Prediction 4398
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
2025-26 Dengue Forecast for Amapá
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 16.63 | 6.60 | 6.60 | 6.63 | 12.39 | 16.90 | 63.80 | 67.65 | 69.70 |
2025-10-12 | 9.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.61 | 10.18 | 150.64 | 166.21 | 176.85 |
2025-10-19 | 2.97 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 1.98 | 3.03 | 163.14 | 180.56 | 192.53 |
2025-10-26 | 1.63 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 1.22 | 1.66 | 166.31 | 183.99 | 196.04 |
2025-11-02 | 1.36 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 1.02 | 1.39 | 169.50 | 187.51 | 199.64 |
2025-11-09 | 1.38 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 1.03 | 1.41 | 171.67 | 189.84 | 201.96 |
2025-11-16 | 2.19 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.55 | 1.59 | 2.24 | 179.36 | 198.70 | 211.44 |
2025-11-23 | 1.78 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 1.33 | 1.82 | 184.43 | 204.45 | 217.50 |
2025-11-30 | 0.72 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.62 | 0.78 | 183.88 | 203.65 | 216.47 |
2025-12-07 | 0.53 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.48 | 0.59 | 181.43 | 200.51 | 212.79 |
2025-12-14 | 1.98 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.58 | 1.50 | 2.02 | 185.62 | 205.12 | 217.50 |
2025-12-21 | 0.80 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.69 | 0.86 | 186.01 | 205.43 | 217.69 |
2025-12-28 | 0.64 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.58 | 0.71 | 183.94 | 202.79 | 214.64 |
2026-01-04 | 0.20 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 181.28 | 199.44 | 210.81 |
2026-01-11 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 175.81 | 192.80 | 203.38 |
2026-01-18 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.17 | 170.35 | 186.43 | 196.26 |
2026-01-25 | 0.55 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.51 | 0.60 | 166.90 | 182.50 | 191.80 |
2026-02-01 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 0.41 | 164.94 | 180.21 | 189.15 |
2026-02-08 | 1.02 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.46 | 0.87 | 1.07 | 164.13 | 179.18 | 187.81 |
2026-02-15 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.22 | 161.54 | 176.24 | 184.50 |
2026-02-22 | 0.73 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.67 | 0.79 | 158.58 | 172.82 | 180.63 |
2026-03-01 | 0.88 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.79 | 0.93 | 158.34 | 172.43 | 180.03 |
2026-03-08 | 0.79 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.73 | 0.85 | 156.92 | 170.69 | 177.99 |
2026-03-15 | 1.42 | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.65 | 1.22 | 1.47 | 157.77 | 171.50 | 178.66 |
2026-03-22 | 0.89 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.82 | 0.95 | 157.65 | 171.29 | 178.34 |
2026-03-29 | 1.04 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.95 | 1.11 | 156.38 | 169.72 | 176.60 |
2026-04-05 | 1.29 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.70 | 1.16 | 1.36 | 156.58 | 169.81 | 176.62 |
2026-04-12 | 1.51 | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.79 | 1.35 | 1.58 | 157.10 | 170.26 | 177.01 |
2026-04-19 | 1.53 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.83 | 1.37 | 1.60 | 158.05 | 171.32 | 178.01 |
2026-04-26 | 0.43 | 0.37 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.50 | 155.94 | 168.74 | 175.13 |
2026-05-03 | 1.74 | 0.95 | 0.95 | 0.97 | 1.56 | 1.81 | 155.10 | 167.65 | 173.73 |
2026-05-10 | 1.39 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.90 | 1.30 | 1.47 | 155.36 | 167.92 | 173.91 |
2026-05-17 | 1.71 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 1.05 | 1.57 | 1.79 | 155.33 | 167.80 | 173.60 |
2026-05-24 | 1.34 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.97 | 1.29 | 1.42 | 155.02 | 167.39 | 173.05 |
2026-05-31 | 1.57 | 1.08 | 1.09 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 1.66 | 154.26 | 166.40 | 171.81 |
2026-06-07 | 1.46 | 1.09 | 1.10 | 1.11 | 1.42 | 1.55 | 154.05 | 166.09 | 171.33 |
2026-06-14 | 0.57 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.80 | 152.01 | 163.59 | 168.50 |
2026-06-21 | 1.77 | 1.30 | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.71 | 1.87 | 149.92 | 161.01 | 165.58 |
2026-06-28 | 1.75 | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.70 | 1.85 | 150.20 | 161.15 | 165.62 |
2026-07-05 | 1.63 | 1.31 | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.61 | 1.73 | 149.86 | 160.57 | 164.89 |
2026-07-12 | 3.19 | 2.09 | 2.10 | 2.12 | 2.95 | 3.32 | 151.64 | 162.39 | 166.68 |
2026-07-19 | 2.62 | 1.93 | 1.98 | 1.99 | 2.52 | 2.75 | 153.72 | 164.53 | 168.84 |
2026-07-26 | 2.19 | 1.79 | 1.92 | 1.93 | 2.15 | 2.31 | 153.29 | 163.87 | 168.03 |
2026-08-02 | 4.16 | 2.90 | 2.93 | 2.94 | 3.92 | 4.34 | 157.11 | 167.86 | 172.10 |
2026-08-09 | 5.18 | 3.56 | 3.59 | 3.61 | 4.85 | 5.39 | 162.97 | 174.43 | 178.91 |
2026-08-16 | 4.70 | 3.48 | 3.63 | 3.65 | 4.49 | 4.91 | 166.66 | 178.53 | 183.06 |
2026-08-23 | 6.07 | 4.42 | 4.59 | 4.61 | 5.75 | 6.33 | 172.85 | 185.20 | 189.87 |
2026-08-30 | 7.36 | 4.25 | 4.56 | 4.59 | 5.28 | 12.54 | 177.41 | 189.99 | 194.71 |
2026-09-06 | 21.50 | 5.67 | 6.06 | 6.08 | 7.33 | 28.24 | 184.65 | 197.67 | 202.59 |
2026-09-13 | 38.06 | 6.26 | 6.70 | 6.78 | 10.56 | 45.63 | 192.53 | 206.08 | 211.27 |
2026-09-20 | 57.11 | 7.35 | 7.84 | 8.03 | 27.99 | 65.56 | 201.65 | 215.78 | 221.30 |
2026-09-27 | 80.21 | 9.06 | 9.68 | 9.94 | 51.18 | 89.76 | 212.81 | 228.11 | 234.09 |
2026-10-04 | 100.32 | 8.61 | 9.23 | 9.68 | 70.62 | 111.00 | 220.52 | 236.66 | 242.85 |