 158.95 | 200.9 | 286.00 | 768.75 | 1317.1 | 1732.25 | 2115.60 |
| 2026-03-15 | 499.0 | 134.38 | 163.00 | 203.9 | 312.25 | 880.75 | 1485.8 | 2054.65 | 2413.75 |
| 2026-03-22 | 558.0 | 148.95 | 167.60 | 218.5 | 341.75 | 876.25 | 1404.5 | 1824.55 | 2367.22 |
| 2026-03-29 | 574.0 | 165.47 | 211.90 | 261.9 | 361.50 | 1020.50 | 1588.1 | 2275.80 | 2677.25 |
| 2026-04-05 | 607.5 | 157.43 | 205.60 | 270.9 | 374.00 | 1101.25 | 1839.4 | 2227.15 | 2567.53 |
| 2026-04-12 | 673.0 | 179.47 | 221.95 | 276.9 | 405.00 | 1129.00 | 1909.7 | 2576.40 | 3375.75 |
| 2026-04-19 | 656.0 | 192.43 | 235.80 | 284.5 | 441.25 | 1198.00 | 1734.6 | 2690.35 | 3170.82 |
| 2026-04-26 | 681.5 | 204.00 | 233.00 | 287.0 | 427.00 | 1203.50 | 1869.8 | 2738.15 | 3437.90 |
| 2026-05-03 | 764.0 | 201.47 | 251.70 | 289.9 | 457.00 | 1338.00 | 2032.2 | 2470.50 | 3353.45 |
| 2026-05-10 | 783.0 | 216.47 | 254.85 | 328.6 | 500.75 | 1341.00 | 2290.3 | 2890.00 | 3486.43 |
| 2026-05-17 | 713.5 | 176.43 | 240.75 | 300.7 | 437.25 | 1156.75 | 1797.7 | 2524.15 | 3230.75 |
| 2026-05-24 | 672.5 | 194.00 | 226.60 | 277.0 | 419.50 | 1140.00 | 1692.3 | 2023.15 | 2479.75 |
| 2026-05-31 | 628.0 | 172.43 | 207.95 | 267.0 | 381.50 | 992.25 | 1534.3 | 2193.15 | 2777.03 |
| 2026-06-07 | 512.5 | 145.00 | 161.00 | 225.9 | 324.75 | 866.50 | 1380.1 | 1771.35 | 2220.57 |
| 2026-06-14 | 381.5 | 97.47 | 125.90 | 161.0 | 247.75 | 651.75 | 1071.6 | 1426.55 | 1728.62 |
| 2026-06-21 | 345.5 | 91.85 | 108.95 | 147.8 | 215.00 | 555.00 | 974.8 | 1156.20 | 1523.60 |
| 2026-06-28 | 309.5 | 76.80 | 93.95 | 127.0 | 192.00 | 502.25 | 808.2 | 997.05 | 1202.78 |
| 2026-07-05 | 260.0 | 77.85 | 92.95 | 110.0 | 160.75 | 446.00 | 687.5 | 925.10 | 1145.12 |
| 2026-07-12 | 219.0 | 57.48 | 72.00 | 97.8 | 138.00 | 373.00 | 606.0 | 733.60 | 950.92 |
| 2026-07-19 | 196.0 | 51.85 | 70.00 | 88.9 | 130.00 | 321.50 | 506.2 | 692.30 | 833.10 |
| 2026-07-26 | 166.0 | 49.00 | 60.00 | 75.8 | 104.75 | 283.00 | 485.7 | 646.05 | 758.05 |
| 2026-08-02 | 166.0 | 45.48 | 55.90 | 71.0 | 103.00 | 279.25 | 416.4 | 558.05 | 673.10 |
| 2026-08-09 | 138.0 | 42.00 | 46.95 | 63.0 | 90.00 | 223.00 | 350.2 | 491.30 | 587.12 |
| 2026-08-16 | 130.0 | 33.48 | 43.00 | 55.9 | 87.50 | 222.25 | 350.1 | 447.00 | 565.27 |
| 2026-08-23 | 122.5 | 32.48 | 41.85 | 54.9 | 80.75 | 208.25 | 333.6 | 471.10 | 522.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | 123.5 | 37.48 | 47.00 | 58.0 | 79.75 | 216.00 | 328.3 | 446.00 | 540.83 |
| 2026-09-06 | 115.5 | 31.00 | 40.90 | 50.9 | 73.00 | 189.00 | 300.3 | 377.20 | 529.73 |
| 2026-09-13 | 119.5 | 31.95 | 37.00 | 49.0 | 73.00 | 190.25 | 300.0 | 386.60 | 481.68 |
| 2026-09-20 | 110.5 | 32.48 | 38.95 | 48.0 | 70.00 | 190.25 | 298.5 | 394.25 | 498.18 |
| 2026-09-27 | 105.0 | 29.00 | 33.00 | 44.0 | 64.00 | 179.25 | 281.5 | 368.80 | 475.35 |
| 2026-10-04 | 99.0 | 28.48 | 34.00 | 44.0 | 64.00 | 172.00 | 253.1 | 307.45 | 369.10 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
