Prediction 4420

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

2025-26 Dengue Forecast for Sergipe


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 42.44 30.86 30.86 30.87 30.97 68.14 132.48 132.94 133.35
2025-10-12 33.31 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 88.22 132.56 133.06 133.61
2025-10-19 38.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.15 108.04 124.49 126.24 137.39
2025-10-26 39.34 0.60 0.62 0.65 1.11 108.97 125.79 127.52 138.09
2025-11-02 39.27 0.73 0.74 0.76 1.10 108.32 124.14 125.85 137.01
2025-11-09 38.52 0.61 0.62 0.65 1.01 105.58 116.98 118.66 133.14
2025-11-16 38.61 0.77 0.79 0.83 1.37 104.89 117.24 118.84 132.15
2025-11-23 39.12 0.91 0.94 0.98 1.65 106.08 122.12 123.80 133.64
2025-11-30 38.84 0.94 0.97 1.01 1.71 104.89 119.40 121.06 132.02
2025-12-07 38.55 1.25 1.28 1.34 2.25 102.62 114.40 115.98 128.88
2025-12-14 40.23 1.79 1.84 1.92 3.20 106.51 127.60 129.27 133.94
2025-12-21 40.61 2.04 2.08 2.17 3.59 106.94 130.29 131.93 134.42
2025-12-28 42.17 2.77 2.83 2.95 4.82 109.77 140.07 141.45 142.38
2026-01-04 44.16 3.65 3.73 3.88 6.28 114.22 153.92 155.00 155.88
2026-01-11 44.92 4.16 4.25 4.42 7.03 115.41 158.46 159.48 160.37
2026-01-18 46.65 5.79 5.91 6.14 9.62 115.64 161.62 162.61 163.51
2026-01-25 50.90 8.19 8.35 8.67 13.38 123.13 185.79 186.63 187.57
2026-02-01 52.96 9.97 10.16 10.54 15.84 125.31 194.51 195.34 196.40
2026-02-08 56.22 13.27 13.52 13.99 20.54 127.01 202.13 202.96 203.97
2026-02-15 62.51 18.86 19.19 19.83 28.44 132.85 223.45 224.42 225.33
2026-02-22 67.10 24.10 24.44 25.18 34.82 136.66 238.04 239.11 239.92
2026-03-01 72.64 31.87 32.21 33.11 44.07 138.64 246.27 247.35 248.14
2026-03-08 85.98 45.21 45.58 46.71 59.97 146.29 270.38 271.43 272.28
2026-03-15 134.62 56.39 56.87 57.86 95.03 188.09 286.33 287.48 288.22
2026-03-22 237.15 70.85 71.97 76.30 117.04 289.33 358.91 362.42 364.79
2026-03-29 291.76 109.46 111.61 123.34 157.08 462.14 578.56 582.50 585.06
2026-04-05 367.83 111.40 113.70 125.57 160.00 682.32 795.20 799.12 801.62
2026-04-12 492.64 112.56 114.95 126.86 161.62 899.38 998.69 1002.24 1004.51
2026-04-19 631.00 115.30 117.89 130.05 165.85 1109.28 1186.37 1189.26 1191.13
2026-04-26 729.71 114.85 117.43 129.47 164.94 1227.13 1274.49 1276.28 1277.43
2026-05-03 794.26 114.21 116.75 128.61 163.56 1275.79 1298.00 1298.80 1299.30
2026-05-10 782.36 111.35 113.71 125.14 158.62 1241.47 1269.37 1282.60 1292.17
2026-05-17 738.36 110.66 112.98 124.19 157.15 1167.37 1247.35 1262.41 1271.46
2026-05-24 636.57 105.61 107.57 118.08 148.64 1002.09 1100.26 1120.00 1130.24
2026-05-31 527.53 100.26 101.84 111.59 139.60 815.67 910.34 930.49 941.77
2026-06-07 430.22 95.85 97.11 106.22 132.21 642.34 721.89 740.13 748.98
2026-06-14 350.70 92.80 93.85 102.48 127.06 495.13 556.35 570.47 577.23
2026-06-21 273.35 88.46 89.51 97.30 119.83 358.74 401.60 412.09 417.34
2026-06-28 209.86 83.98 84.98 91.90 112.31 244.73 272.51 279.49 284.23
2026-07-05 135.12 76.70 77.70 83.31 100.25 137.66 154.88 158.41 162.94
2026-07-12 74.71 57.01 57.75 58.90 61.44 91.21 107.05 108.08 111.77
2026-07-19 59.50 25.81 26.46 27.47 29.74 90.85 106.44 107.46 111.33
2026-07-26 39.42 1.75 1.92 2.20 2.81 87.19 94.68 96.15 106.18
2026-08-02 32.12 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 78.56 81.40 85.84 99.58
2026-08-09 26.02 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 64.52 73.91 76.42 88.94
2026-08-16 16.73 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 60.16 68.06 70.53 80.42
2026-08-23 19.49 0.78 0.79 0.81 1.09 61.22 69.23 71.48 82.11
2026-08-30 18.95 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 61.31 69.27 71.52 82.25
2026-09-06 15.83 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 59.74 67.12 69.58 79.26
2026-09-13 7.71 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 55.80 61.70 64.74 71.93
2026-09-20 2.54 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.29 53.60 58.20 61.43 67.36
2026-09-27 2.09 0.85 0.86 0.88 1.26 53.12 57.52 60.36 66.20
2026-10-04 0.92 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.66 52.39 56.36 59.18 64.55
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