Prediction 4474
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation 2 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 249.0 | 47.0 | 65.0 | 91.0 | 153.0 | 381.0 | 531.0 | 637.0 | 739.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 265.0 | 57.0 | 76.0 | 105.0 | 168.0 | 393.0 | 539.0 | 640.0 | 737.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 272.0 | 56.0 | 76.0 | 105.0 | 171.0 | 407.0 | 561.0 | 669.0 | 772.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 302.0 | 58.0 | 80.0 | 113.0 | 187.0 | 458.0 | 637.0 | 763.0 | 883.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 345.0 | 54.0 | 77.0 | 114.0 | 201.0 | 545.0 | 779.0 | 945.0 | 1105.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 380.0 | 59.0 | 86.0 | 126.0 | 222.0 | 600.0 | 857.0 | 1039.0 | 1216.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 445.0 | 58.0 | 87.0 | 134.0 | 249.0 | 725.0 | 1058.0 | 1297.0 | 1529.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 525.0 | 63.0 | 96.0 | 151.0 | 288.0 | 869.0 | 1282.0 | 1579.0 | 1868.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 626.0 | 59.0 | 96.0 | 158.0 | 324.0 | 1079.0 | 1635.0 | 2039.0 | 2436.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 710.0 | 55.0 | 93.0 | 161.0 | 351.0 | 1265.0 | 1957.0 | 2464.0 | 2964.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 719.0 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 170.0 | 361.0 | 1265.0 | 1941.0 | 2436.0 | 2922.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 736.0 | 47.0 | 84.0 | 151.0 | 348.0 | 1350.0 | 2127.0 | 2702.0 | 3270.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 1357.0 | 60.0 | 117.0 | 229.0 | 590.0 | 2634.0 | 4296.0 | 5544.0 | 6787.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1802.0 | 72.0 | 143.0 | 287.0 | 763.0 | 3557.0 | 5860.0 | 7597.0 | 9331.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 2373.0 | 63.0 | 138.0 | 306.0 | 918.0 | 4963.0 | 8464.0 | 11142.0 | 13834.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 3004.0 | 60.0 | 141.0 | 334.0 | 1091.0 | 6538.0 | 11411.0 | 15172.0 | 18972.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 3882.0 | 94.0 | 210.0 | 476.0 | 1470.0 | 8232.0 | 14154.0 | 18697.0 | 23272.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 4652.0 | 105.0 | 240.0 | 551.0 | 1736.0 | 9955.0 | 17209.0 | 22785.0 | 28407.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 5496.0 | 138.0 | 307.0 | 688.0 | 2100.0 | 11589.0 | 19859.0 | 26195.0 | 32572.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 6140.0 | 154.0 | 342.0 | 767.0 | 2343.0 | 12956.0 | 22211.0 | 29303.0 | 36442.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 7192.0 | 155.0 | 356.0 | 829.0 | 2653.0 | 15505.0 | 26914.0 | 35702.0 | 44569.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 7955.0 | 165.0 | 384.0 | 900.0 | 2912.0 | 17233.0 | 29998.0 | 39840.0 | 49777.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 8943.0 | 201.0 | 458.0 | 1054.0 | 3331.0 | 19163.0 | 33149.0 | 43905.0 | 54751.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 9164.0 | 237.0 | 522.0 | 1163.0 | 3521.0 | 19253.0 | 32924.0 | 43390.0 | 53918.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 9455.0 | 266.0 | 574.0 | 1253.0 | 3702.0 | 19633.0 | 33344.0 | 43810.0 | 54324.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 10276.0 | 279.0 | 607.0 | 1337.0 | 3992.0 | 21443.0 | 36523.0 | 48048.0 | 59633.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 10211.0 | 275.0 | 600.0 | 1324.0 | 3959.0 | 21330.0 | 36354.0 | 47839.0 | 59386.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 10106.0 | 304.0 | 646.0 | 1388.0 | 4017.0 | 20779.0 | 35087.0 | 45984.0 | 56918.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 9198.0 | 227.0 | 505.0 | 1139.0 | 3497.0 | 19453.0 | 33397.0 | 44087.0 | 54851.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 8189.0 | 201.0 | 449.0 | 1012.0 | 3112.0 | 17326.0 | 29749.0 | 39275.0 | 48867.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 6736.0 | 148.0 | 339.0 | 785.0 | 2497.0 | 14479.0 | 25092.0 | 33259.0 | 41498.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 5392.0 | 122.0 | 277.0 | 638.0 | 2012.0 | 11542.0 | 19953.0 | 26419.0 | 32940.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 3730.0 | 88.0 | 198.0 | 451.0 | 1404.0 | 7939.0 | 13680.0 | 18088.0 | 22529.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 2779.0 | 74.0 | 161.0 | 357.0 | 1074.0 | 5818.0 | 9927.0 | 13070.0 | 16230.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 2037.0 | 51.0 | 113.0 | 254.0 | 777.0 | 4302.0 | 7377.0 | 9735.0 | 12107.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1589.0 | 48.0 | 102.0 | 218.0 | 632.0 | 3266.0 | 5514.0 | 7226.0 | 8943.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1208.0 | 38.0 | 80.0 | 171.0 | 486.0 | 2464.0 | 4141.0 | 5415.0 | 6693.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 903.0 | 26.0 | 56.0 | 122.0 | 357.0 | 1865.0 | 3157.0 | 4142.0 | 5131.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 617.0 | 21.0 | 44.0 | 91.0 | 253.0 | 1242.0 | 2072.0 | 2700.0 | 3330.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 528.0 | 27.0 | 50.0 | 96.0 | 237.0 | 1004.0 | 1616.0 | 2074.0 | 2529.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 429.0 | 23.0 | 43.0 | 80.0 | 195.0 | 807.0 | 1291.0 | 1652.0 | 2011.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 366.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 69.0 | 167.0 | 688.0 | 1099.0 | 1405.0 | 1708.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 324.0 | 24.0 | 42.0 | 73.0 | 159.0 | 578.0 | 895.0 | 1128.0 | 1358.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 283.0 | 29.0 | 47.0 | 75.0 | 150.0 | 479.0 | 718.0 | 891.0 | 1060.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 239.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 67.0 | 130.0 | 400.0 | 593.0 | 732.0 | 868.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 223.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 67.0 | 125.0 | 365.0 | 534.0 | 654.0 | 772.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 205.0 | 31.0 | 45.0 | 67.0 | 119.0 | 326.0 | 467.0 | 568.0 | 665.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 203.0 | 29.0 | 42.0 | 64.0 | 116.0 | 327.0 | 472.0 | 576.0 | 677.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 225.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 | 76.0 | 133.0 | 352.0 | 499.0 | 604.0 | 705.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 234.0 | 45.0 | 62.0 | 87.0 | 144.0 | 355.0 | 493.0 | 590.0 | 683.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 223.0 | 41.0 | 57.0 | 81.0 | 136.0 | 340.0 | 476.0 | 571.0 | 662.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 233.0 | 40.0 | 56.0 | 81.0 | 140.0 | 362.0 | 511.0 | 616.0 | 717.0 |
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