Prediction 4386
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - PR
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 121.0 | 47.42 | 51.95 | 63.0 | 83.75 | 170.00 | 222.2 | 254.00 | 291.73 |
| 2025-10-12 | 134.0 | 52.48 | 61.90 | 74.0 | 92.00 | 187.25 | 258.1 | 323.20 | 353.20 |
| 2025-10-19 | 156.0 | 46.95 | 60.00 | 76.0 | 110.00 | 216.00 | 289.1 | 344.35 | 387.05 |
| 2025-10-26 | 165.5 | 65.00 | 72.00 | 87.9 | 116.00 | 240.25 | 324.2 | 404.05 | 458.60 |
| 2025-11-02 | 243.0 | 89.00 | 107.95 | 136.9 | 170.75 | 348.25 | 501.0 | 624.35 | 738.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | 271.0 | 104.47 | 122.00 | 139.0 | 188.75 | 386.25 | 510.5 | 645.15 | 793.20 |
| 2025-11-16 | 335.5 | 140.47 | 158.95 | 188.0 | 246.00 | 471.25 | 661.3 | 841.10 | 971.08 |
| 2025-11-23 | 397.0 | 140.85 | 171.00 | 214.8 | 278.50 | 574.75 | 802.9 | 917.10 | 1039.58 |
| 2025-11-30 | 571.5 | 225.00 | 250.85 | 311.9 | 420.00 | 812.50 | 1085.1 | 1283.10 | 1655.65 |
| 2025-12-07 | 622.5 | 227.47 | 268.90 | 318.9 | 440.00 | 935.75 | 1263.1 | 1613.35 | 1922.15 |
| 2025-12-14 | 683.0 | 260.00 | 307.45 | 363.5 | 488.00 | 965.75 | 1338.9 | 1658.50 | 1890.50 |
| 2025-12-21 | 717.0 | 265.43 | 325.00 | 377.6 | 501.00 | 982.75 | 1349.0 | 1607.80 | 1885.70 |
| 2025-12-28 | 655.0 | 248.03 | 313.90 | 374.0 | 477.75 | 992.25 | 1383.3 | 1605.65 | 1793.10 |
| 2026-01-04 | 1123.0 | 441.90 | 530.90 | 633.8 | 836.00 | 1556.75 | 2092.5 | 2544.60 | 3017.00 |
| 2026-01-11 | 1319.5 | 516.17 | 637.00 | 731.9 | 980.50 | 1874.50 | 2634.9 | 3173.70 | 3730.72 |
| 2026-01-18 | 1671.5 | 678.45 | 776.70 | 944.8 | 1268.00 | 2340.00 | 3017.1 | 3417.75 | 4167.12 |
| 2026-01-25 | 1997.5 | 718.17 | 879.50 | 1049.9 | 1422.25 | 2827.75 | 3779.2 | 4474.60 | 5509.27 |
| 2026-02-01 | 3337.5 | 1219.38 | 1555.60 | 1818.8 | 2547.50 | 4811.25 | 6204.0 | 7590.05 | 8831.90 |
| 2026-02-08 | 3460.5 | 1285.38 | 1567.95 | 1962.9 | 2626.50 | 4498.50 | 6376.5 | 7265.25 | 8700.05 |
| 2026-02-15 | 3961.0 | 1418.50 | 1740.70 | 2161.5 | 2863.25 | 5164.50 | 6774.2 | 7900.00 | 9160.52 |
| 2026-02-22 | 4222.5 | 1617.40 | 1957.10 | 2332.4 | 3108.75 | 5936.50 | 7924.2 | 9956.80 | 12303.55 |
| 2026-03-01 | 7090.0 | 2875.93 | 3089.85 | 3648.7 | 5063.25 | 9725.00 | 12904.6 | 15153.45 | 18665.17 |
| 2026-03-08 | 7691.5 | 3147.07 | 3704.15 | 4375.2 | 5639.50 | 10610.50 | 14227.9 | 17344.80 | 20295.75 |
| 2026-03-15 | 8146.0 | 3030.78 | 3616.00 | 4408.5 | 6172.25 | 11089.50 | 14936.4 | 17174.40 | 19493.20 |
| 2026-03-22 | 9047.0 | 3615.38 | 4391.00 | 5152.5 | 6558.50 | 12500.00 | 15749.0 | 18600.70 | 21656.60 |
| 2026-03-29 | 11290.5 | 5205.23 | 5828.20 | 6793.7 | 8789.75 | 16290.25 | 21194.7 | 24488.45 | 27303.95 |
| 2026-04-05 | 11939.5 | 4977.73 | 5657.30 | 6581.3 | 8660.75 | 16924.50 | 22485.9 | 26006.75 | 30103.62 |
| 2026-04-12 | 12139.5 | 5242.57 | 6065.35 | 7087.8 | 9187.00 | 16611.00 | 21165.7 | 25489.00 | 30098.58 |
| 2026-04-19 | 11016.5 | 4671.93 | 5571.80 | 6294.0 | 8032.50 | 15526.75 | 20429.3 | 23307.25 | 27246.70 |
| 2026-04-26 | 10012.5 | 4153.88 | 4775.80 | 5589.0 | 7149.25 | 13831.00 | 17661.5 | 21052.10 | 24051.25 |
| 2026-05-03 | 7601.0 | 2960.55 | 3269.50 | 4066.3 | 5485.50 | 10442.25 | 13523.5 | 15690.65 | 17580.58 |
| 2026-05-10 | 6228.0 | 2671.62 | 2911.45 | 3303.3 | 4520.00 | 8540.00 | 11084.4 | 12700.50 | 14430.20 |
| 2026-05-17 | 4634.0 | 1793.33 | 2135.05 | 2533.3 | 3398.25 | 6567.50 | 9250.3 | 10796.40 | 11970.50 |
| 2026-05-24 | 3437.5 | 1276.47 | 1507.40 | 1871.4 | 2504.00 | 4627.75 | 5758.3 | 7132.10 | 8746.23 |
| 2026-05-31 | 2044.5 | 846.33 | 1053.90 | 1188.8 | 1531.50 | 2888.25 | 3663.1 | 4372.55 | 4906.88 |
| 2026-06-07 | 1624.0 | 641.48 | 774.70 | 920.7 | 1221.75 | 2193.50 | 2809.3 | 3262.00 | 3478.57 |
| 2026-06-14 | 1202.5 | 505.60 | 571.95 | 695.9 | 937.75 | 1677.75 | 2205.8 | 2534.15 | 2881.80 |
| 2026-06-21 | 965.5 | 378.00 | 419.70 | 498.9 | 661.00 | 1277.25 | 1712.6 | 2048.55 | 2236.35 |
| 2026-06-28 | 464.5 | 190.47 | 212.95 | 253.9 | 326.75 | 651.75 | 847.1 | 969.20 | 1088.15 |
| 2026-07-05 | 401.0 | 176.95 | 200.80 | 230.9 | 292.75 | 572.25 | 786.2 | 932.55 | 1066.05 |
| 2026-07-12 | 324.0 | 136.00 | 151.90 | 177.9 | 242.00 | 458.00 | 590.0 | 688.50 | 799.92 |
| 2026-07-19 | 271.0 | 112.47 | 125.95 | 152.0 | 204.75 | 379.00 | 491.0 | 567.20 | 662.88 |
| 2026-07-26 | 256.5 | 97.47 | 117.00 | 138.0 | 190.00 | 352.00 | 468.4 | 580.05 | 661.62 |
| 2026-08-02 | 169.0 | 68.47 | 80.00 | 94.0 | 123.75 | 229.50 | 304.4 | 364.10 | 431.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | 166.0 | 66.38 | 81.00 | 96.0 | 126.00 | 234.25 | 314.2 | 371.00 | 421.07 |
| 2026-08-16 | 161.0 | 63.00 | 75.95 | 91.9 | 122.75 | 228.00 | 304.0 | 362.55 | 417.62 |
| 2026-08-23 | 166.0 | 71.47 | 80.95 | 91.0 | 123.00 | 224.00 | 293.0 | 333.05 | 368.52 |
| 2026-08-30 | 112.5 | 42.00 | 49.00 | 58.0 | 78.00 | 158.00 | 197.1 | 226.05 | 249.10 |
| 2026-09-06 | 127.0 | 48.00 | 54.95 | 64.0 | 89.75 | 174.25 | 226.0 | 274.20 | 341.82 |
| 2026-09-13 | 134.0 | 48.95 | 58.00 | 71.9 | 96.75 | 186.00 | 250.4 | 298.30 | 329.05 |
| 2026-09-20 | 143.0 | 54.42 | 66.95 | 76.0 | 102.75 | 198.00 | 266.5 | 316.35 | 348.62 |
| 2026-09-27 | 145.0 | 55.00 | 68.00 | 79.9 | 107.00 | 201.25 | 263.1 | 325.05 | 374.62 |
| 2026-10-04 | 131.0 | 49.00 | 65.85 | 74.0 | 98.00 | 177.50 | 240.0 | 307.10 | 357.05 |
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