Prediction 4460
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation 2 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 53.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 29.0 | 88.0 | 129.0 | 159.0 | 187.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 63.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 104.0 | 154.0 | 189.0 | 224.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 67.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 123.0 | 193.0 | 244.0 | 296.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 81.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 39.0 | 145.0 | 226.0 | 286.0 | 344.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 109.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 53.0 | 197.0 | 306.0 | 387.0 | 467.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 125.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 57.0 | 235.0 | 375.0 | 479.0 | 583.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 164.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 70.0 | 319.0 | 522.0 | 674.0 | 826.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 177.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 69.0 | 369.0 | 627.0 | 824.0 | 1023.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 199.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 77.0 | 418.0 | 714.0 | 940.0 | 1168.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 212.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 78.0 | 457.0 | 793.0 | 1052.0 | 1314.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 173.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 56.0 | 401.0 | 726.0 | 980.0 | 1239.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 181.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 45.0 | 495.0 | 980.0 | 1374.0 | 1781.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 415.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 28.0 | 123.0 | 1022.0 | 1912.0 | 2618.0 | 3341.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 549.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 32.0 | 153.0 | 1404.0 | 2683.0 | 3706.0 | 4757.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 687.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 37.0 | 185.0 | 1788.0 | 3447.0 | 4779.0 | 6151.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 801.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 44.0 | 217.0 | 2083.0 | 4013.0 | 5562.0 | 7157.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 882.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 54.0 | 249.0 | 2233.0 | 4242.0 | 5846.0 | 7494.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 905.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 58.0 | 261.0 | 2265.0 | 4276.0 | 5878.0 | 7520.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 942.0 | 8.0 | 24.0 | 70.0 | 288.0 | 2275.0 | 4212.0 | 5743.0 | 7307.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 928.0 | 10.0 | 27.0 | 74.0 | 293.0 | 2203.0 | 4037.0 | 5481.0 | 6953.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 967.0 | 10.0 | 27.0 | 75.0 | 303.0 | 2305.0 | 4237.0 | 5758.0 | 7311.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 975.0 | 10.0 | 28.0 | 78.0 | 309.0 | 2309.0 | 4228.0 | 5738.0 | 7278.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1031.0 | 15.0 | 38.0 | 97.0 | 349.0 | 2342.0 | 4190.0 | 5630.0 | 7093.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1029.0 | 21.0 | 50.0 | 117.0 | 377.0 | 2227.0 | 3875.0 | 5145.0 | 6428.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 973.0 | 22.0 | 51.0 | 117.0 | 366.0 | 2073.0 | 3574.0 | 4726.0 | 5888.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 938.0 | 27.0 | 59.0 | 127.0 | 371.0 | 1936.0 | 3276.0 | 4297.0 | 5323.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 898.0 | 23.0 | 51.0 | 114.0 | 346.0 | 1883.0 | 3216.0 | 4236.0 | 5262.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 832.0 | 26.0 | 55.0 | 118.0 | 335.0 | 1696.0 | 2849.0 | 3725.0 | 4603.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 723.0 | 21.0 | 46.0 | 99.0 | 287.0 | 1488.0 | 2514.0 | 3295.0 | 4080.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 661.0 | 15.0 | 35.0 | 80.0 | 249.0 | 1406.0 | 2421.0 | 3201.0 | 3986.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 543.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 64.0 | 202.0 | 1164.0 | 2013.0 | 2666.0 | 3325.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 413.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 49.0 | 154.0 | 884.0 | 1528.0 | 2023.0 | 2522.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 308.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 120.0 | 642.0 | 1093.0 | 1437.0 | 1783.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 248.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 29.0 | 92.0 | 532.0 | 919.0 | 1217.0 | 1517.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 198.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 74.0 | 424.0 | 734.0 | 972.0 | 1213.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 157.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 55.0 | 349.0 | 616.0 | 824.0 | 1034.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 144.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 56.0 | 298.0 | 506.0 | 664.0 | 823.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 111.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 233.0 | 397.0 | 522.0 | 648.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 92.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 38.0 | 183.0 | 303.0 | 393.0 | 484.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 73.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 29.0 | 148.0 | 249.0 | 325.0 | 401.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 60.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 126.0 | 214.0 | 282.0 | 349.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 56.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 110.0 | 182.0 | 236.0 | 290.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 56.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 107.0 | 173.0 | 222.0 | 271.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 47.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 82.0 | 124.0 | 155.0 | 185.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 46.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 84.0 | 131.0 | 166.0 | 200.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 43.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 74.0 | 113.0 | 140.0 | 168.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 44.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 78.0 | 120.0 | 151.0 | 181.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 40.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 67.0 | 99.0 | 122.0 | 144.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 47.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 120.0 | 148.0 | 176.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 47.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 79.0 | 118.0 | 146.0 | 173.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 53.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 30.0 | 87.0 | 127.0 | 155.0 | 182.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 52.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 88.0 | 133.0 | 165.0 | 196.0 |
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