Prediction 4467
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation 2 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 111.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 | 56.0 | 192.0 | 293.0 | 366.0 | 438.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 117.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 60.0 | 204.0 | 310.0 | 387.0 | 463.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 128.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 29.0 | 63.0 | 228.0 | 353.0 | 445.0 | 535.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 131.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 61.0 | 243.0 | 386.0 | 491.0 | 596.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 142.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 59.0 | 284.0 | 471.0 | 613.0 | 754.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 158.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 76.0 | 286.0 | 447.0 | 565.0 | 681.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 180.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 74.0 | 362.0 | 602.0 | 784.0 | 966.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 210.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 80.0 | 441.0 | 754.0 | 994.0 | 1235.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 261.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 29.0 | 95.0 | 567.0 | 990.0 | 1317.0 | 1646.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 276.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 92.0 | 633.0 | 1138.0 | 1533.0 | 1933.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 262.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 89.0 | 595.0 | 1063.0 | 1427.0 | 1797.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 245.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 63.0 | 658.0 | 1289.0 | 1799.0 | 2325.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 453.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 35.0 | 142.0 | 1078.0 | 1980.0 | 2690.0 | 3414.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 524.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 46.0 | 172.0 | 1215.0 | 2196.0 | 2964.0 | 3746.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 613.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 51.0 | 198.0 | 1433.0 | 2606.0 | 3525.0 | 4462.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 671.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 55.0 | 215.0 | 1576.0 | 2872.0 | 3889.0 | 4926.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 738.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 61.0 | 237.0 | 1730.0 | 3151.0 | 4267.0 | 5403.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 803.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 58.0 | 243.0 | 1950.0 | 3621.0 | 4943.0 | 6295.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 900.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 53.0 | 252.0 | 2295.0 | 4375.0 | 6039.0 | 7749.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 1037.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 51.0 | 267.0 | 2772.0 | 5421.0 | 7561.0 | 9771.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 1186.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 55.0 | 299.0 | 3214.0 | 6333.0 | 8859.0 | 11471.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1360.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 69.0 | 355.0 | 3611.0 | 7037.0 | 9800.0 | 12651.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1597.0 | 6.0 | 23.0 | 79.0 | 413.0 | 4265.0 | 8338.0 | 11627.0 | 15023.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1703.0 | 6.0 | 23.0 | 80.0 | 432.0 | 4602.0 | 9054.0 | 12657.0 | 16381.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1796.0 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 93.0 | 474.0 | 4740.0 | 9208.0 | 12806.0 | 16517.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 2007.0 | 9.0 | 31.0 | 103.0 | 528.0 | 5304.0 | 10311.0 | 14344.0 | 18505.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1996.0 | 7.0 | 25.0 | 91.0 | 499.0 | 5436.0 | 10737.0 | 15034.0 | 19479.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1877.0 | 8.0 | 27.0 | 93.0 | 487.0 | 5001.0 | 9765.0 | 13610.0 | 17579.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1837.0 | 11.0 | 34.0 | 108.0 | 512.0 | 4694.0 | 8961.0 | 12375.0 | 15884.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1691.0 | 13.0 | 38.0 | 113.0 | 497.0 | 4190.0 | 7863.0 | 10782.0 | 13773.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1619.0 | 13.0 | 38.0 | 112.0 | 482.0 | 3977.0 | 7431.0 | 10170.0 | 12975.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1408.0 | 15.0 | 41.0 | 113.0 | 446.0 | 3333.0 | 6100.0 | 8276.0 | 10495.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1102.0 | 10.0 | 29.0 | 83.0 | 341.0 | 2648.0 | 4888.0 | 6655.0 | 8461.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 933.0 | 12.0 | 32.0 | 84.0 | 311.0 | 2142.0 | 3854.0 | 5191.0 | 6551.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 761.0 | 12.0 | 30.0 | 75.0 | 264.0 | 1706.0 | 3029.0 | 4056.0 | 5097.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 644.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 66.0 | 226.0 | 1433.0 | 2533.0 | 3386.0 | 4249.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 520.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 192.0 | 1121.0 | 1946.0 | 2582.0 | 3223.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 411.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 49.0 | 154.0 | 876.0 | 1510.0 | 1997.0 | 2488.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 363.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 56.0 | 152.0 | 723.0 | 1197.0 | 1555.0 | 1913.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 290.0 | 15.0 | 28.0 | 54.0 | 131.0 | 547.0 | 877.0 | 1123.0 | 1368.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 248.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 54.0 | 120.0 | 448.0 | 698.0 | 882.0 | 1063.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 210.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 49.0 | 105.0 | 371.0 | 571.0 | 718.0 | 862.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 191.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 90.0 | 351.0 | 553.0 | 702.0 | 850.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 178.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 82.0 | 333.0 | 530.0 | 677.0 | 823.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 159.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 76.0 | 289.0 | 453.0 | 574.0 | 693.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 141.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 70.0 | 251.0 | 387.0 | 487.0 | 586.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 125.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 65.0 | 215.0 | 324.0 | 404.0 | 482.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 116.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 60.0 | 199.0 | 301.0 | 375.0 | 447.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 118.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 61.0 | 203.0 | 306.0 | 381.0 | 455.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 120.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 61.0 | 208.0 | 316.0 | 395.0 | 473.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 113.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 58.0 | 195.0 | 296.0 | 370.0 | 442.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 115.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | 61.0 | 196.0 | 293.0 | 364.0 | 433.0 |
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