Prediction 4419

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

2025-26 Dengue Forecast for São Paulo


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 28113.27 25394.60 25746.40 26212.89 26465.97 28665.13 28682.53 28802.37 28973.03
2025-10-12 64301.04 57783.27 58836.49 60129.51 60845.20 66300.20 66342.22 66461.24 66841.77
2025-10-19 70840.02 63787.85 64960.14 66351.61 67149.20 73037.55 73080.68 73206.29 73614.30
2025-10-26 78621.61 71079.81 72412.07 73874.92 74763.01 81102.32 81148.51 81253.69 81708.80
2025-11-02 78148.79 70764.04 72092.48 73523.42 74402.47 80636.19 80683.23 80782.35 81228.14
2025-11-09 70700.07 64012.47 65198.31 66489.92 67261.51 72872.86 72915.44 72992.26 73396.80
2025-11-16 89168.38 81229.34 82790.69 84318.82 85252.94 91973.45 92024.37 92067.82 92584.95
2025-11-23 89388.81 81543.76 83103.41 84608.33 85531.59 92176.79 92228.16 92267.04 92774.33
2025-11-30 90591.44 82856.27 84428.74 85904.75 86814.06 93382.22 93432.37 93462.93 93958.99
2025-12-07 104303.62 95778.63 97598.88 99225.27 100231.91 107503.05 107558.08 107585.81 108122.18
2025-12-14 104722.79 96317.73 98116.11 99701.89 100690.87 107873.59 107927.10 107953.17 108471.68
2025-12-21 106771.74 98493.71 100277.35 101793.04 102801.56 109926.78 109978.93 110005.57 110501.91
2025-12-28 111540.40 103116.05 104929.42 106455.38 107473.68 114729.81 114780.68 114805.59 115278.52
2026-01-04 114392.49 105995.33 107799.74 109341.36 110334.00 117637.23 117691.11 117712.69 118170.59
2026-01-11 115458.43 107228.35 108968.32 110491.53 111451.30 118658.83 118711.57 118731.84 119173.55
2026-01-18 136873.72 127649.11 129630.49 131339.23 132416.15 140646.80 140707.55 140729.41 141185.30
2026-01-25 139165.66 129906.69 131832.69 133527.84 134577.44 142837.03 142897.74 142926.20 143381.81
2026-02-01 136007.33 127144.88 128848.03 130456.09 131430.29 139305.36 139363.60 139424.75 139854.70
2026-02-08 151221.07 141836.56 143538.90 145245.93 146252.29 154716.20 154779.72 154874.45 155318.15
2026-02-15 165464.97 155502.70 157166.72 158984.32 159994.98 169003.15 169075.64 169212.37 169683.17
2026-02-22 169633.16 159586.06 161120.61 162875.21 163794.04 172795.96 172869.99 173064.12 173554.44
2026-03-01 192673.31 181744.15 183310.11 185101.07 186126.07 195972.90 196059.11 196337.40 196896.57
2026-03-08 198872.93 187849.82 189247.40 190891.13 191887.70 201838.27 201927.36 202298.95 202912.86
2026-03-15 200031.02 189071.44 190115.84 191564.13 192518.58 202319.32 202405.50 202862.54 203583.54
2026-03-22 208441.20 197104.42 197701.93 199214.57 200147.80 210120.50 210205.45 210783.90 211636.22
2026-03-29 200486.84 189520.56 189895.96 191198.09 192019.54 201519.85 201604.42 202385.91 203217.25
2026-04-05 194850.22 184344.95 184478.57 185452.92 186209.86 195322.36 195613.11 196652.89 197221.48
2026-04-12 182913.90 173142.21 173527.71 174054.04 174698.50 183166.37 183849.13 184932.31 185565.22
2026-04-19 176855.61 167359.37 167995.18 168329.72 168888.91 176983.16 177884.92 178886.04 180020.31
2026-04-26 156270.00 147850.99 148496.54 148820.02 149246.57 156383.62 157488.81 158449.19 160294.62
2026-05-03 161546.05 152939.68 153625.08 153922.96 154571.65 161658.78 163486.95 164514.97 166612.94
2026-05-10 166070.65 157264.38 157961.98 158261.48 159021.83 166179.67 168151.82 169540.34 172166.04
2026-05-17 137846.27 130420.64 131013.84 131289.70 131967.75 137991.18 139763.76 141090.96 143769.54
2026-05-24 116154.85 109831.05 110332.97 110551.55 111155.36 116435.90 118048.59 119431.99 121923.14
2026-05-31 91411.64 86337.09 86706.79 86880.84 87375.06 91677.19 93095.08 94404.12 96601.79
2026-06-07 69253.11 65284.18 65542.05 65687.45 66062.11 69498.47 70710.20 71919.19 73832.23
2026-06-14 65870.91 62079.56 62313.44 62451.66 62822.85 66118.42 67328.18 68521.03 70424.50
2026-06-21 61266.64 57712.31 57915.28 58040.43 58410.92 61514.72 62717.28 63889.82 65770.19
2026-06-28 70052.83 66106.06 66322.77 66459.68 66878.29 70333.00 71699.50 73030.16 75149.76
2026-07-05 56549.34 53239.35 53408.64 53519.80 53880.15 56795.57 58002.27 59159.26 61029.52
2026-07-12 49861.81 46877.86 47025.93 47111.41 47447.37 50104.89 51251.75 52361.47 54124.43
2026-07-19 44151.58 41439.37 41565.88 41640.16 41953.51 44382.89 45465.22 46536.23 48168.05
2026-07-26 46898.90 44079.43 44200.50 44274.55 44610.67 47147.88 48310.21 49463.07 51192.32
2026-08-02 50208.96 47241.88 47367.77 47446.02 47811.87 50474.17 51715.92 52945.93 54780.60
2026-08-09 59914.79 56514.27 56655.42 56747.04 57171.82 60219.54 61651.62 63052.11 65166.32
2026-08-16 48454.55 45570.15 45691.49 45765.92 46140.06 48727.22 49994.21 51270.96 53097.35
2026-08-23 63680.43 60120.11 60264.20 60359.31 60833.14 64020.63 65609.04 67182.00 69463.88
2026-08-30 46800.81 43996.90 44113.23 44183.81 44557.57 47084.57 48392.53 49735.15 51566.54
2026-09-06 60697.22 57281.82 57417.23 57507.14 57971.96 61052.04 62693.30 64357.47 66633.95
2026-09-13 73262.72 69291.61 69449.05 69559.47 70115.96 73684.42 75637.26 77606.72 80293.06
2026-09-20 70816.72 66961.90 67127.46 67219.81 67790.28 71246.65 73226.77 75250.48 77921.74
2026-09-27 82520.51 78160.48 78339.12 78444.84 79144.33 83037.74 85412.91 87855.39 90989.69
2026-10-04 74979.06 70961.95 71128.24 71220.00 71878.68 75480.47 77769.03 80158.50 83118.51
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