Prediction 4469
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
Validation 2 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 61.0 | 72.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 38.0 | 54.0 | 66.0 | 78.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 25.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 42.0 | 63.0 | 79.0 | 94.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 36.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 63.0 | 97.0 | 122.0 | 146.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 39.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 68.0 | 103.0 | 129.0 | 154.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 57.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 29.0 | 98.0 | 149.0 | 185.0 | 221.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 64.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 32.0 | 113.0 | 173.0 | 217.0 | 260.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 72.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 34.0 | 133.0 | 209.0 | 266.0 | 322.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 76.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 38.0 | 136.0 | 211.0 | 265.0 | 319.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 74.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 36.0 | 133.0 | 207.0 | 261.0 | 315.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 62.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 34.0 | 104.0 | 154.0 | 190.0 | 225.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 51.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 114.0 | 201.0 | 268.0 | 336.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 175.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 47.0 | 459.0 | 886.0 | 1230.0 | 1584.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 191.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 52.0 | 495.0 | 953.0 | 1320.0 | 1697.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 197.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 55.0 | 506.0 | 966.0 | 1335.0 | 1714.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 179.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 49.0 | 461.0 | 885.0 | 1224.0 | 1574.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 196.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 62.0 | 468.0 | 859.0 | 1167.0 | 1482.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 185.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 59.0 | 438.0 | 801.0 | 1086.0 | 1377.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 199.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 72.0 | 436.0 | 764.0 | 1017.0 | 1273.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 163.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 58.0 | 357.0 | 626.0 | 833.0 | 1044.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 170.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 65.0 | 356.0 | 607.0 | 799.0 | 993.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 151.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 55.0 | 329.0 | 575.0 | 764.0 | 956.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 147.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 64.0 | 285.0 | 465.0 | 599.0 | 734.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 127.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 58.0 | 238.0 | 380.0 | 486.0 | 590.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 117.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 52.0 | 225.0 | 365.0 | 469.0 | 573.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 115.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 57.0 | 204.0 | 316.0 | 397.0 | 478.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 101.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 45.0 | 193.0 | 310.0 | 398.0 | 485.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 89.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 42.0 | 163.0 | 257.0 | 326.0 | 394.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 73.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 34.0 | 134.0 | 212.0 | 269.0 | 326.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 75.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 36.0 | 134.0 | 209.0 | 264.0 | 318.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 68.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 121.0 | 189.0 | 238.0 | 286.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 59.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 29.0 | 103.0 | 157.0 | 197.0 | 235.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 46.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 84.0 | 131.0 | 166.0 | 201.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 45.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 80.0 | 121.0 | 152.0 | 182.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 41.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 70.0 | 104.0 | 129.0 | 153.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 37.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 63.0 | 96.0 | 119.0 | 142.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 35.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 64.0 | 99.0 | 126.0 | 152.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 29.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 53.0 | 83.0 | 104.0 | 126.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 49.0 | 76.0 | 95.0 | 114.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 25.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 45.0 | 70.0 | 89.0 | 107.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 23.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 40.0 | 61.0 | 76.0 | 91.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 22.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 40.0 | 62.0 | 79.0 | 95.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 38.0 | 58.0 | 72.0 | 85.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 32.0 | 46.0 | 57.0 | 67.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 53.0 | 64.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 50.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 53.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 56.0 | 67.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | 55.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 30.0 | 45.0 | 57.0 | 68.0 |
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