Prediction 4413
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
2025-26 Dengue Forecast for Rio de Janeiro
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 169.22 | 168.39 | 168.49 | 168.62 | 169.17 | 169.84 | 225.55 | 225.64 | 225.71 |
2025-10-12 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 67.32 | 67.44 | 67.53 |
2025-10-19 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 11.16 | 29.52 | 29.56 | 29.58 |
2025-10-26 | 3.98 | 2.81 | 2.90 | 3.00 | 3.89 | 29.87 | 39.20 | 39.24 | 39.27 |
2025-11-02 | 1.62 | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.59 | 14.64 | 21.42 | 21.45 | 21.47 |
2025-11-09 | 1.36 | 1.01 | 1.04 | 1.07 | 1.33 | 14.89 | 26.93 | 26.96 | 26.99 |
2025-11-16 | 4.83 | 3.46 | 3.60 | 3.73 | 4.72 | 47.96 | 54.18 | 54.25 | 54.30 |
2025-11-23 | 0.95 | 0.73 | 0.74 | 0.77 | 0.93 | 14.45 | 48.37 | 48.44 | 48.49 |
2025-11-30 | 4.75 | 3.47 | 3.57 | 3.69 | 4.65 | 50.67 | 91.20 | 91.33 | 91.41 |
2025-12-07 | 5.23 | 3.84 | 3.95 | 4.07 | 5.12 | 55.77 | 121.78 | 121.96 | 122.07 |
2025-12-14 | 2.02 | 1.66 | 1.67 | 1.75 | 1.98 | 28.79 | 133.52 | 133.73 | 133.86 |
2025-12-21 | 1.90 | 1.59 | 1.61 | 1.67 | 1.86 | 26.16 | 164.40 | 164.66 | 164.83 |
2025-12-28 | 6.04 | 4.56 | 4.64 | 4.80 | 5.92 | 61.79 | 263.69 | 264.10 | 264.37 |
2026-01-04 | 4.66 | 3.61 | 3.68 | 3.82 | 4.57 | 47.56 | 308.80 | 309.30 | 309.62 |
2026-01-11 | 5.75 | 4.44 | 4.53 | 4.70 | 5.64 | 55.53 | 413.77 | 414.43 | 414.85 |
2026-01-18 | 17.51 | 13.01 | 13.32 | 13.72 | 17.12 | 161.91 | 988.13 | 992.64 | 995.55 |
2026-01-25 | 5.72 | 4.63 | 4.69 | 4.87 | 5.61 | 51.73 | 2251.03 | 2261.41 | 2268.14 |
2026-02-01 | 14.62 | 11.27 | 11.48 | 11.89 | 14.33 | 129.35 | 4606.84 | 4620.53 | 4629.30 |
2026-02-08 | 20.18 | 15.56 | 15.83 | 16.38 | 19.79 | 173.48 | 8029.89 | 8047.33 | 8058.89 |
2026-02-15 | 24.20 | 18.79 | 19.15 | 19.85 | 23.72 | 200.27 | 11933.91 | 11954.84 | 11968.05 |
2026-02-22 | 27.17 | 21.40 | 21.73 | 22.56 | 26.62 | 213.51 | 15798.87 | 15820.19 | 15833.14 |
2026-03-01 | 35.10 | 27.85 | 28.23 | 29.31 | 34.40 | 264.56 | 19110.06 | 19127.09 | 19139.00 |
2026-03-08 | 32.50 | 26.33 | 26.70 | 27.68 | 31.90 | 222.91 | 19518.91 | 19529.94 | 19537.21 |
2026-03-15 | 36.02 | 29.48 | 29.88 | 30.93 | 35.36 | 505.38 | 18365.95 | 18373.23 | 18378.86 |
2026-03-22 | 44.63 | 36.66 | 37.14 | 38.43 | 43.83 | 1077.68 | 15688.36 | 15698.58 | 15705.16 |
2026-03-29 | 35.97 | 30.52 | 30.77 | 31.86 | 35.32 | 1389.22 | 11708.11 | 11720.70 | 11728.81 |
2026-04-05 | 32.26 | 27.93 | 28.29 | 29.09 | 31.70 | 1697.25 | 7911.89 | 7923.75 | 7931.82 |
2026-04-12 | 33.67 | 29.40 | 29.84 | 30.63 | 33.12 | 1797.38 | 4725.26 | 4735.24 | 4741.26 |
2026-04-19 | 39.40 | 34.32 | 34.77 | 35.69 | 38.76 | 2189.11 | 2839.69 | 2847.50 | 2852.20 |
2026-04-26 | 27.82 | 25.20 | 25.82 | 26.27 | 27.42 | 1327.32 | 2108.89 | 2116.75 | 2122.14 |
2026-05-03 | 59.63 | 51.79 | 52.26 | 53.88 | 58.68 | 569.95 | 2529.72 | 2538.05 | 2543.77 |
2026-05-10 | 55.46 | 49.01 | 49.66 | 50.86 | 54.62 | 157.65 | 2914.33 | 2923.10 | 2929.06 |
2026-05-17 | 0.60 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.55 | 0.59 | 1.96 | 2543.72 | 2552.05 | 2557.72 |
2026-05-24 | 20.74 | 1.73 | 1.73 | 1.74 | 20.49 | 21.56 | 2194.40 | 2202.32 | 2207.66 |
2026-05-31 | 1.35 | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.22 | 1.58 | 1860.24 | 1867.72 | 1872.77 |
2026-06-07 | 6.01 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 5.98 | 7.01 | 1346.15 | 1352.99 | 1357.59 |
2026-06-14 | 11.23 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 3.71 | 11.15 | 11.81 | 1118.68 | 1125.20 | 1129.59 |
2026-06-21 | 38.16 | 35.05 | 35.70 | 36.25 | 37.71 | 39.42 | 1117.25 | 1123.71 | 1128.05 |
2026-06-28 | 62.45 | 56.08 | 56.73 | 57.91 | 61.63 | 88.36 | 1470.29 | 1477.10 | 1481.66 |
2026-07-05 | 0.64 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 0.58 | 0.63 | 1.38 | 896.13 | 902.27 | 906.38 |
2026-07-12 | 43.40 | 40.24 | 41.02 | 41.61 | 42.93 | 49.15 | 605.26 | 611.00 | 614.84 |
2026-07-19 | 0.68 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.63 | 0.63 | 1.27 | 317.63 | 323.03 | 326.64 |
2026-07-26 | 48.60 | 44.25 | 44.91 | 45.64 | 48.05 | 80.47 | 93.05 | 93.85 | 94.38 |
2026-08-02 | 34.79 | 32.78 | 33.34 | 33.81 | 34.48 | 45.12 | 93.81 | 98.86 | 102.24 |
2026-08-09 | 95.32 | 86.53 | 87.67 | 89.26 | 94.16 | 145.54 | 529.46 | 534.91 | 538.57 |
2026-08-16 | 18.14 | 16.99 | 17.29 | 17.51 | 17.97 | 19.30 | 167.43 | 172.08 | 175.46 |
2026-08-23 | 143.08 | 130.52 | 132.44 | 134.52 | 141.47 | 200.63 | 703.39 | 708.89 | 712.59 |
2026-08-30 | 11.26 | 10.67 | 10.85 | 10.94 | 10.98 | 11.44 | 205.59 | 208.52 | 210.49 |
2026-09-06 | 192.25 | 177.05 | 179.77 | 182.44 | 190.19 | 248.78 | 542.15 | 546.01 | 548.62 |
2026-09-13 | 228.68 | 212.19 | 215.88 | 218.71 | 226.33 | 253.46 | 1349.83 | 1355.80 | 1359.81 |
2026-09-20 | 97.39 | 26.99 | 27.00 | 27.01 | 96.69 | 99.45 | 1395.48 | 1401.44 | 1405.44 |
2026-09-27 | 195.21 | 103.80 | 103.83 | 103.87 | 192.85 | 198.30 | 1845.59 | 1851.89 | 1856.12 |
2026-10-04 | 74.56 | 1.81 | 1.81 | 1.82 | 74.32 | 80.47 | 1639.91 | 1645.91 | 1649.97 |