Prediction 4459
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation 2 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 171.0 | 57.0 | 70.0 | 87.0 | 122.0 | 231.0 | 296.0 | 340.0 | 381.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 206.0 | 83.0 | 98.0 | 117.0 | 155.0 | 266.0 | 330.0 | 372.0 | 412.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 210.0 | 80.0 | 95.0 | 115.0 | 155.0 | 276.0 | 346.0 | 392.0 | 436.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 222.0 | 96.0 | 112.0 | 132.0 | 171.0 | 282.0 | 345.0 | 386.0 | 425.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 256.0 | 98.0 | 117.0 | 141.0 | 190.0 | 337.0 | 421.0 | 478.0 | 531.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 272.0 | 77.0 | 98.0 | 126.0 | 186.0 | 383.0 | 503.0 | 586.0 | 664.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 359.0 | 100.0 | 127.0 | 165.0 | 244.0 | 506.0 | 668.0 | 779.0 | 884.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 396.0 | 78.0 | 107.0 | 149.0 | 245.0 | 598.0 | 830.0 | 992.0 | 1148.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 493.0 | 76.0 | 110.0 | 162.0 | 288.0 | 780.0 | 1117.0 | 1356.0 | 1587.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 551.0 | 62.0 | 97.0 | 153.0 | 298.0 | 921.0 | 1367.0 | 1689.0 | 2003.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 568.0 | 38.0 | 66.0 | 119.0 | 271.0 | 1035.0 | 1625.0 | 2060.0 | 2491.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 625.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 62.0 | 216.0 | 1402.0 | 2490.0 | 3335.0 | 4192.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 1341.0 | 45.0 | 94.0 | 196.0 | 548.0 | 2709.0 | 4527.0 | 5905.0 | 7285.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1777.0 | 62.0 | 128.0 | 265.0 | 732.0 | 3570.0 | 5947.0 | 7746.0 | 9547.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 2116.0 | 76.0 | 154.0 | 319.0 | 875.0 | 4241.0 | 7054.0 | 9182.0 | 11311.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 2446.0 | 75.0 | 159.0 | 339.0 | 977.0 | 5016.0 | 8455.0 | 11072.0 | 13698.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 2908.0 | 71.0 | 159.0 | 360.0 | 1106.0 | 6153.0 | 10563.0 | 13945.0 | 17350.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 3271.0 | 63.0 | 149.0 | 357.0 | 1179.0 | 7153.0 | 12520.0 | 16668.0 | 20860.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 3896.0 | 51.0 | 133.0 | 348.0 | 1291.0 | 8975.0 | 16182.0 | 21818.0 | 27548.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 4406.0 | 44.0 | 123.0 | 342.0 | 1377.0 | 10517.0 | 19343.0 | 26298.0 | 33398.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 5034.0 | 59.0 | 158.0 | 424.0 | 1628.0 | 11769.0 | 21397.0 | 28951.0 | 36643.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 5621.0 | 84.0 | 212.0 | 538.0 | 1917.0 | 12725.0 | 22716.0 | 30497.0 | 38394.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 6376.0 | 95.0 | 239.0 | 606.0 | 2169.0 | 14456.0 | 25829.0 | 34690.0 | 43684.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 6665.0 | 101.0 | 252.0 | 639.0 | 2275.0 | 15079.0 | 26910.0 | 36123.0 | 45472.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 6858.0 | 104.0 | 261.0 | 659.0 | 2343.0 | 15507.0 | 27665.0 | 37131.0 | 46736.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 7705.0 | 121.0 | 301.0 | 755.0 | 2654.0 | 17332.0 | 30830.0 | 41328.0 | 51974.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 7846.0 | 137.0 | 332.0 | 811.0 | 2764.0 | 17407.0 | 30720.0 | 41041.0 | 51490.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 7469.0 | 158.0 | 366.0 | 854.0 | 2746.0 | 16133.0 | 28037.0 | 37209.0 | 46467.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 7064.0 | 141.0 | 331.0 | 784.0 | 2564.0 | 15383.0 | 26859.0 | 35717.0 | 44667.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 6366.0 | 138.0 | 318.0 | 738.0 | 2355.0 | 13699.0 | 23757.0 | 31499.0 | 39310.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 5462.0 | 113.0 | 263.0 | 617.0 | 1998.0 | 11836.0 | 20608.0 | 27373.0 | 34203.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 4406.0 | 89.0 | 207.0 | 491.0 | 1602.0 | 9583.0 | 16722.0 | 22232.0 | 27797.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 3269.0 | 61.0 | 146.0 | 352.0 | 1172.0 | 7177.0 | 12588.0 | 16774.0 | 21006.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 2499.0 | 56.0 | 128.0 | 294.0 | 931.0 | 5354.0 | 9260.0 | 12265.0 | 15294.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1906.0 | 56.0 | 120.0 | 259.0 | 754.0 | 3929.0 | 6646.0 | 8716.0 | 10794.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1417.0 | 55.0 | 109.0 | 222.0 | 596.0 | 2809.0 | 4642.0 | 6024.0 | 7406.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1007.0 | 50.0 | 94.0 | 180.0 | 449.0 | 1924.0 | 3107.0 | 3992.0 | 4871.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 668.0 | 45.0 | 79.0 | 141.0 | 320.0 | 1217.0 | 1907.0 | 2417.0 | 2921.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 509.0 | 40.0 | 68.0 | 117.0 | 253.0 | 903.0 | 1392.0 | 1750.0 | 2103.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 388.0 | 55.0 | 81.0 | 122.0 | 222.0 | 625.0 | 903.0 | 1102.0 | 1295.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 298.0 | 54.0 | 75.0 | 107.0 | 181.0 | 458.0 | 642.0 | 772.0 | 897.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 245.0 | 51.0 | 69.0 | 96.0 | 155.0 | 366.0 | 503.0 | 599.0 | 690.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 211.0 | 53.0 | 69.0 | 91.0 | 140.0 | 304.0 | 407.0 | 478.0 | 545.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 186.0 | 57.0 | 71.0 | 90.0 | 130.0 | 257.0 | 335.0 | 387.0 | 437.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 177.0 | 59.0 | 72.0 | 90.0 | 126.0 | 239.0 | 306.0 | 351.0 | 393.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 166.0 | 64.0 | 76.0 | 92.0 | 123.0 | 218.0 | 272.0 | 309.0 | 342.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 147.0 | 56.0 | 67.0 | 81.0 | 109.0 | 193.0 | 242.0 | 275.0 | 305.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 158.0 | 61.0 | 73.0 | 88.0 | 118.0 | 207.0 | 258.0 | 293.0 | 325.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 178.0 | 66.0 | 79.0 | 96.0 | 131.0 | 235.0 | 295.0 | 336.0 | 373.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 172.0 | 69.0 | 82.0 | 98.0 | 130.0 | 223.0 | 276.0 | 311.0 | 344.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 173.0 | 82.0 | 94.0 | 108.0 | 137.0 | 215.0 | 259.0 | 287.0 | 313.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 172.0 | 67.0 | 80.0 | 96.0 | 128.0 | 224.0 | 279.0 | 315.0 | 350.0 |
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