Prediction 4395
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Forecast (Ministry of Health, using Sept forecasts) - TO
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 38.0 | 6.47 | 9.00 | 12.0 | 23.00 | 59.25 | 95.1 | 117.10 | 145.00 |
| 2025-10-12 | 43.0 | 12.00 | 14.00 | 18.0 | 28.00 | 76.25 | 128.0 | 159.05 | 195.15 |
| 2025-10-19 | 61.0 | 14.00 | 18.90 | 25.0 | 38.00 | 97.25 | 149.0 | 193.00 | 226.62 |
| 2025-10-26 | 77.0 | 18.00 | 20.00 | 28.0 | 44.00 | 129.00 | 200.1 | 247.20 | 291.40 |
| 2025-11-02 | 90.0 | 21.48 | 28.00 | 38.0 | 57.00 | 148.00 | 240.0 | 302.00 | 357.15 |
| 2025-11-09 | 134.0 | 30.48 | 36.95 | 48.8 | 80.00 | 217.00 | 338.4 | 434.50 | 545.62 |
| 2025-11-16 | 186.5 | 48.00 | 56.95 | 74.0 | 120.75 | 299.25 | 470.9 | 621.15 | 725.98 |
| 2025-11-23 | 220.5 | 53.00 | 66.00 | 91.9 | 136.75 | 375.00 | 581.2 | 833.40 | 1044.83 |
| 2025-11-30 | 202.0 | 45.00 | 57.90 | 76.0 | 121.00 | 337.50 | 505.0 | 649.00 | 777.67 |
| 2025-12-07 | 192.5 | 51.48 | 59.95 | 77.0 | 113.00 | 309.25 | 476.0 | 617.50 | 779.80 |
| 2025-12-14 | 168.5 | 41.00 | 49.00 | 67.0 | 104.00 | 260.25 | 389.4 | 518.05 | 668.40 |
| 2025-12-21 | 161.0 | 43.48 | 53.00 | 73.9 | 106.00 | 261.25 | 398.0 | 530.45 | 723.30 |
| 2025-12-28 | 158.0 | 46.48 | 58.00 | 69.0 | 103.00 | 243.25 | 382.0 | 482.25 | 679.12 |
| 2026-01-04 | 144.0 | 36.48 | 46.95 | 57.9 | 90.75 | 236.25 | 377.1 | 476.30 | 550.05 |
| 2026-01-11 | 188.0 | 49.95 | 62.95 | 81.9 | 123.50 | 306.00 | 452.3 | 569.00 | 739.95 |
| 2026-01-18 | 223.0 | 61.48 | 70.95 | 90.9 | 134.00 | 368.00 | 566.8 | 745.15 | 984.00 |
| 2026-01-25 | 249.5 | 71.00 | 82.95 | 105.9 | 160.00 | 414.25 | 743.8 | 927.05 | 1063.05 |
| 2026-02-01 | 229.5 | 60.48 | 75.95 | 95.0 | 141.00 | 381.25 | 565.4 | 808.15 | 977.73 |
| 2026-02-08 | 223.0 | 57.48 | 69.95 | 90.8 | 144.50 | 371.75 | 581.1 | 781.25 | 935.17 |
| 2026-02-15 | 210.0 | 51.00 | 69.00 | 87.9 | 133.75 | 336.25 | 529.1 | 671.15 | 755.40 |
| 2026-02-22 | 228.5 | 49.00 | 65.00 | 88.7 | 136.00 | 379.00 | 589.1 | 720.20 | 895.15 |
| 2026-03-01 | 210.0 | 51.48 | 64.95 | 87.7 | 129.50 | 330.00 | 465.0 | 568.75 | 702.62 |
| 2026-03-08 | 219.0 | 57.90 | 70.00 | 93.0 | 141.00 | 349.00 | 557.2 | 738.25 | 890.00 |
| 2026-03-15 | 217.5 | 48.00 | 63.90 | 92.9 | 136.00 | 353.00 | 533.0 | 647.20 | 744.35 |
| 2026-03-22 | 228.0 | 59.00 | 74.95 | 90.9 | 139.75 | 350.00 | 526.3 | 671.50 | 916.65 |
| 2026-03-29 | 221.5 | 60.48 | 74.90 | 101.6 | 138.00 | 368.75 | 550.3 | 652.00 | 806.05 |
| 2026-04-05 | 240.0 | 50.48 | 70.75 | 92.9 | 149.75 | 344.25 | 555.3 | 693.30 | 789.73 |
| 2026-04-12 | 223.5 | 47.00 | 59.95 | 94.8 | 143.75 | 346.25 | 486.1 | 598.85 | 779.52 |
| 2026-04-19 | 219.5 | 53.95 | 67.95 | 92.9 | 143.75 | 337.25 | 516.4 | 683.05 | 871.20 |
| 2026-04-26 | 205.0 | 58.00 | 71.00 | 87.9 | 133.75 | 343.75 | 522.3 | 653.00 | 751.77 |
| 2026-05-03 | 198.0 | 53.95 | 67.00 | 85.0 | 125.00 | 326.50 | 473.2 | 647.35 | 777.77 |
| 2026-05-10 | 190.5 | 49.90 | 61.00 | 79.9 | 126.00 | 290.00 | 455.0 | 589.80 | 725.38 |
| 2026-05-17 | 194.5 | 47.00 | 59.00 | 76.9 | 119.75 | 302.25 | 464.1 | 551.45 | 724.10 |
| 2026-05-24 | 157.0 | 41.42 | 53.95 | 67.8 | 99.75 | 252.00 | 387.9 | 497.10 | 594.77 |
| 2026-05-31 | 136.5 | 30.95 | 36.95 | 50.9 | 85.00 | 223.75 | 343.6 | 418.00 | 539.73 |
| 2026-06-07 | 111.0 | 28.00 | 36.00 | 44.0 | 71.00 | 181.00 | 277.2 | 333.10 | 373.00 |
| 2026-06-14 | 92.5 | 21.00 | 26.00 | 39.0 | 59.00 | 146.00 | 225.6 | 282.45 | 329.57 |
| 2026-06-21 | 72.0 | 18.00 | 26.95 | 33.0 | 47.00 | 126.25 | 204.1 | 238.00 | 294.52 |
| 2026-06-28 | 65.0 | 13.47 | 19.00 | 26.0 | 39.00 | 104.25 | 159.1 | 199.00 | 282.62 |
| 2026-07-05 | 49.0 | 12.00 | 14.00 | 18.0 | 30.00 | 78.00 | 125.3 | 163.30 | 196.10 |
| 2026-07-12 | 43.0 | 10.47 | 13.00 | 17.0 | 25.00 | 69.00 | 108.2 | 133.05 | 153.05 |
| 2026-07-19 | 38.0 | 8.47 | 11.00 | 14.0 | 22.00 | 59.25 | 88.0 | 113.05 | 143.53 |
| 2026-07-26 | 31.0 | 8.00 | 9.00 | 12.0 | 19.00 | 53.00 | 83.0 | 117.05 | 142.05 |
| 2026-08-02 | 29.0 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 17.00 | 47.00 | 74.1 | 100.00 | 122.72 |
| 2026-08-09 | 29.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 11.0 | 18.00 | 47.00 | 75.1 | 103.05 | 124.05 |
| 2026-08-16 | 26.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 15.00 | 43.00 | 67.0 | 85.15 | 97.53 |
| 2026-08-23 | 24.5 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 14.00 | 39.00 | 61.0 | 86.00 | 112.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | 22.0 | 5.00 | 6.95 | 9.0 | 15.00 | 36.00 | 52.1 | 64.10 | 84.15 |
| 2026-09-06 | 19.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.9 | 12.75 | 32.00 | 48.0 | 67.00 | 76.53 |
| 2026-09-13 | 20.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.9 | 12.00 | 33.00 | 47.0 | 62.15 | 78.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | 17.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 10.00 | 26.00 | 41.0 | 53.00 | 68.53 |
| 2026-09-27 | 17.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 11.00 | 27.00 | 45.0 | 55.00 | 69.58 |
| 2026-10-04 | 19.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 29.00 | 46.1 | 63.05 | 70.62 |
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