Prediction 4393
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - SE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 25.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 15.00 | 41.00 | 61.0 | 78.05 | 100.58 |
| 2025-10-12 | 24.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 15.00 | 40.00 | 60.0 | 74.00 | 87.00 |
| 2025-10-19 | 26.0 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 16.00 | 42.00 | 61.1 | 77.05 | 97.53 |
| 2025-10-26 | 32.5 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 21.00 | 51.00 | 74.0 | 90.00 | 104.53 |
| 2025-11-02 | 37.0 | 8.00 | 10.00 | 14.9 | 23.00 | 58.00 | 83.1 | 103.05 | 129.05 |
| 2025-11-09 | 42.0 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 16.0 | 26.00 | 60.00 | 91.1 | 115.05 | 130.53 |
| 2025-11-16 | 37.0 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 14.9 | 23.00 | 58.00 | 88.0 | 105.10 | 138.57 |
| 2025-11-23 | 34.0 | 7.00 | 9.95 | 13.0 | 21.00 | 51.00 | 76.1 | 90.10 | 110.53 |
| 2025-11-30 | 27.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 12.0 | 18.00 | 42.00 | 66.0 | 87.00 | 110.05 |
| 2025-12-07 | 23.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 13.00 | 38.00 | 56.0 | 75.00 | 88.00 |
| 2025-12-14 | 16.0 | 3.48 | 5.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 26.00 | 40.0 | 49.10 | 61.52 |
| 2025-12-21 | 15.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 9.00 | 22.00 | 31.1 | 40.05 | 48.58 |
| 2025-12-28 | 15.0 | 2.48 | 4.00 | 5.0 | 8.00 | 23.00 | 35.1 | 44.00 | 52.00 |
| 2026-01-04 | 13.0 | 2.00 | 3.95 | 5.0 | 8.00 | 22.00 | 34.0 | 44.05 | 55.00 |
| 2026-01-11 | 13.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 8.00 | 21.00 | 34.0 | 44.05 | 51.52 |
| 2026-01-18 | 15.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 9.00 | 25.00 | 40.0 | 51.00 | 59.52 |
| 2026-01-25 | 19.5 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 12.00 | 29.00 | 47.1 | 59.00 | 72.53 |
| 2026-02-01 | 21.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 12.75 | 34.00 | 52.0 | 68.00 | 82.58 |
| 2026-02-08 | 24.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 15.00 | 41.25 | 57.1 | 72.05 | 100.58 |
| 2026-02-15 | 29.0 | 5.47 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 16.00 | 49.00 | 71.1 | 99.15 | 127.53 |
| 2026-02-22 | 31.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 18.00 | 49.00 | 78.1 | 103.25 | 134.57 |
| 2026-03-01 | 31.0 | 7.00 | 9.95 | 12.0 | 19.00 | 54.00 | 92.0 | 133.10 | 162.53 |
| 2026-03-08 | 35.5 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 21.00 | 58.25 | 89.2 | 127.00 | 149.72 |
| 2026-03-15 | 36.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 22.00 | 62.00 | 98.1 | 148.10 | 171.53 |
| 2026-03-22 | 41.0 | 9.00 | 11.00 | 15.0 | 24.00 | 68.25 | 106.0 | 137.05 | 170.35 |
| 2026-03-29 | 42.0 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 15.9 | 27.00 | 75.25 | 115.3 | 160.10 | 182.10 |
| 2026-04-05 | 47.0 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 16.0 | 27.00 | 77.00 | 122.1 | 157.05 | 203.45 |
| 2026-04-12 | 41.0 | 11.00 | 12.00 | 16.9 | 25.00 | 71.00 | 106.1 | 143.15 | 167.53 |
| 2026-04-19 | 42.0 | 10.00 | 12.95 | 16.0 | 27.75 | 68.25 | 108.0 | 142.10 | 174.05 |
| 2026-04-26 | 46.0 | 9.00 | 10.00 | 15.0 | 25.00 | 76.25 | 129.0 | 169.05 | 197.53 |
| 2026-05-03 | 46.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 16.0 | 26.00 | 76.00 | 118.0 | 141.00 | 171.53 |
| 2026-05-10 | 44.0 | 11.47 | 13.00 | 17.0 | 26.00 | 69.25 | 113.2 | 168.15 | 210.00 |
| 2026-05-17 | 49.0 | 11.00 | 13.00 | 18.0 | 28.00 | 83.25 | 129.2 | 164.10 | 206.53 |
| 2026-05-24 | 44.0 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 15.0 | 25.00 | 72.00 | 111.0 | 160.00 | 196.57 |
| 2026-05-31 | 47.0 | 9.47 | 12.00 | 17.0 | 27.00 | 79.00 | 115.1 | 146.00 | 176.20 |
| 2026-06-07 | 42.0 | 9.00 | 12.95 | 17.0 | 25.75 | 77.50 | 121.4 | 154.35 | 193.00 |
| 2026-06-14 | 42.0 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 16.0 | 25.00 | 71.00 | 111.1 | 154.20 | 192.62 |
| 2026-06-21 | 40.0 | 9.00 | 11.00 | 14.0 | 24.75 | 64.25 | 114.2 | 147.20 | 181.53 |
| 2026-06-28 | 36.5 | 7.00 | 9.95 | 14.0 | 23.00 | 61.00 | 109.0 | 131.10 | 154.78 |
| 2026-07-05 | 37.5 | 6.47 | 10.00 | 15.0 | 23.00 | 62.25 | 104.0 | 126.20 | 150.05 |
| 2026-07-12 | 36.0 | 8.47 | 10.00 | 13.9 | 21.00 | 59.00 | 97.1 | 139.00 | 159.53 |
| 2026-07-19 | 37.0 | 7.47 | 9.95 | 14.0 | 23.00 | 67.25 | 101.1 | 132.25 | 154.57 |
| 2026-07-26 | 40.0 | 9.00 | 11.00 | 14.9 | 25.00 | 70.00 | 109.1 | 151.10 | 176.62 |
| 2026-08-02 | 39.0 | 7.00 | 10.95 | 15.0 | 24.00 | 64.00 | 102.1 | 129.10 | 142.53 |
| 2026-08-09 | 37.5 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 15.0 | 24.00 | 59.00 | 104.1 | 146.10 | 169.53 |
| 2026-08-16 | 38.0 | 7.47 | 11.00 | 15.0 | 24.00 | 59.00 | 90.2 | 115.10 | 163.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | 36.0 | 8.00 | 10.00 | 12.0 | 21.00 | 58.25 | 93.0 | 126.15 | 165.20 |
| 2026-08-30 | 36.0 | 8.47 | 9.95 | 15.0 | 23.00 | 61.00 | 90.0 | 114.05 | 149.05 |
| 2026-09-06 | 40.0 | 9.00 | 11.00 | 15.0 | 23.75 | 62.25 | 92.1 | 116.00 | 140.62 |
| 2026-09-13 | 42.0 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 15.0 | 24.75 | 64.00 | 96.1 | 122.10 | 156.53 |
| 2026-09-20 | 40.0 | 9.00 | 11.00 | 15.9 | 24.00 | 62.00 | 91.0 | 123.20 | 146.15 |
| 2026-09-27 | 31.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 12.0 | 19.00 | 47.00 | 75.0 | 94.20 | 120.05 |
| 2026-10-04 | 25.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 10.0 | 15.00 | 42.00 | 62.0 | 82.00 | 92.53 |
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