Prediction 4388
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - RN
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 65.0 | 14.47 | 19.00 | 26.0 | 40.00 | 100.00 | 148.3 | 200.05 | 234.68 |
| 2025-10-12 | 62.5 | 12.00 | 17.95 | 25.0 | 39.75 | 98.00 | 161.0 | 208.10 | 257.15 |
| 2025-10-19 | 61.0 | 18.00 | 22.00 | 26.0 | 41.00 | 96.25 | 157.0 | 193.05 | 234.72 |
| 2025-10-26 | 69.5 | 17.00 | 20.00 | 27.0 | 43.00 | 109.00 | 174.1 | 240.00 | 288.73 |
| 2025-11-02 | 86.0 | 21.00 | 26.00 | 36.0 | 52.00 | 136.00 | 203.1 | 267.25 | 335.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | 92.5 | 22.43 | 27.00 | 36.0 | 56.00 | 143.00 | 206.1 | 257.00 | 311.40 |
| 2025-11-16 | 88.0 | 27.00 | 31.95 | 40.0 | 58.00 | 137.00 | 207.2 | 268.05 | 336.20 |
| 2025-11-23 | 87.0 | 23.00 | 29.00 | 36.9 | 56.00 | 139.25 | 217.2 | 269.00 | 320.20 |
| 2025-11-30 | 88.0 | 22.00 | 27.00 | 36.0 | 56.00 | 141.00 | 204.2 | 257.15 | 330.77 |
| 2025-12-07 | 87.0 | 23.48 | 31.00 | 36.0 | 58.00 | 134.00 | 217.0 | 262.90 | 332.05 |
| 2025-12-14 | 86.0 | 19.48 | 25.95 | 34.0 | 52.75 | 133.25 | 196.2 | 247.45 | 287.20 |
| 2025-12-21 | 91.0 | 20.90 | 28.00 | 37.0 | 54.00 | 142.50 | 213.9 | 267.00 | 334.20 |
| 2025-12-28 | 96.0 | 26.48 | 35.95 | 42.9 | 64.00 | 147.25 | 209.1 | 256.05 | 297.62 |
| 2026-01-04 | 92.5 | 21.48 | 28.00 | 36.0 | 58.00 | 141.25 | 226.3 | 274.00 | 346.00 |
| 2026-01-11 | 101.5 | 27.95 | 34.00 | 45.0 | 66.75 | 166.25 | 246.4 | 335.40 | 424.62 |
| 2026-01-18 | 132.5 | 31.95 | 40.95 | 57.9 | 88.00 | 204.25 | 321.5 | 393.25 | 469.20 |
| 2026-01-25 | 167.0 | 43.00 | 54.85 | 68.9 | 102.00 | 256.25 | 423.5 | 565.05 | 725.23 |
| 2026-02-01 | 173.0 | 43.48 | 50.95 | 63.0 | 111.00 | 265.50 | 411.0 | 580.25 | 686.62 |
| 2026-02-08 | 207.0 | 55.00 | 71.95 | 90.0 | 135.00 | 328.50 | 523.1 | 633.10 | 747.98 |
| 2026-02-15 | 247.0 | 67.85 | 85.00 | 100.0 | 156.00 | 415.50 | 590.1 | 753.90 | 877.52 |
| 2026-02-22 | 300.0 | 74.47 | 93.00 | 114.0 | 182.50 | 478.00 | 705.4 | 856.20 | 1086.50 |
| 2026-03-01 | 296.0 | 72.22 | 95.95 | 127.9 | 195.75 | 472.75 | 709.9 | 853.05 | 1000.85 |
| 2026-03-08 | 352.0 | 84.33 | 117.70 | 143.8 | 214.00 | 578.25 | 874.4 | 1081.10 | 1460.60 |
| 2026-03-15 | 320.0 | 81.47 | 104.90 | 133.9 | 210.00 | 536.50 | 864.6 | 1176.00 | 1423.53 |
| 2026-03-22 | 357.0 | 84.47 | 113.90 | 149.8 | 226.00 | 548.50 | 892.3 | 1116.45 | 1301.45 |
| 2026-03-29 | 325.0 | 88.00 | 101.85 | 128.0 | 198.50 | 515.75 | 820.1 | 1009.00 | 1221.62 |
| 2026-04-05 | 346.5 | 92.38 | 107.95 | 140.0 | 212.00 | 579.00 | 929.9 | 1113.55 | 1385.05 |
| 2026-04-12 | 353.5 | 105.95 | 125.95 | 150.8 | 223.50 | 568.00 | 943.4 | 1202.60 | 1395.20 |
| 2026-04-19 | 370.0 | 114.42 | 129.00 | 161.9 | 238.50 | 626.25 | 951.7 | 1226.75 | 1504.58 |
| 2026-04-26 | 401.5 | 79.95 | 110.00 | 155.8 | 256.75 | 668.25 | 1083.9 | 1295.60 | 1480.92 |
| 2026-05-03 | 441.5 | 112.95 | 140.00 | 180.7 | 274.75 | 706.75 | 1113.4 | 1438.40 | 1821.45 |
| 2026-05-10 | 448.0 | 105.90 | 132.75 | 171.9 | 277.00 | 750.25 | 1146.4 | 1439.00 | 1715.10 |
| 2026-05-17 | 442.5 | 111.42 | 156.55 | 199.8 | 279.00 | 665.00 | 970.1 | 1137.70 | 1518.20 |
| 2026-05-24 | 392.0 | 105.95 | 122.95 | 165.0 | 262.50 | 643.25 | 985.0 | 1234.85 | 1568.28 |
| 2026-05-31 | 430.5 | 101.85 | 123.95 | 161.0 | 257.25 | 653.75 | 992.3 | 1324.45 | 1563.28 |
| 2026-06-07 | 365.5 | 90.90 | 117.90 | 153.8 | 229.00 | 577.75 | 882.5 | 1139.45 | 1361.62 |
| 2026-06-14 | 337.0 | 85.95 | 108.80 | 152.0 | 207.75 | 520.25 | 788.0 | 905.10 | 1058.25 |
| 2026-06-21 | 282.0 | 72.00 | 105.00 | 125.9 | 190.50 | 459.25 | 672.1 | 818.45 | 976.40 |
| 2026-06-28 | 281.5 | 72.47 | 89.95 | 125.9 | 187.75 | 451.00 | 664.1 | 822.15 | 1058.08 |
| 2026-07-05 | 260.5 | 71.90 | 87.00 | 112.9 | 175.50 | 411.25 | 623.7 | 778.50 | 926.83 |
| 2026-07-12 | 243.0 | 65.95 | 81.95 | 104.0 | 157.00 | 392.00 | 569.0 | 747.00 | 954.10 |
| 2026-07-19 | 219.0 | 55.48 | 71.00 | 95.0 | 142.75 | 348.00 | 542.4 | 662.50 | 749.35 |
| 2026-07-26 | 189.5 | 52.00 | 62.00 | 82.0 | 125.75 | 311.25 | 458.3 | 600.85 | 814.60 |
| 2026-08-02 | 186.0 | 57.00 | 65.95 | 84.9 | 121.00 | 293.00 | 456.1 | 593.50 | 691.40 |
| 2026-08-09 | 180.5 | 52.00 | 60.95 | 76.0 | 116.75 | 263.25 | 398.0 | 480.00 | 612.85 |
| 2026-08-16 | 153.0 | 43.48 | 51.95 | 65.0 | 97.00 | 230.00 | 337.0 | 429.10 | 558.95 |
| 2026-08-23 | 128.0 | 28.00 | 35.00 | 52.9 | 82.50 | 209.00 | 303.3 | 406.15 | 498.57 |
| 2026-08-30 | 117.0 | 30.48 | 40.00 | 49.9 | 76.75 | 186.75 | 282.2 | 364.10 | 447.82 |
| 2026-09-06 | 96.0 | 26.48 | 33.00 | 38.9 | 60.75 | 154.00 | 249.0 | 314.10 | 387.25 |
| 2026-09-13 | 89.0 | 24.95 | 30.00 | 38.0 | 54.00 | 139.00 | 211.0 | 242.20 | 312.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | 75.0 | 18.00 | 22.00 | 29.9 | 49.00 | 116.00 | 184.1 | 233.05 | 297.82 |
| 2026-09-27 | 62.0 | 16.00 | 20.00 | 26.9 | 41.00 | 106.25 | 172.1 | 215.20 | 272.20 |
| 2026-10-04 | 60.0 | 14.47 | 18.95 | 24.0 | 40.00 | 96.00 | 141.0 | 198.20 | 239.62 |
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