Prediction 4466
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation 2 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 59.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 106.0 | 166.0 | 210.0 | 254.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 70.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 34.0 | 124.0 | 193.0 | 243.0 | 292.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 81.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 143.0 | 221.0 | 277.0 | 333.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 89.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 43.0 | 160.0 | 250.0 | 316.0 | 381.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 108.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 48.0 | 206.0 | 333.0 | 428.0 | 522.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 119.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 48.0 | 241.0 | 404.0 | 527.0 | 651.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 161.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 65.0 | 329.0 | 552.0 | 722.0 | 892.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 186.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | 77.0 | 371.0 | 616.0 | 800.0 | 985.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 221.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 88.0 | 452.0 | 762.0 | 998.0 | 1235.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 262.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 100.0 | 555.0 | 951.0 | 1256.0 | 1562.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 253.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 91.0 | 554.0 | 970.0 | 1291.0 | 1616.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 226.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 86.0 | 477.0 | 818.0 | 1079.0 | 1341.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 285.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 94.0 | 657.0 | 1184.0 | 1596.0 | 2015.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 390.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 110.0 | 989.0 | 1880.0 | 2592.0 | 3324.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 519.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 27.0 | 137.0 | 1370.0 | 2660.0 | 3699.0 | 4770.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 640.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 159.0 | 1752.0 | 3470.0 | 4864.0 | 6307.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 824.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 43.0 | 219.0 | 2165.0 | 4196.0 | 5829.0 | 7514.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 1045.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 46.0 | 259.0 | 2859.0 | 5662.0 | 7937.0 | 10292.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 1276.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 52.0 | 304.0 | 3573.0 | 7160.0 | 10084.0 | 13117.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 1413.0 | 7.0 | 24.0 | 77.0 | 382.0 | 3676.0 | 7086.0 | 9825.0 | 12645.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 1671.0 | 8.0 | 27.0 | 90.0 | 447.0 | 4372.0 | 8454.0 | 11735.0 | 15116.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1923.0 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 97.0 | 501.0 | 5110.0 | 9965.0 | 13880.0 | 17921.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 2181.0 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 133.0 | 616.0 | 5531.0 | 10515.0 | 14495.0 | 18583.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 2424.0 | 16.0 | 49.0 | 151.0 | 691.0 | 6115.0 | 11592.0 | 15962.0 | 20447.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 2519.0 | 16.0 | 50.0 | 155.0 | 714.0 | 6373.0 | 12103.0 | 16676.0 | 21373.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 2647.0 | 17.0 | 54.0 | 166.0 | 756.0 | 6670.0 | 12637.0 | 17395.0 | 22280.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 2696.0 | 17.0 | 52.0 | 163.0 | 758.0 | 6854.0 | 13048.0 | 17997.0 | 23082.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 2480.0 | 15.0 | 46.0 | 146.0 | 691.0 | 6341.0 | 12110.0 | 16725.0 | 21469.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 2179.0 | 14.0 | 44.0 | 136.0 | 621.0 | 5492.0 | 10407.0 | 14328.0 | 18352.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1981.0 | 8.0 | 29.0 | 100.0 | 516.0 | 5265.0 | 10267.0 | 14301.0 | 18465.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1644.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 80.0 | 423.0 | 4403.0 | 8619.0 | 12025.0 | 15542.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1186.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 58.0 | 305.0 | 3178.0 | 6224.0 | 8685.0 | 11226.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 826.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 48.0 | 228.0 | 2120.0 | 4059.0 | 5611.0 | 7207.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 557.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 26.0 | 140.0 | 1513.0 | 2983.0 | 4174.0 | 5406.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 403.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 101.0 | 1094.0 | 2158.0 | 3019.0 | 3910.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 332.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 93.0 | 848.0 | 1617.0 | 2232.0 | 2864.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 242.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 66.0 | 627.0 | 1206.0 | 1671.0 | 2149.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 168.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 52.0 | 403.0 | 743.0 | 1011.0 | 1284.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 121.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 37.0 | 295.0 | 549.0 | 749.0 | 955.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 99.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 239.0 | 442.0 | 602.0 | 766.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 21.0 | 192.0 | 364.0 | 502.0 | 643.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 168.0 | 313.0 | 428.0 | 545.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 60.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 132.0 | 232.0 | 309.0 | 387.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 108.0 | 187.0 | 248.0 | 309.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 48.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 95.0 | 157.0 | 203.0 | 249.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 49.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 96.0 | 159.0 | 206.0 | 253.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 48.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 93.0 | 150.0 | 194.0 | 237.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 47.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 90.0 | 145.0 | 186.0 | 226.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 48.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 92.0 | 149.0 | 192.0 | 234.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 48.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 91.0 | 146.0 | 187.0 | 228.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 52.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 92.0 | 141.0 | 177.0 | 213.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 56.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 99.0 | 153.0 | 193.0 | 232.0 |
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