Prediction 4447
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation 1 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 225.0 | 50.0 | 66.0 | 90.0 | 144.0 | 333.0 | 454.0 | 539.0 | 619.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 239.0 | 62.0 | 80.0 | 105.0 | 159.0 | 342.0 | 456.0 | 535.0 | 610.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 245.0 | 61.0 | 79.0 | 105.0 | 162.0 | 354.0 | 475.0 | 559.0 | 638.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 276.0 | 59.0 | 80.0 | 109.0 | 175.0 | 411.0 | 563.0 | 669.0 | 771.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 314.0 | 53.0 | 76.0 | 109.0 | 188.0 | 487.0 | 689.0 | 831.0 | 968.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 347.0 | 58.0 | 83.0 | 120.0 | 207.0 | 541.0 | 765.0 | 924.0 | 1077.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 406.0 | 56.0 | 83.0 | 126.0 | 230.0 | 656.0 | 952.0 | 1164.0 | 1369.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 479.0 | 60.0 | 91.0 | 141.0 | 265.0 | 786.0 | 1153.0 | 1416.0 | 1673.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 570.0 | 55.0 | 88.0 | 145.0 | 296.0 | 981.0 | 1482.0 | 1848.0 | 2205.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 639.0 | 52.0 | 87.0 | 148.0 | 319.0 | 1130.0 | 1740.0 | 2186.0 | 2626.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 667.0 | 52.0 | 89.0 | 152.0 | 331.0 | 1186.0 | 1832.0 | 2306.0 | 2773.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 700.0 | 39.0 | 71.0 | 133.0 | 320.0 | 1313.0 | 2097.0 | 2681.0 | 3260.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 1289.0 | 49.0 | 99.0 | 201.0 | 541.0 | 2560.0 | 4235.0 | 5499.0 | 6762.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 1743.0 | 58.0 | 120.0 | 252.0 | 709.0 | 3532.0 | 5912.0 | 7719.0 | 9528.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 2297.0 | 49.0 | 114.0 | 265.0 | 848.0 | 4947.0 | 8584.0 | 11385.0 | 14210.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 2898.0 | 46.0 | 114.0 | 286.0 | 1001.0 | 6508.0 | 11566.0 | 15499.0 | 19485.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 3741.0 | 73.0 | 172.0 | 409.0 | 1350.0 | 8175.0 | 14303.0 | 19037.0 | 23823.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 4454.0 | 81.0 | 194.0 | 470.0 | 1584.0 | 9824.0 | 17281.0 | 23054.0 | 28895.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 5276.0 | 107.0 | 251.0 | 591.0 | 1924.0 | 11457.0 | 19973.0 | 26542.0 | 33177.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 5886.0 | 119.0 | 278.0 | 657.0 | 2142.0 | 12799.0 | 22328.0 | 29681.0 | 37109.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 6828.0 | 118.0 | 287.0 | 704.0 | 2402.0 | 15158.0 | 26762.0 | 35759.0 | 44870.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 7490.0 | 126.0 | 307.0 | 758.0 | 2616.0 | 16706.0 | 29574.0 | 39561.0 | 49680.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 8414.0 | 155.0 | 371.0 | 895.0 | 3000.0 | 18526.0 | 32554.0 | 43411.0 | 54393.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 8485.0 | 188.0 | 430.0 | 993.0 | 3151.0 | 18218.0 | 31549.0 | 41806.0 | 52152.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 8714.0 | 215.0 | 479.0 | 1079.0 | 3313.0 | 18430.0 | 31641.0 | 41769.0 | 51967.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 9575.0 | 221.0 | 500.0 | 1144.0 | 3587.0 | 20442.0 | 35286.0 | 46692.0 | 58189.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 9454.0 | 219.0 | 496.0 | 1134.0 | 3547.0 | 20166.0 | 34791.0 | 46027.0 | 57350.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 9488.0 | 241.0 | 533.0 | 1193.0 | 3632.0 | 19982.0 | 34221.0 | 45127.0 | 56102.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 8706.0 | 176.0 | 411.0 | 971.0 | 3167.0 | 18933.0 | 33032.0 | 43913.0 | 54905.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 7696.0 | 157.0 | 366.0 | 863.0 | 2806.0 | 16709.0 | 29126.0 | 38705.0 | 48380.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 6254.0 | 115.0 | 275.0 | 664.0 | 2228.0 | 13780.0 | 24223.0 | 32306.0 | 40484.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 5000.0 | 95.0 | 226.0 | 542.0 | 1798.0 | 10955.0 | 19195.0 | 25564.0 | 32004.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 3507.0 | 68.0 | 160.0 | 383.0 | 1264.0 | 7668.0 | 13421.0 | 17865.0 | 22358.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 2613.0 | 57.0 | 132.0 | 305.0 | 970.0 | 5613.0 | 9722.0 | 12884.0 | 16074.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1922.0 | 39.0 | 92.0 | 216.0 | 702.0 | 4170.0 | 7265.0 | 9652.0 | 12063.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 1492.0 | 38.0 | 84.0 | 188.0 | 572.0 | 3142.0 | 5380.0 | 7094.0 | 8818.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 1149.0 | 30.0 | 66.0 | 147.0 | 444.0 | 2405.0 | 4105.0 | 5405.0 | 6713.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 797.0 | 23.0 | 49.0 | 107.0 | 314.0 | 1648.0 | 2791.0 | 3663.0 | 4538.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 531.0 | 21.0 | 42.0 | 84.0 | 225.0 | 1048.0 | 1726.0 | 2237.0 | 2748.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 454.0 | 28.0 | 51.0 | 92.0 | 213.0 | 837.0 | 1323.0 | 1682.0 | 2038.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 368.0 | 25.0 | 44.0 | 78.0 | 177.0 | 667.0 | 1044.0 | 1323.0 | 1597.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 311.0 | 23.0 | 40.0 | 69.0 | 152.0 | 555.0 | 861.0 | 1085.0 | 1306.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 275.0 | 30.0 | 47.0 | 75.0 | 147.0 | 464.0 | 692.0 | 857.0 | 1019.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 245.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 77.0 | 140.0 | 393.0 | 569.0 | 694.0 | 815.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 210.0 | 30.0 | 44.0 | 66.0 | 120.0 | 337.0 | 487.0 | 594.0 | 698.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 193.0 | 36.0 | 50.0 | 70.0 | 118.0 | 294.0 | 411.0 | 493.0 | 571.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 178.0 | 39.0 | 52.0 | 71.0 | 114.0 | 264.0 | 361.0 | 428.0 | 492.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 177.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 67.0 | 110.0 | 267.0 | 369.0 | 441.0 | 510.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 199.0 | 42.0 | 57.0 | 78.0 | 126.0 | 296.0 | 406.0 | 483.0 | 557.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 211.0 | 49.0 | 65.0 | 87.0 | 136.0 | 308.0 | 417.0 | 493.0 | 565.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 202.0 | 44.0 | 59.0 | 80.0 | 128.0 | 299.0 | 409.0 | 485.0 | 558.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 207.0 | 46.0 | 61.0 | 83.0 | 132.0 | 305.0 | 416.0 | 494.0 | 567.0 |
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