Prediction 4387
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - RJ
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 112.0 | 27.48 | 34.00 | 46.9 | 68.00 | 174.00 | 266.1 | 309.15 | 340.62 |
| 2025-10-12 | 108.0 | 23.48 | 27.00 | 40.0 | 66.00 | 184.25 | 270.1 | 333.00 | 393.05 |
| 2025-10-19 | 126.5 | 31.48 | 39.95 | 51.9 | 82.00 | 197.25 | 300.3 | 373.00 | 445.10 |
| 2025-10-26 | 143.0 | 34.48 | 43.00 | 57.9 | 90.00 | 229.00 | 334.1 | 428.00 | 509.68 |
| 2025-11-02 | 167.5 | 34.00 | 50.95 | 71.0 | 108.00 | 268.25 | 431.3 | 512.25 | 678.40 |
| 2025-11-09 | 192.0 | 47.00 | 54.95 | 68.9 | 120.75 | 297.50 | 432.1 | 517.30 | 649.62 |
| 2025-11-16 | 222.0 | 53.38 | 69.00 | 93.9 | 146.25 | 355.50 | 474.1 | 595.10 | 674.52 |
| 2025-11-23 | 236.5 | 57.48 | 73.85 | 93.9 | 151.75 | 363.25 | 530.1 | 653.10 | 761.52 |
| 2025-11-30 | 244.0 | 62.42 | 80.95 | 107.0 | 150.50 | 383.25 | 605.1 | 753.05 | 912.58 |
| 2025-12-07 | 246.5 | 62.48 | 79.95 | 100.9 | 161.75 | 396.00 | 596.0 | 785.25 | 961.65 |
| 2025-12-14 | 286.0 | 75.38 | 92.95 | 112.8 | 181.00 | 466.25 | 697.0 | 834.30 | 1087.97 |
| 2025-12-21 | 356.5 | 99.47 | 123.80 | 152.0 | 225.75 | 549.25 | 822.2 | 1076.20 | 1358.47 |
| 2025-12-28 | 359.0 | 87.00 | 114.00 | 154.8 | 238.75 | 575.50 | 857.5 | 1092.00 | 1287.97 |
| 2026-01-04 | 447.0 | 121.00 | 136.00 | 190.3 | 282.75 | 719.75 | 1145.1 | 1492.40 | 1749.22 |
| 2026-01-11 | 615.0 | 153.47 | 199.90 | 244.9 | 374.25 | 1043.75 | 1557.8 | 2052.45 | 2542.78 |
| 2026-01-18 | 794.0 | 226.95 | 266.75 | 336.9 | 484.50 | 1201.25 | 1822.5 | 2480.30 | 2936.72 |
| 2026-01-25 | 968.5 | 266.95 | 318.70 | 400.0 | 587.00 | 1490.00 | 2297.9 | 2958.90 | 3591.47 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1104.5 | 372.00 | 432.70 | 554.8 | 790.00 | 1716.00 | 2620.6 | 3280.55 | 4200.43 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1273.5 | 350.48 | 404.95 | 528.8 | 813.00 | 2021.75 | 2874.3 | 4026.35 | 4961.60 |
| 2026-02-15 | 1257.5 | 330.43 | 430.80 | 509.9 | 829.75 | 1900.75 | 2947.1 | 4170.85 | 4719.70 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1385.0 | 353.80 | 449.90 | 581.0 | 863.75 | 2186.25 | 3480.8 | 4419.10 | 5768.68 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2053.5 | 564.92 | 722.85 | 874.6 | 1305.75 | 3042.75 | 4208.0 | 5086.80 | 6373.43 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1935.0 | 545.42 | 675.90 | 896.9 | 1324.75 | 3019.00 | 4476.6 | 5534.15 | 7306.10 |
| 2026-03-15 | 2031.0 | 631.42 | 696.75 | 895.4 | 1270.75 | 3190.75 | 4536.8 | 6218.25 | 7181.25 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026.5 | 541.90 | 724.85 | 931.7 | 1409.25 | 3071.75 | 4163.3 | 5290.40 | 6178.68 |
| 2026-03-29 | 2377.5 | 630.38 | 820.95 | 1069.2 | 1524.00 | 3655.00 | 5220.4 | 6459.10 | 8073.15 |
| 2026-04-05 | 2267.0 | 648.73 | 852.75 | 1023.3 | 1440.50 | 3543.25 | 5495.6 | 6703.35 | 9020.75 |
| 2026-04-12 | 2309.0 | 668.90 | 792.80 | 1019.9 | 1466.00 | 3402.50 | 5315.8 | 6515.75 | 7882.68 |
| 2026-04-19 | 2153.0 | 667.30 | 762.20 | 1054.9 | 1509.00 | 3340.75 | 4713.9 | 6117.55 | 7485.60 |
| 2026-04-26 | 2056.0 | 669.98 | 812.95 | 967.2 | 1352.50 | 3019.75 | 4335.7 | 5624.90 | 6765.10 |
| 2026-05-03 | 1883.5 | 506.90 | 596.30 | 861.5 | 1257.25 | 2840.25 | 4077.9 | 5060.65 | 6768.25 |
| 2026-05-10 | 1691.0 | 436.75 | 567.80 | 716.1 | 1029.00 | 2569.50 | 3572.8 | 4590.10 | 6378.00 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1442.5 | 456.90 | 542.35 | 670.2 | 976.75 | 2049.50 | 3208.2 | 3995.05 | 4658.40 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1087.5 | 322.90 | 391.00 | 518.6 | 747.75 | 1705.75 | 2541.3 | 3010.95 | 3820.97 |
| 2026-05-31 | 760.5 | 221.90 | 268.95 | 326.9 | 481.75 | 1168.25 | 1882.1 | 2354.35 | 2818.97 |
| 2026-06-07 | 610.0 | 171.32 | 212.95 | 263.0 | 380.25 | 949.50 | 1288.2 | 1555.55 | 1932.05 |
| 2026-06-14 | 522.5 | 153.38 | 194.90 | 239.7 | 344.50 | 801.00 | 1298.4 | 1705.95 | 1837.12 |
| 2026-06-21 | 443.5 | 104.95 | 145.00 | 184.8 | 273.00 | 729.50 | 1050.8 | 1338.60 | 1537.12 |
| 2026-06-28 | 290.5 | 94.90 | 113.95 | 136.0 | 190.00 | 481.50 | 731.3 | 947.75 | 1141.53 |
| 2026-07-05 | 271.5 | 65.47 | 75.00 | 103.9 | 166.75 | 421.25 | 629.7 | 825.10 | 1069.75 |
| 2026-07-12 | 229.5 | 61.00 | 74.85 | 90.9 | 150.00 | 363.25 | 588.4 | 774.05 | 910.15 |
| 2026-07-19 | 194.0 | 49.00 | 60.00 | 79.9 | 124.00 | 305.50 | 479.3 | 605.55 | 753.58 |
| 2026-07-26 | 178.0 | 44.00 | 59.00 | 79.0 | 118.00 | 279.25 | 429.4 | 525.65 | 631.75 |
| 2026-08-02 | 141.0 | 37.00 | 43.00 | 55.0 | 87.00 | 217.00 | 342.2 | 471.05 | 556.77 |
| 2026-08-09 | 139.5 | 32.42 | 44.00 | 58.0 | 91.00 | 208.00 | 338.7 | 452.60 | 560.25 |
| 2026-08-16 | 124.0 | 27.43 | 38.00 | 50.0 | 78.75 | 195.00 | 295.0 | 393.05 | 467.52 |
| 2026-08-23 | 115.0 | 27.00 | 37.00 | 47.0 | 73.00 | 195.00 | 297.1 | 378.60 | 454.32 |
| 2026-08-30 | 89.0 | 24.00 | 30.85 | 39.0 | 57.00 | 155.00 | 240.1 | 300.65 | 387.30 |
| 2026-09-06 | 99.5 | 21.00 | 27.95 | 37.0 | 61.75 | 157.00 | 255.0 | 315.30 | 417.57 |
| 2026-09-13 | 92.0 | 23.00 | 28.95 | 38.0 | 59.00 | 146.00 | 221.4 | 280.05 | 346.35 |
| 2026-09-20 | 91.5 | 21.00 | 28.00 | 37.0 | 57.00 | 148.25 | 242.2 | 322.10 | 370.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | 99.0 | 23.00 | 30.00 | 39.0 | 59.75 | 172.00 | 254.5 | 317.05 | 376.15 |
| 2026-10-04 | 89.0 | 17.48 | 24.00 | 35.0 | 54.75 | 135.00 | 208.3 | 270.75 | 352.52 |
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