Prediction 4400
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
2025-26 Dengue Forecast for Bahia
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 214.16 | 208.32 | 208.32 | 208.32 | 211.27 | 216.83 | 217.75 | 217.76 | 217.76 |
2025-10-12 | 7.00 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 14.23 | 18.33 | 18.36 | 18.38 |
2025-10-19 | 30.18 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 60.64 | 68.11 | 68.17 | 68.20 |
2025-10-26 | 41.94 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 1.07 | 82.92 | 93.46 | 93.54 | 93.59 |
2025-11-02 | 48.59 | 0.59 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.66 | 96.62 | 111.09 | 111.20 | 111.26 |
2025-11-09 | 57.03 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 114.26 | 133.44 | 133.59 | 133.67 |
2025-11-16 | 87.88 | 0.82 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 1.49 | 175.21 | 204.97 | 205.21 | 205.33 |
2025-11-23 | 101.61 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 204.51 | 242.62 | 242.93 | 243.09 |
2025-11-30 | 130.36 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.49 | 262.21 | 313.66 | 314.07 | 314.30 |
2025-12-07 | 193.26 | 0.48 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 2.89 | 386.40 | 463.07 | 463.68 | 464.03 |
2025-12-14 | 265.36 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 2.72 | 540.41 | 1033.54 | 1038.89 | 1041.83 |
2025-12-21 | 734.64 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1.26 | 1509.38 | 2518.23 | 2526.20 | 2530.68 |
2025-12-28 | 1574.34 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 3.52 | 3200.20 | 4553.73 | 4564.42 | 4570.51 |
2026-01-04 | 2605.59 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 3.39 | 5279.64 | 7032.11 | 7045.89 | 7053.77 |
2026-01-11 | 3759.46 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 2.56 | 7604.59 | 9748.86 | 9765.53 | 9775.08 |
2026-01-18 | 5062.47 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 4.18 | 10223.81 | 12702.13 | 12721.09 | 12731.95 |
2026-01-25 | 6459.05 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 4.81 | 13026.27 | 15683.26 | 15703.44 | 15714.47 |
2026-02-01 | 7703.92 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0.71 | 6.11 | 15513.31 | 18040.67 | 18059.34 | 18069.67 |
2026-02-08 | 8740.70 | 0.85 | 0.86 | 0.88 | 7.22 | 17577.29 | 19617.30 | 19631.75 | 19640.49 |
2026-02-15 | 9198.29 | 1.07 | 1.08 | 1.11 | 8.81 | 18463.82 | 19716.88 | 19726.31 | 19731.31 |
2026-02-22 | 8985.31 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.72 | 6.24 | 18019.25 | 18670.63 | 18675.94 | 18679.41 |
2026-03-01 | 8194.95 | 1.49 | 1.51 | 1.54 | 11.56 | 16674.34 | 16684.14 | 16716.06 | 16723.28 |
2026-03-08 | 6783.61 | 1.68 | 1.70 | 1.74 | 12.72 | 14584.15 | 14594.96 | 14623.97 | 14625.57 |
2026-03-15 | 5218.61 | 1.91 | 1.92 | 1.97 | 14.16 | 11844.51 | 11856.75 | 11876.54 | 11878.29 |
2026-03-22 | 3733.09 | 1.92 | 1.94 | 1.98 | 14.00 | 8923.03 | 8935.08 | 8945.55 | 8948.66 |
2026-03-29 | 2492.10 | 2.20 | 2.22 | 2.27 | 15.51 | 6265.53 | 6275.84 | 6282.97 | 6283.72 |
2026-04-05 | 1589.05 | 2.47 | 2.49 | 2.55 | 16.81 | 4211.37 | 4219.38 | 4222.48 | 4224.90 |
2026-04-12 | 899.22 | 2.39 | 2.41 | 2.46 | 15.54 | 2579.84 | 2585.94 | 2587.38 | 2590.08 |
2026-04-19 | 444.53 | 3.20 | 3.23 | 3.30 | 20.27 | 1465.44 | 1469.41 | 1471.24 | 1473.02 |
2026-04-26 | 106.86 | 2.90 | 2.92 | 2.98 | 17.13 | 633.21 | 636.07 | 637.60 | 638.70 |
2026-05-03 | 18.05 | 1.76 | 1.76 | 1.76 | 3.22 | 90.68 | 91.99 | 92.71 | 93.20 |
2026-05-10 | 2.37 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.69 | 16.28 | 16.63 | 16.83 | 17.54 |
2026-05-17 | 2.34 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.53 | 15.76 | 16.09 | 16.29 | 16.97 |
2026-05-24 | 2.15 | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.33 | 1.40 | 12.84 | 13.11 | 13.31 | 13.88 |
2026-05-31 | 2.43 | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.30 | 15.90 | 16.24 | 16.43 | 17.08 |
2026-06-07 | 2.04 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.22 | 10.25 | 10.39 | 10.64 | 11.01 |
2026-06-14 | 2.21 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.15 | 11.62 | 11.78 | 12.01 | 12.43 |
2026-06-21 | 2.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.09 | 8.96 | 9.16 | 9.30 | 9.57 |
2026-06-28 | 2.25 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.04 | 10.52 | 10.65 | 10.88 | 11.18 |
2026-07-05 | 1.71 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.99 | 3.99 | 4.20 | 4.27 | 4.29 |
2026-07-12 | 18.78 | 7.61 | 7.66 | 7.80 | 18.43 | 30.22 | 30.73 | 31.01 | 32.06 |
2026-07-19 | 3.18 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 14.02 | 14.17 | 14.40 | 14.79 |
2026-07-26 | 2.55 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.94 | 8.58 | 8.85 | 8.96 | 9.00 |
2026-08-02 | 6.25 | 3.99 | 3.99 | 4.00 | 4.01 | 25.47 | 25.86 | 26.12 | 26.91 |
2026-08-09 | 3.98 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.92 | 19.41 | 19.62 | 19.88 | 20.38 |
2026-08-16 | 12.18 | 10.63 | 10.68 | 10.83 | 11.79 | 32.44 | 32.92 | 33.24 | 34.20 |
2026-08-23 | 37.62 | 15.58 | 15.67 | 15.88 | 37.44 | 50.47 | 51.27 | 51.73 | 53.29 |
2026-08-30 | 14.64 | 14.17 | 14.17 | 14.18 | 14.19 | 39.93 | 40.47 | 40.87 | 41.96 |
2026-09-06 | 9.06 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.51 | 2.52 | 37.42 | 37.81 | 38.25 | 39.15 |
2026-09-13 | 16.03 | 12.07 | 12.08 | 12.09 | 12.11 | 48.03 | 48.61 | 49.13 | 50.31 |
2026-09-20 | 41.91 | 27.74 | 27.87 | 28.21 | 41.52 | 73.34 | 74.29 | 74.99 | 76.93 |
2026-09-27 | 44.61 | 33.50 | 33.65 | 34.04 | 44.13 | 83.67 | 84.73 | 85.52 | 87.62 |
2026-10-04 | 42.43 | 39.87 | 40.07 | 40.50 | 41.80 | 92.35 | 93.40 | 94.34 | 96.49 |