Prediction 4456
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Validation 2 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 218.0 | 436.0 | 614.0 | 797.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 24.0 | 233.0 | 451.0 | 626.0 | 806.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 88.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 232.0 | 450.0 | 625.0 | 806.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 27.0 | 242.0 | 460.0 | 633.0 | 811.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 111.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 34.0 | 268.0 | 497.0 | 678.0 | 863.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 110.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 33.0 | 267.0 | 495.0 | 675.0 | 860.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 127.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 38.0 | 311.0 | 580.0 | 793.0 | 1011.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 156.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 47.0 | 379.0 | 704.0 | 960.0 | 1223.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 176.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 49.0 | 450.0 | 860.0 | 1188.0 | 1525.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 190.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 54.0 | 482.0 | 914.0 | 1259.0 | 1613.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 193.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 59.0 | 463.0 | 855.0 | 1164.0 | 1479.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 228.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 70.0 | 548.0 | 1012.0 | 1378.0 | 1752.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 236.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 43.0 | 768.0 | 1662.0 | 2413.0 | 3203.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 298.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 66.0 | 869.0 | 1781.0 | 2530.0 | 3311.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 297.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 52.0 | 993.0 | 2176.0 | 3174.0 | 4227.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 301.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 50.0 | 1028.0 | 2280.0 | 3342.0 | 4464.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 306.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 47.0 | 1092.0 | 2477.0 | 3661.0 | 4917.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 327.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 1250.0 | 2926.0 | 4379.0 | 5928.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 359.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 50.0 | 1357.0 | 3162.0 | 4722.0 | 6383.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 378.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 50.0 | 1463.0 | 3450.0 | 5176.0 | 7017.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 426.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 58.0 | 1629.0 | 3818.0 | 5716.0 | 7739.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 459.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 64.0 | 1733.0 | 4034.0 | 6025.0 | 8143.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 488.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 69.0 | 1834.0 | 4261.0 | 6358.0 | 8589.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 477.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 68.0 | 1777.0 | 4114.0 | 6129.0 | 8271.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 547.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 91.0 | 1878.0 | 4174.0 | 6124.0 | 8183.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 502.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 76.0 | 1822.0 | 4161.0 | 6167.0 | 8297.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 493.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 78.0 | 1746.0 | 3939.0 | 5812.0 | 7795.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 481.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 78.0 | 1676.0 | 3755.0 | 5526.0 | 7398.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 468.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 78.0 | 1610.0 | 3580.0 | 5254.0 | 7022.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 465.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 75.0 | 1625.0 | 3642.0 | 5361.0 | 7179.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 460.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 74.0 | 1603.0 | 3590.0 | 5283.0 | 7074.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 410.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 66.0 | 1436.0 | 3225.0 | 4751.0 | 6365.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 359.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 59.0 | 1236.0 | 2754.0 | 4043.0 | 5405.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 352.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 57.0 | 1218.0 | 2720.0 | 3998.0 | 5349.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 323.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 53.0 | 1114.0 | 2481.0 | 3643.0 | 4870.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 317.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 62.0 | 992.0 | 2107.0 | 3037.0 | 4012.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 259.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 45.0 | 869.0 | 1911.0 | 2792.0 | 3721.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 190.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 34.0 | 630.0 | 1374.0 | 2001.0 | 2661.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 169.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 29.0 | 565.0 | 1242.0 | 1813.0 | 2416.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 146.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 28.0 | 458.0 | 976.0 | 1407.0 | 1860.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 132.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 400.0 | 834.0 | 1194.0 | 1571.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 366.0 | 753.0 | 1073.0 | 1406.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 350.0 | 717.0 | 1018.0 | 1332.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 311.0 | 631.0 | 894.0 | 1166.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 275.0 | 542.0 | 758.0 | 982.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 90.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 249.0 | 495.0 | 695.0 | 903.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 21.0 | 223.0 | 436.0 | 608.0 | 785.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 209.0 | 415.0 | 582.0 | 755.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 90.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 250.0 | 499.0 | 701.0 | 910.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 20.0 | 221.0 | 436.0 | 610.0 | 789.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 208.0 | 412.0 | 577.0 | 749.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 226.0 | 459.0 | 649.0 | 847.0 |
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