Prediction 4457
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation 2 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 447.0 | 198.0 | 229.0 | 269.0 | 346.0 | 567.0 | 691.0 | 773.0 | 849.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 489.0 | 223.0 | 256.0 | 299.0 | 381.0 | 615.0 | 746.0 | 832.0 | 911.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 479.0 | 238.0 | 269.0 | 309.0 | 383.0 | 589.0 | 702.0 | 775.0 | 843.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 479.0 | 204.0 | 238.0 | 281.0 | 366.0 | 612.0 | 751.0 | 844.0 | 929.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 565.0 | 256.0 | 295.0 | 344.0 | 440.0 | 712.0 | 863.0 | 963.0 | 1056.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 621.0 | 242.0 | 287.0 | 346.0 | 462.0 | 811.0 | 1013.0 | 1147.0 | 1273.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 707.0 | 248.0 | 301.0 | 371.0 | 512.0 | 948.0 | 1205.0 | 1378.0 | 1540.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 765.0 | 222.0 | 280.0 | 360.0 | 526.0 | 1069.0 | 1402.0 | 1629.0 | 1844.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 886.0 | 243.0 | 310.0 | 402.0 | 599.0 | 1253.0 | 1658.0 | 1935.0 | 2199.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 885.0 | 261.0 | 328.0 | 419.0 | 610.0 | 1233.0 | 1613.0 | 1872.0 | 2118.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 714.0 | 206.0 | 260.0 | 334.0 | 490.0 | 999.0 | 1312.0 | 1525.0 | 1727.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 683.0 | 145.0 | 195.0 | 268.0 | 432.0 | 1018.0 | 1399.0 | 1664.0 | 1919.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 1678.0 | 263.0 | 379.0 | 557.0 | 981.0 | 2651.0 | 3789.0 | 4598.0 | 5380.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1967.0 | 305.0 | 440.0 | 648.0 | 1147.0 | 3113.0 | 4457.0 | 5412.0 | 6336.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 2271.0 | 351.0 | 508.0 | 748.0 | 1324.0 | 3596.0 | 5149.0 | 6253.0 | 7320.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 2496.0 | 404.0 | 578.0 | 843.0 | 1471.0 | 3921.0 | 5583.0 | 6762.0 | 7901.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 2892.0 | 466.0 | 667.0 | 974.0 | 1702.0 | 4546.0 | 6478.0 | 7848.0 | 9172.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 2915.0 | 541.0 | 751.0 | 1062.0 | 1779.0 | 4461.0 | 6241.0 | 7493.0 | 8697.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 2990.0 | 468.0 | 674.0 | 991.0 | 1748.0 | 4727.0 | 6760.0 | 8204.0 | 9600.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 3048.0 | 425.0 | 628.0 | 948.0 | 1731.0 | 4920.0 | 7136.0 | 8720.0 | 10257.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 3282.0 | 423.0 | 637.0 | 978.0 | 1829.0 | 5372.0 | 7863.0 | 9651.0 | 11389.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 3369.0 | 473.0 | 698.0 | 1052.0 | 1917.0 | 5431.0 | 7870.0 | 9613.0 | 11304.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 3521.0 | 532.0 | 772.0 | 1144.0 | 2040.0 | 5602.0 | 8046.0 | 9786.0 | 11470.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 3516.0 | 579.0 | 825.0 | 1199.0 | 2082.0 | 5505.0 | 7823.0 | 9465.0 | 11049.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 3392.0 | 549.0 | 785.0 | 1145.0 | 1999.0 | 5327.0 | 7586.0 | 9188.0 | 10734.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 3563.0 | 563.0 | 810.0 | 1187.0 | 2088.0 | 5622.0 | 8029.0 | 9739.0 | 11391.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 3427.0 | 660.0 | 908.0 | 1275.0 | 2112.0 | 5209.0 | 7252.0 | 8687.0 | 10065.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 3320.0 | 634.0 | 873.0 | 1228.0 | 2041.0 | 5056.0 | 7048.0 | 8448.0 | 9792.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 3334.0 | 595.0 | 833.0 | 1188.0 | 2015.0 | 5143.0 | 7233.0 | 8707.0 | 10126.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 3341.0 | 638.0 | 880.0 | 1237.0 | 2054.0 | 5086.0 | 7089.0 | 8496.0 | 9848.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 3052.0 | 578.0 | 798.0 | 1124.0 | 1872.0 | 4653.0 | 6494.0 | 7787.0 | 9030.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 2664.0 | 507.0 | 699.0 | 984.0 | 1636.0 | 4058.0 | 5660.0 | 6785.0 | 7866.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 2179.0 | 412.0 | 569.0 | 802.0 | 1336.0 | 3323.0 | 4638.0 | 5563.0 | 6451.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1859.0 | 335.0 | 468.0 | 666.0 | 1126.0 | 2860.0 | 4017.0 | 4832.0 | 5616.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1635.0 | 308.0 | 426.0 | 601.0 | 1002.0 | 2496.0 | 3484.0 | 4179.0 | 4847.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1380.0 | 284.0 | 385.0 | 533.0 | 865.0 | 2069.0 | 2855.0 | 3404.0 | 3930.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1138.0 | 269.0 | 354.0 | 475.0 | 740.0 | 1660.0 | 2245.0 | 2651.0 | 3038.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 886.0 | 185.0 | 250.0 | 345.0 | 558.0 | 1326.0 | 1826.0 | 2175.0 | 2510.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 736.0 | 195.0 | 250.0 | 328.0 | 493.0 | 1049.0 | 1395.0 | 1633.0 | 1859.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 620.0 | 172.0 | 219.0 | 284.0 | 421.0 | 874.0 | 1153.0 | 1345.0 | 1527.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 541.0 | 153.0 | 193.0 | 250.0 | 369.0 | 760.0 | 1001.0 | 1166.0 | 1322.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 458.0 | 149.0 | 183.0 | 230.0 | 324.0 | 625.0 | 804.0 | 926.0 | 1041.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 452.0 | 168.0 | 201.0 | 245.0 | 332.0 | 597.0 | 752.0 | 855.0 | 952.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 417.0 | 161.0 | 192.0 | 232.0 | 310.0 | 547.0 | 683.0 | 774.0 | 859.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 422.0 | 169.0 | 199.0 | 239.0 | 317.0 | 548.0 | 680.0 | 768.0 | 850.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 383.0 | 159.0 | 187.0 | 222.0 | 291.0 | 492.0 | 607.0 | 683.0 | 754.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 356.0 | 126.0 | 153.0 | 188.0 | 259.0 | 476.0 | 604.0 | 690.0 | 770.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 355.0 | 122.0 | 148.0 | 183.0 | 255.0 | 477.0 | 609.0 | 697.0 | 781.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 386.0 | 155.0 | 183.0 | 219.0 | 290.0 | 500.0 | 621.0 | 701.0 | 776.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 399.0 | 157.0 | 186.0 | 223.0 | 298.0 | 521.0 | 649.0 | 734.0 | 814.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 413.0 | 165.0 | 195.0 | 234.0 | 310.0 | 536.0 | 666.0 | 752.0 | 832.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 449.0 | 192.0 | 223.0 | 264.0 | 344.0 | 575.0 | 705.0 | 792.0 | 872.0 |
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