Prediction 4391
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - RS
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 10.0 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 18.0 | 21.00 | 23.00 |
| 2025-10-12 | 10.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 20.0 | 23.00 | 27.00 |
| 2025-10-19 | 11.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 5.0 | 8.00 | 15.00 | 20.0 | 24.00 | 27.00 |
| 2025-10-26 | 12.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 6.0 | 9.00 | 17.00 | 23.0 | 29.00 | 33.00 |
| 2025-11-02 | 18.0 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 8.9 | 14.00 | 26.00 | 33.1 | 39.00 | 42.52 |
| 2025-11-09 | 20.5 | 7.47 | 10.00 | 11.0 | 15.00 | 27.00 | 35.0 | 41.00 | 48.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | 27.0 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 14.0 | 19.00 | 37.00 | 49.0 | 57.10 | 71.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | 32.0 | 12.00 | 14.00 | 17.0 | 23.00 | 43.00 | 57.0 | 67.15 | 79.53 |
| 2025-11-30 | 42.0 | 16.48 | 20.00 | 23.0 | 31.00 | 57.00 | 77.0 | 93.05 | 113.10 |
| 2025-12-07 | 44.0 | 18.00 | 21.00 | 24.9 | 34.00 | 62.25 | 84.0 | 95.00 | 106.05 |
| 2025-12-14 | 43.5 | 15.47 | 19.00 | 23.0 | 31.00 | 59.00 | 80.0 | 97.05 | 108.00 |
| 2025-12-21 | 42.0 | 16.00 | 17.00 | 22.0 | 30.00 | 56.25 | 73.0 | 85.00 | 94.53 |
| 2025-12-28 | 42.0 | 15.47 | 18.95 | 21.0 | 29.00 | 57.00 | 75.0 | 87.05 | 97.10 |
| 2026-01-04 | 87.5 | 35.00 | 41.00 | 47.0 | 64.00 | 123.00 | 157.1 | 187.00 | 212.15 |
| 2026-01-11 | 92.0 | 38.48 | 43.00 | 50.0 | 70.00 | 129.00 | 179.0 | 201.05 | 210.00 |
| 2026-01-18 | 102.5 | 43.00 | 47.95 | 58.0 | 78.00 | 144.00 | 189.3 | 226.35 | 272.15 |
| 2026-01-25 | 110.5 | 48.00 | 53.00 | 63.9 | 82.75 | 149.25 | 194.1 | 218.10 | 248.00 |
| 2026-02-01 | 286.0 | 120.42 | 143.80 | 165.8 | 212.00 | 405.00 | 549.1 | 632.15 | 739.42 |
| 2026-02-08 | 365.0 | 146.95 | 166.90 | 195.9 | 262.75 | 466.25 | 608.9 | 743.45 | 886.98 |
| 2026-02-15 | 492.0 | 224.38 | 249.00 | 282.8 | 366.00 | 688.50 | 902.1 | 1066.00 | 1213.28 |
| 2026-02-22 | 700.5 | 284.43 | 350.00 | 389.9 | 507.25 | 906.50 | 1193.9 | 1446.30 | 1620.95 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1493.5 | 635.27 | 749.75 | 873.8 | 1085.50 | 2124.00 | 2727.0 | 3331.00 | 3943.68 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1675.0 | 694.90 | 797.85 | 960.7 | 1243.75 | 2300.25 | 3053.4 | 3461.85 | 4113.40 |
| 2026-03-15 | 2039.5 | 892.00 | 1006.90 | 1178.9 | 1550.00 | 2705.00 | 3596.4 | 4191.55 | 4934.43 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2513.0 | 1062.85 | 1245.00 | 1387.2 | 1817.75 | 3322.75 | 4311.2 | 4824.90 | 5885.38 |
| 2026-03-29 | 3744.0 | 1584.50 | 1758.30 | 2144.8 | 2734.00 | 4978.00 | 6718.3 | 8105.00 | 9194.80 |
| 2026-04-05 | 3933.0 | 1725.80 | 1922.60 | 2210.7 | 2972.25 | 5402.75 | 6943.0 | 8275.95 | 10129.60 |
| 2026-04-12 | 3914.0 | 1682.42 | 1961.05 | 2281.1 | 3000.50 | 5457.50 | 7038.1 | 8200.70 | 9292.33 |
| 2026-04-19 | 3773.0 | 1668.70 | 1892.75 | 2275.0 | 2830.75 | 5168.50 | 6888.1 | 8390.00 | 9786.23 |
| 2026-04-26 | 3246.5 | 1229.42 | 1442.80 | 1770.6 | 2273.00 | 4409.50 | 5905.1 | 7090.55 | 8739.60 |
| 2026-05-03 | 2641.0 | 1090.70 | 1270.60 | 1509.7 | 1961.00 | 3637.50 | 4904.6 | 5797.95 | 6977.90 |
| 2026-05-10 | 2030.0 | 879.85 | 993.95 | 1164.8 | 1457.50 | 2783.25 | 3882.9 | 4679.85 | 5660.00 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1498.5 | 624.00 | 684.50 | 819.9 | 1118.25 | 2005.50 | 2700.7 | 3345.15 | 3758.35 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1107.0 | 442.77 | 524.90 | 636.7 | 821.00 | 1448.25 | 1849.6 | 2134.20 | 2505.53 |
| 2026-05-31 | 568.0 | 224.28 | 264.85 | 316.0 | 392.75 | 785.25 | 1075.4 | 1227.45 | 1396.50 |
| 2026-06-07 | 393.5 | 166.00 | 188.00 | 231.9 | 294.00 | 555.50 | 746.1 | 897.45 | 1012.58 |
| 2026-06-14 | 265.0 | 112.85 | 141.90 | 159.0 | 197.00 | 381.25 | 501.1 | 603.35 | 699.92 |
| 2026-06-21 | 198.0 | 72.47 | 81.00 | 106.0 | 140.00 | 263.25 | 365.2 | 445.20 | 537.05 |
| 2026-06-28 | 80.0 | 32.48 | 37.00 | 42.9 | 56.00 | 111.00 | 144.2 | 174.05 | 192.53 |
| 2026-07-05 | 63.0 | 24.00 | 28.00 | 35.0 | 46.00 | 92.00 | 116.1 | 135.05 | 155.53 |
| 2026-07-12 | 55.0 | 21.00 | 24.00 | 28.9 | 40.00 | 76.00 | 108.0 | 129.05 | 141.05 |
| 2026-07-19 | 46.0 | 18.00 | 19.95 | 24.0 | 34.00 | 62.00 | 89.1 | 107.05 | 125.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | 45.0 | 17.00 | 20.00 | 23.0 | 33.00 | 65.00 | 83.0 | 99.05 | 118.05 |
| 2026-08-02 | 26.0 | 8.00 | 10.00 | 13.0 | 18.00 | 34.00 | 45.0 | 55.05 | 72.05 |
| 2026-08-09 | 24.0 | 8.00 | 9.95 | 12.0 | 17.00 | 35.00 | 46.0 | 54.05 | 62.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | 23.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 11.0 | 16.00 | 34.00 | 45.0 | 51.00 | 56.52 |
| 2026-08-23 | 22.0 | 8.00 | 9.00 | 11.0 | 16.00 | 32.00 | 42.0 | 53.00 | 65.05 |
| 2026-08-30 | 13.0 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 9.00 | 19.00 | 27.0 | 33.00 | 36.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | 14.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 10.00 | 20.00 | 29.0 | 35.05 | 40.05 |
| 2026-09-13 | 16.0 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 9.0 | 11.00 | 21.25 | 29.1 | 36.00 | 41.52 |
| 2026-09-20 | 17.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 8.0 | 12.00 | 24.00 | 33.0 | 38.00 | 42.52 |
| 2026-09-27 | 18.0 | 4.47 | 7.00 | 9.0 | 13.00 | 26.00 | 35.1 | 41.00 | 57.52 |
| 2026-10-04 | 14.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 10.00 | 21.00 | 27.0 | 33.00 | 36.52 |
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