Prediction 4392
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - SC
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 25.0 | 4.00 | 6.95 | 9.0 | 14.00 | 37.00 | 54.0 | 65.05 | 81.05 |
| 2025-10-12 | 25.5 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 9.0 | 15.00 | 39.25 | 57.1 | 76.05 | 83.53 |
| 2025-10-19 | 25.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 15.75 | 40.25 | 56.0 | 75.00 | 83.00 |
| 2025-10-26 | 29.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 12.0 | 18.00 | 48.00 | 65.0 | 77.10 | 100.53 |
| 2025-11-02 | 39.0 | 10.00 | 12.95 | 16.0 | 26.00 | 58.00 | 81.1 | 99.05 | 116.10 |
| 2025-11-09 | 40.5 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 15.9 | 24.75 | 65.00 | 98.2 | 120.20 | 143.10 |
| 2025-11-16 | 51.0 | 12.95 | 16.00 | 21.0 | 31.75 | 78.25 | 105.0 | 129.10 | 164.05 |
| 2025-11-23 | 60.0 | 14.47 | 18.00 | 23.9 | 37.75 | 89.00 | 119.2 | 145.10 | 170.00 |
| 2025-11-30 | 74.0 | 18.00 | 23.00 | 30.0 | 47.75 | 108.50 | 155.1 | 206.05 | 237.62 |
| 2025-12-07 | 83.0 | 17.48 | 21.00 | 32.0 | 55.00 | 128.00 | 191.1 | 224.15 | 268.57 |
| 2025-12-14 | 85.0 | 21.00 | 25.00 | 33.0 | 53.00 | 130.25 | 191.1 | 232.00 | 285.15 |
| 2025-12-21 | 94.5 | 28.00 | 32.95 | 42.9 | 61.00 | 145.25 | 216.2 | 254.05 | 283.57 |
| 2025-12-28 | 103.0 | 23.48 | 31.00 | 41.9 | 64.75 | 158.00 | 223.1 | 275.05 | 310.05 |
| 2026-01-04 | 164.5 | 40.48 | 48.95 | 63.9 | 104.75 | 260.25 | 384.8 | 475.20 | 525.83 |
| 2026-01-11 | 194.5 | 46.00 | 64.90 | 79.0 | 119.00 | 300.00 | 407.0 | 479.65 | 567.30 |
| 2026-01-18 | 218.0 | 55.00 | 74.00 | 96.0 | 143.00 | 344.50 | 469.1 | 605.00 | 707.10 |
| 2026-01-25 | 268.5 | 71.95 | 85.00 | 112.0 | 163.00 | 409.50 | 574.3 | 703.10 | 835.05 |
| 2026-02-01 | 508.5 | 120.95 | 153.95 | 202.9 | 307.00 | 798.25 | 1163.9 | 1374.35 | 1662.20 |
| 2026-02-08 | 580.0 | 171.85 | 209.95 | 275.9 | 407.00 | 898.25 | 1345.4 | 1523.40 | 1957.05 |
| 2026-02-15 | 773.0 | 211.00 | 271.85 | 326.0 | 478.50 | 1103.25 | 1587.3 | 1818.60 | 2165.72 |
| 2026-02-22 | 854.0 | 222.47 | 271.70 | 341.9 | 523.25 | 1275.25 | 1714.1 | 2092.45 | 2310.30 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1554.0 | 399.80 | 519.00 | 705.8 | 1025.00 | 2327.75 | 3212.8 | 3994.80 | 4452.88 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1676.0 | 404.38 | 542.85 | 713.0 | 1074.75 | 2495.75 | 3636.6 | 4479.05 | 5014.93 |
| 2026-03-15 | 2039.5 | 499.90 | 631.80 | 837.1 | 1353.25 | 2983.25 | 4463.8 | 5623.80 | 6616.38 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2466.0 | 635.38 | 872.60 | 1080.9 | 1631.50 | 3531.00 | 5284.7 | 6230.25 | 7122.05 |
| 2026-03-29 | 3838.0 | 930.70 | 1165.95 | 1527.0 | 2498.50 | 5766.25 | 8054.4 | 9607.05 | 11681.52 |
| 2026-04-05 | 4136.0 | 1262.30 | 1435.15 | 2041.5 | 2932.00 | 6168.25 | 8498.8 | 10150.10 | 11672.70 |
| 2026-04-12 | 4296.5 | 1092.33 | 1302.50 | 1697.9 | 2786.25 | 6637.50 | 9221.3 | 10526.55 | 12832.27 |
| 2026-04-19 | 4209.0 | 1311.47 | 1558.40 | 1941.4 | 2778.75 | 6218.50 | 9260.9 | 11476.65 | 12634.50 |
| 2026-04-26 | 3795.0 | 1141.42 | 1348.70 | 1741.4 | 2482.00 | 5870.50 | 7798.8 | 9252.20 | 10562.65 |
| 2026-05-03 | 3271.0 | 851.50 | 940.60 | 1243.3 | 2028.25 | 5101.25 | 7407.6 | 9157.40 | 10447.70 |
| 2026-05-10 | 2702.5 | 708.42 | 876.95 | 1199.8 | 1768.50 | 3923.25 | 5551.5 | 7033.45 | 8100.48 |
| 2026-05-17 | 2087.0 | 519.75 | 704.30 | 942.0 | 1357.00 | 3347.25 | 4825.0 | 5592.50 | 6108.12 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1378.5 | 376.38 | 469.40 | 583.2 | 903.25 | 2162.50 | 3066.2 | 3621.05 | 4371.82 |
| 2026-05-31 | 1012.0 | 246.38 | 314.75 | 450.1 | 671.00 | 1559.75 | 2268.5 | 2775.55 | 3292.82 |
| 2026-06-07 | 744.5 | 203.47 | 251.95 | 326.7 | 468.75 | 1129.75 | 1792.8 | 2214.05 | 2600.12 |
| 2026-06-14 | 601.5 | 145.95 | 174.55 | 226.9 | 371.75 | 920.00 | 1377.2 | 1616.95 | 1762.50 |
| 2026-06-21 | 442.0 | 110.95 | 147.95 | 178.8 | 270.00 | 705.00 | 991.9 | 1146.55 | 1272.58 |
| 2026-06-28 | 221.0 | 47.00 | 59.00 | 76.9 | 138.75 | 339.25 | 504.2 | 592.75 | 680.98 |
| 2026-07-05 | 172.5 | 38.90 | 50.95 | 67.9 | 108.00 | 272.50 | 391.6 | 466.35 | 536.58 |
| 2026-07-12 | 139.5 | 29.48 | 38.00 | 54.0 | 89.00 | 212.25 | 298.1 | 342.10 | 394.15 |
| 2026-07-19 | 117.5 | 27.95 | 38.00 | 48.0 | 73.00 | 174.00 | 250.0 | 283.10 | 345.25 |
| 2026-07-26 | 101.0 | 25.00 | 30.95 | 40.0 | 65.00 | 159.25 | 225.1 | 275.10 | 342.93 |
| 2026-08-02 | 58.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 23.0 | 37.75 | 94.00 | 129.1 | 155.05 | 176.30 |
| 2026-08-09 | 59.5 | 14.00 | 17.95 | 22.0 | 33.75 | 86.25 | 124.1 | 157.00 | 184.53 |
| 2026-08-16 | 51.5 | 12.47 | 16.95 | 22.0 | 34.00 | 82.00 | 115.0 | 129.05 | 154.57 |
| 2026-08-23 | 51.5 | 10.00 | 13.95 | 20.0 | 32.75 | 79.00 | 113.0 | 132.10 | 151.57 |
| 2026-08-30 | 34.0 | 6.47 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 21.00 | 48.00 | 71.0 | 82.05 | 99.15 |
| 2026-09-06 | 33.5 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 12.0 | 20.00 | 52.00 | 75.0 | 96.05 | 113.15 |
| 2026-09-13 | 35.5 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 14.0 | 22.00 | 57.00 | 83.0 | 100.00 | 119.15 |
| 2026-09-20 | 37.0 | 8.47 | 11.00 | 14.0 | 23.00 | 56.25 | 86.1 | 102.00 | 119.53 |
| 2026-09-27 | 39.0 | 8.47 | 11.00 | 15.0 | 24.00 | 59.25 | 84.1 | 102.05 | 122.72 |
| 2026-10-04 | 30.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 12.0 | 18.75 | 46.00 | 64.0 | 76.05 | 89.58 |
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