Prediction 4385
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - PI
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 18.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 10.75 | 32.25 | 55.1 | 68.05 | 89.00 |
| 2025-10-12 | 17.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 10.00 | 31.00 | 52.1 | 67.05 | 83.00 |
| 2025-10-19 | 19.0 | 3.00 | 4.95 | 6.0 | 11.00 | 33.00 | 53.0 | 68.05 | 76.53 |
| 2025-10-26 | 19.5 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 11.00 | 34.25 | 56.0 | 75.10 | 89.58 |
| 2025-11-02 | 24.5 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 10.0 | 15.00 | 43.00 | 82.0 | 112.10 | 151.20 |
| 2025-11-09 | 27.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 16.00 | 50.00 | 81.1 | 115.00 | 131.05 |
| 2025-11-16 | 27.5 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 11.0 | 17.00 | 49.00 | 88.1 | 129.20 | 151.68 |
| 2025-11-23 | 31.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 11.9 | 19.00 | 56.25 | 95.0 | 129.10 | 170.78 |
| 2025-11-30 | 32.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 19.00 | 58.00 | 98.0 | 133.15 | 167.15 |
| 2025-12-07 | 28.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 17.00 | 58.00 | 88.1 | 118.05 | 159.15 |
| 2025-12-14 | 30.0 | 7.00 | 8.95 | 11.0 | 17.00 | 53.00 | 89.0 | 126.05 | 156.57 |
| 2025-12-21 | 42.0 | 8.47 | 11.95 | 16.0 | 25.00 | 81.25 | 145.0 | 183.05 | 227.78 |
| 2025-12-28 | 39.0 | 9.00 | 11.95 | 16.0 | 23.00 | 67.25 | 121.0 | 164.00 | 194.05 |
| 2026-01-04 | 54.0 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 19.0 | 30.00 | 96.00 | 166.0 | 223.30 | 256.05 |
| 2026-01-11 | 75.0 | 17.48 | 22.00 | 28.9 | 43.75 | 140.25 | 242.0 | 302.30 | 354.57 |
| 2026-01-18 | 91.0 | 22.00 | 25.00 | 36.0 | 53.00 | 167.50 | 319.2 | 413.10 | 471.88 |
| 2026-01-25 | 112.0 | 29.00 | 38.95 | 47.0 | 67.75 | 211.00 | 361.3 | 459.30 | 577.08 |
| 2026-02-01 | 109.5 | 28.48 | 31.95 | 40.0 | 66.75 | 191.50 | 312.2 | 404.30 | 592.77 |
| 2026-02-08 | 121.5 | 25.95 | 35.95 | 46.0 | 69.00 | 212.00 | 325.2 | 443.80 | 622.00 |
| 2026-02-15 | 146.0 | 33.00 | 42.00 | 51.0 | 79.75 | 248.00 | 386.1 | 543.40 | 670.88 |
| 2026-02-22 | 164.0 | 41.48 | 51.95 | 64.8 | 95.00 | 275.25 | 535.4 | 680.10 | 821.85 |
| 2026-03-01 | 154.5 | 42.48 | 48.00 | 60.9 | 94.00 | 295.25 | 495.0 | 641.30 | 778.77 |
| 2026-03-08 | 190.5 | 54.48 | 63.95 | 80.0 | 112.75 | 403.50 | 594.0 | 751.75 | 977.00 |
| 2026-03-15 | 240.5 | 63.48 | 74.95 | 91.0 | 145.75 | 456.25 | 782.4 | 1007.00 | 1269.12 |
| 2026-03-22 | 284.0 | 76.00 | 92.00 | 118.8 | 174.75 | 512.00 | 830.1 | 1095.50 | 1345.30 |
| 2026-03-29 | 300.5 | 86.47 | 100.95 | 129.0 | 181.75 | 559.50 | 881.2 | 1065.60 | 1419.65 |
| 2026-04-05 | 346.0 | 92.00 | 110.85 | 135.8 | 204.00 | 691.50 | 1132.8 | 1581.20 | 1853.53 |
| 2026-04-12 | 371.5 | 104.00 | 124.00 | 156.9 | 232.25 | 667.25 | 1109.1 | 1484.20 | 1977.72 |
| 2026-04-19 | 407.0 | 106.47 | 134.00 | 160.0 | 250.00 | 714.25 | 1118.0 | 1502.35 | 2001.97 |
| 2026-04-26 | 396.5 | 113.47 | 132.95 | 171.7 | 234.75 | 753.00 | 1186.7 | 1585.25 | 1994.25 |
| 2026-05-03 | 412.5 | 103.47 | 125.00 | 154.9 | 246.75 | 723.25 | 1137.0 | 1448.40 | 2080.25 |
| 2026-05-10 | 352.5 | 104.00 | 122.00 | 146.0 | 218.75 | 606.00 | 1098.2 | 1509.25 | 1860.53 |
| 2026-05-17 | 316.0 | 96.47 | 111.95 | 138.0 | 204.75 | 578.50 | 1000.8 | 1239.55 | 1526.53 |
| 2026-05-24 | 293.0 | 86.00 | 101.90 | 129.8 | 188.75 | 542.50 | 918.2 | 1167.35 | 1429.60 |
| 2026-05-31 | 289.5 | 78.47 | 92.70 | 119.9 | 178.00 | 516.00 | 827.0 | 1009.15 | 1297.33 |
| 2026-06-07 | 256.5 | 71.47 | 79.95 | 110.7 | 153.50 | 464.25 | 761.8 | 978.35 | 1149.40 |
| 2026-06-14 | 212.0 | 58.48 | 72.00 | 86.9 | 133.00 | 344.25 | 629.0 | 840.35 | 1028.40 |
| 2026-06-21 | 184.0 | 47.00 | 56.95 | 70.0 | 111.75 | 331.50 | 543.2 | 695.30 | 855.62 |
| 2026-06-28 | 157.5 | 41.00 | 52.00 | 69.9 | 103.00 | 262.50 | 472.2 | 623.25 | 707.58 |
| 2026-07-05 | 141.5 | 35.00 | 42.95 | 52.9 | 81.75 | 233.00 | 376.4 | 478.35 | 606.58 |
| 2026-07-12 | 110.0 | 24.48 | 32.00 | 42.0 | 66.75 | 182.00 | 300.4 | 446.05 | 546.05 |
| 2026-07-19 | 89.0 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 38.9 | 55.75 | 166.00 | 268.1 | 369.30 | 436.20 |
| 2026-07-26 | 77.5 | 19.00 | 23.95 | 32.9 | 49.00 | 146.00 | 233.4 | 305.05 | 363.10 |
| 2026-08-02 | 63.5 | 15.00 | 20.00 | 24.0 | 37.75 | 108.25 | 180.1 | 238.10 | 295.12 |
| 2026-08-09 | 54.5 | 14.00 | 17.00 | 23.0 | 35.00 | 99.00 | 154.2 | 213.35 | 258.68 |
| 2026-08-16 | 49.0 | 13.00 | 15.00 | 19.9 | 28.75 | 79.25 | 136.1 | 165.05 | 195.05 |
| 2026-08-23 | 40.0 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 15.0 | 23.00 | 77.75 | 124.3 | 159.10 | 190.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | 34.0 | 8.00 | 10.00 | 14.0 | 21.00 | 61.00 | 99.1 | 130.10 | 174.05 |
| 2026-09-06 | 26.0 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 16.00 | 47.00 | 76.0 | 93.10 | 123.58 |
| 2026-09-13 | 21.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 12.00 | 38.00 | 58.1 | 78.00 | 100.20 |
| 2026-09-20 | 15.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 5.0 | 9.00 | 29.00 | 48.1 | 74.05 | 96.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | 14.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 25.00 | 41.0 | 53.10 | 63.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | 11.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 7.00 | 21.00 | 35.0 | 46.05 | 52.00 |
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