Prediction 4411
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
2025-26 Dengue Forecast for Pernambuco
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 371.26 | 126.08 | 126.08 | 126.08 | 127.56 | 385.32 | 385.95 | 386.18 | 386.32 |
2025-10-12 | 295.28 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 312.58 | 313.36 | 313.65 | 313.82 |
2025-10-19 | 68.46 | 2.33 | 2.33 | 2.35 | 6.72 | 72.45 | 72.63 | 72.70 | 72.75 |
2025-10-26 | 18.49 | 6.43 | 6.44 | 6.45 | 13.72 | 19.76 | 19.83 | 19.85 | 19.86 |
2025-11-02 | 9.95 | 5.55 | 5.55 | 5.57 | 8.38 | 10.17 | 14.28 | 14.30 | 14.32 |
2025-11-09 | 1.74 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.65 | 4.42 | 15.02 | 15.04 | 15.06 |
2025-11-16 | 10.77 | 6.06 | 6.07 | 6.09 | 8.96 | 11.03 | 19.49 | 19.52 | 19.54 |
2025-11-23 | 13.37 | 7.09 | 7.10 | 7.13 | 11.26 | 13.65 | 23.98 | 24.02 | 24.05 |
2025-11-30 | 3.81 | 2.58 | 2.59 | 2.65 | 3.51 | 6.61 | 26.92 | 26.97 | 27.00 |
2025-12-07 | 16.34 | 9.32 | 9.34 | 9.36 | 13.85 | 16.67 | 36.15 | 36.21 | 36.25 |
2025-12-14 | 22.89 | 11.48 | 11.50 | 11.53 | 19.68 | 23.29 | 46.32 | 46.41 | 46.45 |
2025-12-21 | 7.79 | 5.83 | 5.85 | 5.97 | 7.39 | 10.44 | 51.93 | 52.03 | 52.08 |
2025-12-28 | 22.78 | 14.55 | 14.57 | 14.61 | 19.47 | 23.21 | 70.70 | 70.84 | 70.90 |
2026-01-04 | 24.34 | 16.80 | 16.82 | 16.87 | 20.80 | 24.79 | 88.74 | 88.91 | 88.99 |
2026-01-11 | 16.57 | 13.52 | 13.56 | 13.77 | 16.02 | 17.34 | 104.85 | 105.04 | 105.14 |
2026-01-18 | 13.09 | 10.59 | 10.62 | 10.79 | 12.64 | 18.93 | 126.97 | 127.19 | 127.31 |
2026-01-25 | 26.87 | 22.64 | 22.71 | 23.05 | 24.96 | 27.39 | 166.63 | 166.90 | 167.06 |
2026-02-01 | 16.10 | 12.81 | 12.85 | 13.06 | 15.49 | 25.47 | 191.77 | 192.08 | 192.25 |
2026-02-08 | 14.57 | 11.44 | 11.47 | 11.67 | 13.97 | 28.50 | 237.95 | 239.42 | 240.30 |
2026-02-15 | 38.13 | 31.83 | 31.92 | 32.39 | 37.07 | 40.05 | 723.48 | 728.76 | 731.71 |
2026-02-22 | 35.53 | 29.51 | 29.59 | 30.03 | 34.51 | 45.24 | 1469.70 | 1475.86 | 1479.35 |
2026-03-01 | 32.24 | 27.81 | 28.19 | 28.81 | 29.98 | 49.81 | 2280.23 | 2287.08 | 2291.09 |
2026-03-08 | 94.54 | 60.66 | 60.75 | 60.92 | 86.88 | 99.87 | 3223.60 | 3231.19 | 3235.60 |
2026-03-15 | 123.45 | 58.53 | 58.62 | 58.78 | 110.10 | 129.60 | 4067.76 | 4075.46 | 4079.96 |
2026-03-22 | 144.61 | 67.90 | 67.99 | 68.18 | 125.82 | 151.21 | 4821.42 | 4828.66 | 4832.90 |
2026-03-29 | 195.69 | 80.24 | 80.35 | 80.56 | 168.18 | 203.39 | 5503.93 | 5510.23 | 5513.93 |
2026-04-05 | 240.40 | 90.18 | 90.31 | 90.54 | 205.08 | 249.12 | 5942.47 | 5947.50 | 5950.27 |
2026-04-12 | 296.63 | 107.31 | 107.45 | 107.71 | 252.16 | 306.55 | 6139.53 | 6142.72 | 6144.48 |
2026-04-19 | 365.94 | 122.04 | 122.20 | 122.49 | 310.81 | 377.27 | 6122.28 | 6124.39 | 6125.95 |
2026-04-26 | 392.89 | 123.99 | 124.15 | 124.42 | 332.13 | 405.02 | 5807.72 | 5810.14 | 5811.55 |
2026-05-03 | 434.23 | 152.82 | 153.94 | 156.13 | 366.02 | 447.35 | 5249.92 | 5253.35 | 5255.63 |
2026-05-10 | 448.64 | 363.81 | 367.50 | 372.13 | 382.45 | 462.27 | 4522.40 | 4526.53 | 4529.65 |
2026-05-17 | 418.72 | 335.31 | 336.95 | 343.38 | 397.08 | 568.21 | 3615.70 | 3620.23 | 3623.48 |
2026-05-24 | 309.08 | 239.58 | 240.90 | 245.70 | 289.48 | 721.96 | 2658.30 | 2662.63 | 2665.74 |
2026-05-31 | 261.57 | 197.07 | 198.33 | 202.36 | 242.62 | 961.33 | 1966.18 | 1970.15 | 1973.00 |
2026-06-07 | 226.91 | 165.75 | 166.75 | 170.65 | 208.34 | 1174.32 | 1417.24 | 1420.76 | 1423.27 |
2026-06-14 | 145.93 | 95.09 | 96.00 | 98.85 | 128.88 | 911.11 | 1258.42 | 1265.82 | 1271.22 |
2026-06-21 | 27.92 | 8.07 | 8.42 | 9.24 | 18.95 | 456.29 | 1290.29 | 1297.22 | 1302.36 |
2026-06-28 | 1.02 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.88 | 0.99 | 115.84 | 1332.47 | 1339.06 | 1343.91 |
2026-07-05 | 0.97 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.84 | 0.95 | 1.15 | 1409.70 | 1415.98 | 1420.60 |
2026-07-12 | 10.27 | 1.09 | 1.09 | 1.09 | 8.48 | 10.52 | 1644.29 | 1650.40 | 1654.88 |
2026-07-19 | 1.81 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.41 | 1.86 | 1788.45 | 1794.22 | 1798.44 |
2026-07-26 | 0.93 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.91 | 0.99 | 1770.32 | 1775.57 | 1779.44 |
2026-08-02 | 1.15 | 0.81 | 0.82 | 0.84 | 0.95 | 1.20 | 1926.21 | 1930.88 | 1934.27 |
2026-08-09 | 0.89 | 0.75 | 0.76 | 0.77 | 0.87 | 0.91 | 1933.70 | 1937.85 | 1940.89 |
2026-08-16 | 0.87 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.75 | 0.85 | 0.87 | 1983.40 | 1986.80 | 1989.33 |
2026-08-23 | 12.03 | 8.66 | 8.67 | 8.68 | 10.05 | 12.29 | 2108.22 | 2111.11 | 2113.22 |
2026-08-30 | 11.64 | 7.13 | 7.14 | 7.16 | 9.62 | 11.91 | 2335.48 | 2337.82 | 2339.54 |
2026-09-06 | 0.85 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.74 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 2362.74 | 2364.45 | 2365.67 |
2026-09-13 | 0.83 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 0.85 | 2338.13 | 2339.37 | 2340.22 |
2026-09-20 | 4.73 | 3.53 | 3.54 | 3.62 | 4.24 | 4.91 | 2427.81 | 2428.11 | 2428.29 |
2026-09-27 | 14.57 | 11.68 | 11.71 | 11.91 | 14.25 | 14.93 | 2582.21 | 2582.73 | 2583.05 |
2026-10-04 | 8.07 | 5.99 | 6.01 | 6.14 | 7.73 | 8.19 | 2675.70 | 2676.99 | 2677.62 |