Prediction 4463
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | ParaĆba |
Description:
Validation 2 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 89.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 50.0 | 143.0 | 207.0 | 252.0 | 296.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 76.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 45.0 | 120.0 | 172.0 | 208.0 | 243.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 71.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 44.0 | 107.0 | 148.0 | 176.0 | 204.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 72.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 108.0 | 149.0 | 177.0 | 204.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 71.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 | 47.0 | 101.0 | 135.0 | 158.0 | 180.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 72.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 109.0 | 152.0 | 181.0 | 210.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 67.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 111.0 | 163.0 | 200.0 | 237.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 71.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 34.0 | 131.0 | 207.0 | 262.0 | 317.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 87.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 35.0 | 179.0 | 302.0 | 395.0 | 488.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 80.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 32.0 | 163.0 | 274.0 | 358.0 | 443.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 74.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 27.0 | 158.0 | 273.0 | 361.0 | 450.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 58.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 126.0 | 219.0 | 292.0 | 365.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 84.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 33.0 | 171.0 | 288.0 | 377.0 | 466.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 91.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 38.0 | 184.0 | 306.0 | 398.0 | 491.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 105.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 39.0 | 224.0 | 385.0 | 509.0 | 634.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 131.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 51.0 | 273.0 | 463.0 | 608.0 | 753.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 153.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 28.0 | 69.0 | 287.0 | 460.0 | 588.0 | 716.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 168.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 76.0 | 318.0 | 511.0 | 655.0 | 797.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 196.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 76.0 | 409.0 | 695.0 | 914.0 | 1134.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 208.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 32.0 | 86.0 | 415.0 | 688.0 | 894.0 | 1101.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 257.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 43.0 | 111.0 | 500.0 | 817.0 | 1055.0 | 1293.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 279.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 44.0 | 118.0 | 551.0 | 909.0 | 1179.0 | 1449.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 312.0 | 17.0 | 32.0 | 59.0 | 143.0 | 585.0 | 934.0 | 1194.0 | 1452.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 311.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 61.0 | 144.0 | 578.0 | 919.0 | 1171.0 | 1422.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 318.0 | 15.0 | 29.0 | 57.0 | 141.0 | 608.0 | 982.0 | 1262.0 | 1540.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 353.0 | 24.0 | 42.0 | 75.0 | 170.0 | 640.0 | 1000.0 | 1266.0 | 1529.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 385.0 | 33.0 | 54.0 | 92.0 | 195.0 | 675.0 | 1033.0 | 1295.0 | 1552.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 400.0 | 45.0 | 71.0 | 112.0 | 217.0 | 668.0 | 991.0 | 1225.0 | 1452.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 413.0 | 56.0 | 84.0 | 127.0 | 234.0 | 669.0 | 971.0 | 1188.0 | 1397.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 457.0 | 50.0 | 79.0 | 125.0 | 245.0 | 768.0 | 1144.0 | 1415.0 | 1681.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 485.0 | 57.0 | 88.0 | 138.0 | 265.0 | 805.0 | 1189.0 | 1465.0 | 1735.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 511.0 | 67.0 | 101.0 | 154.0 | 287.0 | 831.0 | 1213.0 | 1486.0 | 1751.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 450.0 | 70.0 | 102.0 | 150.0 | 264.0 | 711.0 | 1015.0 | 1231.0 | 1440.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 451.0 | 75.0 | 107.0 | 155.0 | 268.0 | 705.0 | 1000.0 | 1209.0 | 1411.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 407.0 | 64.0 | 93.0 | 136.0 | 239.0 | 642.0 | 916.0 | 1110.0 | 1298.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 357.0 | 60.0 | 86.0 | 124.0 | 213.0 | 555.0 | 784.0 | 947.0 | 1103.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 324.0 | 58.0 | 81.0 | 116.0 | 196.0 | 498.0 | 700.0 | 842.0 | 979.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 332.0 | 56.0 | 79.0 | 115.0 | 198.0 | 517.0 | 732.0 | 884.0 | 1030.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 318.0 | 53.0 | 76.0 | 110.0 | 190.0 | 495.0 | 701.0 | 847.0 | 987.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 300.0 | 51.0 | 73.0 | 105.0 | 180.0 | 466.0 | 658.0 | 794.0 | 925.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 281.0 | 52.0 | 72.0 | 102.0 | 172.0 | 431.0 | 603.0 | 723.0 | 840.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 245.0 | 50.0 | 68.0 | 94.0 | 153.0 | 367.0 | 505.0 | 602.0 | 695.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 222.0 | 38.0 | 54.0 | 77.0 | 133.0 | 344.0 | 486.0 | 586.0 | 682.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 200.0 | 30.0 | 44.0 | 65.0 | 116.0 | 317.0 | 455.0 | 553.0 | 647.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 194.0 | 31.0 | 45.0 | 66.0 | 115.0 | 305.0 | 433.0 | 524.0 | 612.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 157.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 56.0 | 95.0 | 242.0 | 340.0 | 409.0 | 476.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 152.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 46.0 | 86.0 | 247.0 | 359.0 | 439.0 | 517.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 134.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 38.0 | 73.0 | 222.0 | 328.0 | 404.0 | 479.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 117.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 33.0 | 64.0 | 196.0 | 290.0 | 358.0 | 424.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 112.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 32.0 | 61.0 | 184.0 | 271.0 | 334.0 | 395.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 93.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 49.0 | 158.0 | 237.0 | 294.0 | 350.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 90.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 49.0 | 150.0 | 223.0 | 275.0 | 326.0 |
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