Prediction 4417
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
2025-26 Dengue Forecast for Roraima
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 19.93 | 4.83 | 4.83 | 4.84 | 15.44 | 33.22 | 45.63 | 46.53 | 47.85 |
2025-10-12 | 13.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.68 | 69.16 | 94.40 | 98.79 | 99.64 |
2025-10-19 | 6.01 | 0.67 | 0.70 | 0.76 | 1.17 | 70.89 | 97.02 | 101.43 | 102.34 |
2025-10-26 | 6.20 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.59 | 70.73 | 96.65 | 100.95 | 101.90 |
2025-11-02 | 6.69 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 72.64 | 99.48 | 103.53 | 104.80 |
2025-11-09 | 7.18 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 71.05 | 97.11 | 101.13 | 102.33 |
2025-11-16 | 8.67 | 1.16 | 1.19 | 1.23 | 1.38 | 75.33 | 103.50 | 107.16 | 108.82 |
2025-11-23 | 10.07 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 76.19 | 104.80 | 108.36 | 110.13 |
2025-11-30 | 11.88 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 74.45 | 102.21 | 105.75 | 107.35 |
2025-12-07 | 14.25 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 72.22 | 98.90 | 102.41 | 103.83 |
2025-12-14 | 22.06 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.87 | 0.93 | 73.55 | 100.88 | 104.23 | 105.78 |
2025-12-21 | 29.65 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 74.47 | 102.25 | 105.51 | 107.17 |
2025-12-28 | 52.20 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.43 | 85.54 | 102.28 | 106.08 | 106.78 |
2026-01-04 | 58.33 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 0.46 | 104.03 | 178.36 | 198.36 | 210.21 |
2026-01-11 | 57.47 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 102.21 | 279.30 | 297.39 | 307.70 |
2026-01-18 | 57.48 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 102.06 | 355.05 | 365.02 | 369.87 |
2026-01-25 | 56.12 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 99.27 | 361.36 | 362.28 | 362.62 |
2026-02-01 | 56.05 | 0.57 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.61 | 98.92 | 330.43 | 338.32 | 342.72 |
2026-02-08 | 56.83 | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.46 | 100.28 | 260.06 | 275.23 | 285.49 |
2026-02-15 | 56.75 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.18 | 100.05 | 172.21 | 187.93 | 199.19 |
2026-02-22 | 57.26 | 0.53 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.58 | 95.73 | 104.90 | 110.96 | 120.00 |
2026-03-01 | 46.45 | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.49 | 1.62 | 80.36 | 106.67 | 109.81 | 111.87 |
2026-03-08 | 25.37 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 79.05 | 108.15 | 111.22 | 113.28 |
2026-03-15 | 14.63 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 77.74 | 106.13 | 109.16 | 111.12 |
2026-03-22 | 8.84 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1.42 | 81.52 | 111.55 | 114.46 | 116.84 |
2026-03-29 | 8.56 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1.04 | 84.61 | 115.87 | 118.79 | 121.49 |
2026-04-05 | 7.95 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 83.04 | 113.59 | 116.46 | 118.97 |
2026-04-12 | 8.72 | 0.93 | 0.94 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 82.59 | 112.75 | 115.59 | 118.08 |
2026-04-19 | 8.08 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 81.60 | 111.25 | 114.06 | 116.43 |
2026-04-26 | 7.78 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 73.12 | 98.90 | 101.63 | 103.19 |
2026-05-03 | 8.56 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 71.32 | 96.13 | 98.82 | 100.37 |
2026-05-10 | 7.29 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 67.33 | 90.18 | 92.97 | 94.40 |
2026-05-17 | 7.07 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 62.05 | 82.87 | 85.18 | 86.33 |
2026-05-24 | 7.42 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 57.94 | 76.86 | 79.10 | 80.00 |
2026-05-31 | 6.50 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 53.43 | 70.11 | 72.14 | 73.19 |
2026-06-07 | 6.63 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 48.40 | 62.60 | 64.93 | 65.81 |
2026-06-14 | 6.33 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 42.84 | 56.53 | 58.86 | 59.82 |
2026-06-21 | 6.30 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 37.96 | 49.90 | 52.60 | 53.44 |
2026-06-28 | 6.67 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 35.93 | 46.70 | 49.59 | 50.30 |
2026-07-05 | 5.99 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 32.71 | 41.68 | 44.79 | 45.48 |
2026-07-12 | 6.57 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 31.27 | 39.40 | 42.58 | 43.31 |
2026-07-19 | 5.05 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 28.13 | 34.88 | 38.08 | 38.72 |
2026-07-26 | 5.55 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 25.03 | 30.39 | 33.64 | 34.18 |
2026-08-02 | 7.03 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 24.90 | 30.15 | 33.35 | 33.88 |
2026-08-09 | 13.85 | 0.68 | 0.69 | 0.71 | 0.75 | 27.07 | 33.30 | 36.35 | 36.89 |
2026-08-16 | 15.03 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 26.13 | 31.89 | 34.97 | 35.47 |
2026-08-23 | 23.88 | 1.48 | 1.51 | 1.55 | 1.64 | 29.96 | 37.30 | 40.33 | 40.89 |
2026-08-30 | 23.59 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 29.75 | 37.01 | 39.99 | 40.53 |
2026-09-06 | 27.73 | 1.52 | 1.54 | 1.58 | 1.66 | 32.72 | 41.01 | 43.74 | 44.33 |
2026-09-13 | 31.18 | 1.27 | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.36 | 35.90 | 46.08 | 48.43 | 49.19 |
2026-09-20 | 32.48 | 1.25 | 1.27 | 1.29 | 1.32 | 38.06 | 49.35 | 51.39 | 52.27 |
2026-09-27 | 31.50 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.89 | 1.96 | 43.27 | 55.73 | 57.47 | 58.44 |
2026-10-04 | 26.88 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 0.95 | 45.84 | 58.31 | 59.95 | 60.87 |