Prediction 4394
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - SP
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 493.0 | 303.95 | 312.95 | 338.8 | 398.00 | 603.25 | 767.1 | 860.20 | 944.25 |
| 2025-10-12 | 516.5 | 285.95 | 321.90 | 358.8 | 423.75 | 633.00 | 786.3 | 886.45 | 990.88 |
| 2025-10-19 | 572.5 | 313.90 | 342.95 | 387.9 | 462.75 | 688.00 | 832.1 | 947.30 | 1010.67 |
| 2025-10-26 | 607.5 | 345.95 | 379.95 | 433.8 | 500.00 | 726.25 | 884.0 | 995.10 | 1061.62 |
| 2025-11-02 | 775.0 | 478.18 | 517.95 | 564.8 | 653.75 | 941.25 | 1140.2 | 1253.00 | 1332.45 |
| 2025-11-09 | 926.0 | 548.38 | 600.95 | 648.0 | 753.00 | 1135.00 | 1356.9 | 1511.20 | 1693.72 |
| 2025-11-16 | 1046.0 | 595.77 | 663.95 | 731.0 | 868.00 | 1262.50 | 1529.2 | 1749.70 | 1901.05 |
| 2025-11-23 | 1197.0 | 723.42 | 785.25 | 839.0 | 993.75 | 1496.75 | 1810.3 | 1996.10 | 2265.93 |
| 2025-11-30 | 1383.5 | 816.38 | 874.95 | 985.7 | 1143.00 | 1664.25 | 1941.4 | 2214.05 | 2508.43 |
| 2025-12-07 | 1483.0 | 914.17 | 979.95 | 1075.0 | 1250.00 | 1850.25 | 2205.5 | 2413.05 | 2636.82 |
| 2025-12-14 | 1678.5 | 1048.78 | 1140.70 | 1202.0 | 1389.75 | 2028.50 | 2427.9 | 2730.40 | 3026.28 |
| 2025-12-21 | 2104.5 | 1293.60 | 1370.40 | 1497.0 | 1757.75 | 2487.25 | 3019.8 | 3488.40 | 3917.62 |
| 2025-12-28 | 2102.5 | 1262.95 | 1349.95 | 1491.7 | 1773.25 | 2538.75 | 3016.1 | 3372.20 | 3580.53 |
| 2026-01-04 | 3209.5 | 1974.22 | 2167.85 | 2332.0 | 2722.75 | 3872.00 | 4625.0 | 5038.25 | 5295.10 |
| 2026-01-11 | 4671.5 | 2793.32 | 3004.65 | 3421.0 | 3988.25 | 5769.00 | 6785.6 | 7221.10 | 7903.52 |
| 2026-01-18 | 6512.0 | 3946.45 | 4299.20 | 4685.9 | 5462.00 | 7664.25 | 9042.7 | 9938.75 | 10655.58 |
| 2026-01-25 | 8398.0 | 4994.38 | 5502.75 | 6038.6 | 7201.50 | 10132.00 | 12032.7 | 13478.00 | 14899.40 |
| 2026-02-01 | 13282.0 | 8094.27 | 8711.30 | 9578.5 | 11264.75 | 15978.50 | 19713.8 | 22392.10 | 25527.85 |
| 2026-02-08 | 14285.0 | 8583.45 | 9585.95 | 10455.6 | 11931.75 | 17073.25 | 20326.6 | 23843.75 | 26387.85 |
| 2026-02-15 | 16184.5 | 9941.08 | 10751.75 | 11671.1 | 13645.50 | 19306.25 | 22275.7 | 24414.90 | 27484.95 |
| 2026-02-22 | 18305.5 | 11344.90 | 12096.75 | 13456.0 | 15276.75 | 22013.75 | 25743.9 | 28370.90 | 32640.12 |
| 2026-03-01 | 31300.5 | 18632.90 | 20307.20 | 22407.9 | 26225.00 | 39082.50 | 46729.1 | 53473.90 | 64077.50 |
| 2026-03-08 | 34584.0 | 20019.28 | 21566.20 | 23916.5 | 28649.00 | 41950.00 | 49940.2 | 54184.75 | 64734.70 |
| 2026-03-15 | 37210.0 | 22163.95 | 24824.70 | 26777.1 | 30787.75 | 45810.25 | 54660.9 | 62622.05 | 72598.27 |
| 2026-03-22 | 39055.5 | 21538.92 | 22928.00 | 25020.8 | 31304.50 | 47380.50 | 58394.2 | 64891.10 | 73241.43 |
| 2026-03-29 | 44195.0 | 25798.75 | 27628.70 | 30255.8 | 36814.50 | 53411.25 | 66681.1 | 73500.20 | 84429.57 |
| 2026-04-05 | 45349.0 | 25922.35 | 29448.70 | 32329.8 | 37450.25 | 57472.50 | 68009.5 | 81116.30 | 92230.55 |
| 2026-04-12 | 44810.5 | 26999.12 | 28902.95 | 31179.1 | 37459.25 | 54438.25 | 68198.6 | 76640.50 | 84555.93 |
| 2026-04-19 | 43407.0 | 26375.25 | 27852.90 | 30765.1 | 35689.00 | 52429.75 | 64629.2 | 71510.70 | 82973.55 |
| 2026-04-26 | 41488.0 | 23363.67 | 25437.40 | 28065.8 | 33092.25 | 51451.25 | 62406.1 | 71150.30 | 82193.40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 31126.0 | 18109.10 | 19674.10 | 21461.0 | 25453.00 | 38683.75 | 46364.0 | 51921.45 | 57235.38 |
| 2026-05-10 | 24765.5 | 14916.20 | 16313.35 | 17765.6 | 20886.25 | 31141.50 | 38224.0 | 42153.55 | 46127.65 |
| 2026-05-17 | 19395.5 | 11754.75 | 12644.75 | 13798.5 | 16151.25 | 24084.00 | 29399.3 | 32308.35 | 35515.97 |
| 2026-05-24 | 14830.5 | 8509.23 | 9218.40 | 10205.7 | 12294.00 | 18316.25 | 22098.5 | 24317.65 | 27835.22 |
| 2026-05-31 | 8108.0 | 4949.80 | 5211.60 | 5691.7 | 6781.50 | 9781.75 | 11731.3 | 13084.10 | 15123.95 |
| 2026-06-07 | 5846.0 | 3636.35 | 4067.60 | 4387.9 | 5038.25 | 7121.00 | 8565.3 | 9956.70 | 10967.20 |
| 2026-06-14 | 4708.5 | 2689.10 | 2922.90 | 3233.3 | 3753.75 | 5702.25 | 6673.5 | 7586.50 | 8586.65 |
| 2026-06-21 | 3376.5 | 1946.08 | 2164.65 | 2377.2 | 2808.75 | 4146.50 | 5111.8 | 5643.10 | 6171.07 |
| 2026-06-28 | 1858.0 | 1063.08 | 1188.30 | 1320.8 | 1542.25 | 2236.25 | 2599.2 | 2844.25 | 3234.93 |
| 2026-07-05 | 1482.5 | 866.65 | 942.60 | 1067.6 | 1250.25 | 1772.75 | 2098.8 | 2348.30 | 2612.82 |
| 2026-07-12 | 1225.5 | 737.48 | 794.75 | 855.0 | 1012.50 | 1531.00 | 1798.2 | 1973.15 | 2150.62 |
| 2026-07-19 | 1031.0 | 610.42 | 653.80 | 714.8 | 861.00 | 1258.00 | 1465.7 | 1629.90 | 1743.80 |
| 2026-07-26 | 915.0 | 529.48 | 574.00 | 645.0 | 744.50 | 1072.50 | 1287.4 | 1437.10 | 1547.62 |
| 2026-08-02 | 650.5 | 375.43 | 398.00 | 434.9 | 537.75 | 781.50 | 981.0 | 1079.45 | 1179.35 |
| 2026-08-09 | 628.0 | 373.95 | 400.95 | 436.0 | 504.00 | 764.00 | 885.3 | 1004.65 | 1098.88 |
| 2026-08-16 | 575.5 | 325.48 | 352.00 | 390.0 | 472.00 | 688.00 | 809.9 | 902.25 | 963.62 |
| 2026-08-23 | 517.5 | 313.48 | 332.00 | 360.9 | 431.75 | 620.25 | 757.1 | 821.25 | 927.70 |
| 2026-08-30 | 400.5 | 239.00 | 256.80 | 288.0 | 333.75 | 479.00 | 561.1 | 628.15 | 689.10 |
| 2026-09-06 | 417.5 | 233.43 | 260.95 | 290.0 | 340.00 | 499.25 | 605.2 | 691.80 | 775.62 |
| 2026-09-13 | 462.5 | 273.95 | 296.95 | 317.9 | 376.75 | 563.75 | 672.0 | 756.30 | 852.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | 486.5 | 279.00 | 300.95 | 332.9 | 396.00 | 593.25 | 714.2 | 773.40 | 824.83 |
| 2026-09-27 | 462.5 | 256.43 | 298.00 | 324.7 | 381.00 | 572.00 | 672.1 | 744.15 | 825.88 |
| 2026-10-04 | 400.5 | 238.00 | 250.90 | 276.9 | 324.75 | 482.25 | 555.1 | 633.00 | 679.00 |
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