Prediction 4429
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Validation 1 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 113.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 42.0 | 245.0 | 426.0 | 565.0 | 705.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 116.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 40.0 | 258.0 | 456.0 | 610.0 | 765.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 114.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 39.0 | 256.0 | 455.0 | 610.0 | 767.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 118.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 40.0 | 266.0 | 473.0 | 635.0 | 798.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 131.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 46.0 | 293.0 | 518.0 | 692.0 | 869.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 132.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 47.0 | 291.0 | 511.0 | 681.0 | 854.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 150.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 51.0 | 339.0 | 605.0 | 811.0 | 1020.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 179.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 60.0 | 412.0 | 740.0 | 997.0 | 1258.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 205.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 64.0 | 491.0 | 904.0 | 1229.0 | 1562.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 225.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 72.0 | 526.0 | 956.0 | 1294.0 | 1638.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 209.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 66.0 | 497.0 | 911.0 | 1238.0 | 1571.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 218.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 62.0 | 549.0 | 1039.0 | 1431.0 | 1833.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 201.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 34.0 | 685.0 | 1519.0 | 2226.0 | 2973.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 257.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 54.0 | 778.0 | 1621.0 | 2320.0 | 3050.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 245.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 41.0 | 841.0 | 1868.0 | 2740.0 | 3661.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 248.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 39.0 | 873.0 | 1967.0 | 2900.0 | 3888.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 243.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 37.0 | 867.0 | 1965.0 | 2905.0 | 3901.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 251.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 36.0 | 938.0 | 2171.0 | 3234.0 | 4365.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 279.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 40.0 | 1037.0 | 2398.0 | 3571.0 | 4818.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 289.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 40.0 | 1092.0 | 2544.0 | 3799.0 | 5136.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 324.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 47.0 | 1194.0 | 2747.0 | 4084.0 | 5505.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 349.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 53.0 | 1260.0 | 2873.0 | 4255.0 | 5722.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 370.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 57.0 | 1324.0 | 3004.0 | 4442.0 | 5966.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 359.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 58.0 | 1254.0 | 2812.0 | 4140.0 | 5544.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 412.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 77.0 | 1325.0 | 2852.0 | 4131.0 | 5475.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 388.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 62.0 | 1361.0 | 3059.0 | 4507.0 | 6040.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 381.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 65.0 | 1290.0 | 2849.0 | 4170.0 | 5563.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 375.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 64.0 | 1270.0 | 2803.0 | 4101.0 | 5471.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 370.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 63.0 | 1255.0 | 2771.0 | 4054.0 | 5409.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 366.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 61.0 | 1253.0 | 2781.0 | 4079.0 | 5449.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 366.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 59.0 | 1270.0 | 2840.0 | 4176.0 | 5588.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 325.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 52.0 | 1137.0 | 2551.0 | 3755.0 | 5029.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 287.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 47.0 | 991.0 | 2210.0 | 3245.0 | 4339.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 280.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 46.0 | 970.0 | 2164.0 | 3179.0 | 4252.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 259.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 43.0 | 893.0 | 1990.0 | 2922.0 | 3908.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 251.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 52.0 | 763.0 | 1596.0 | 2287.0 | 3010.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 203.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 37.0 | 660.0 | 1428.0 | 2073.0 | 2751.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 295.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 87.0 | 728.0 | 1361.0 | 1864.0 | 2379.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 260.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 74.0 | 653.0 | 1236.0 | 1701.0 | 2178.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 221.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 70.0 | 525.0 | 963.0 | 1307.0 | 1659.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 198.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 66.0 | 455.0 | 819.0 | 1103.0 | 1391.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 185.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 64.0 | 415.0 | 736.0 | 986.0 | 1239.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 178.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 63.0 | 396.0 | 699.0 | 934.0 | 1171.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 161.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 58.0 | 351.0 | 615.0 | 818.0 | 1024.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 148.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 58.0 | 307.0 | 521.0 | 684.0 | 847.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 131.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 49.0 | 279.0 | 480.0 | 634.0 | 790.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 121.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 48.0 | 248.0 | 420.0 | 551.0 | 682.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 110.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 41.0 | 234.0 | 404.0 | 534.0 | 665.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 132.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 49.0 | 281.0 | 484.0 | 640.0 | 798.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 118.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 45.0 | 247.0 | 422.0 | 556.0 | 690.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 109.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 41.0 | 232.0 | 401.0 | 530.0 | 661.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 115.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 40.0 | 255.0 | 451.0 | 602.0 | 756.0 |
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